Entries by Alex - Chart Freak

Hot Air

December 30, 2014 /22 Comments/in /by

When I think about the markets right now,  it is Dec 30and we have 2 full days left for the markets to trade in 2014.  I'm thinking that we are seeing a little hot air balloon action, where things just keep floating higher on light volume.  Maybe people dont want to sell now and have to pay taxes this year on their recent gains, but what will they do in January when they can take some profits and not have to pay taxes on their gains until 2016?  Will they lock in some gains? 

Lets take a look at the SPX

SPX DEC 30

Notice how we hit that upper trend line this summer in JUNE and just rode it higher for a couple of months, will we do that here?  ...

 

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Time Is Just About Up

December 29, 2014 /18 Comments/in /by

Using cycles for 'timing' various sectors of the markets helps us to anticipate when we can expect a possible turn to take place.  True, you get a little leeway of  maybe plus or minus a few days, but sooner or later, we reach the end of that time period.   It seems that we are rapidly approaching the  point where it is Do Or Die time.   Each day that passes this late in Cycle timing brings us  closer to the point where we begin to see clearly how things are going to unfold.  As usual, I have about 20+ charts ,  and at this point I'd like to start with-

 

GOLD - With the $USD at new highs, GOLD hasn't been hammered down to new lows as one may expect.

$GOLD vs USD

 

I posted the above chart in my public report, but it still leaves questions.  Was that a bear flag that would just break down?...

 

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Is It For Real?

December 27, 2014 in /by

( This post was written Friday a.m. Dec 26)

Have you ever seen those artists that do 'Chalk Art' along the sidewalks of public streets?  They amaze me and at times you just cant believe your eyes.  I find myself asking , 
"Is what I am looking at real?"  Well lately, many are saying the same thing when they look at the Gold / Silver markets. I have been reporting since Nov 5th & Nov 7th that GOLD was putting in a meaningful low  (At least a temporary one).    See my Nov 5th report here -    http://www.chartfreak.com/afraid-alert/

 

Looking at the chart of GOLD , you can see that the Nov lows have held and this is with the $USD at new highs!

$GOLD vs USD

$SILVER also has shaped up nicely in the past couple of months ...

 

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ENERGY (And A Touch Of miners Update)

December 24, 2014 /12 Comments/in /by

Just a quick post today to show you what I will be watching at the close on this 1/2 day of trading, and also what to look at Friday morning when the markets resume trading.   It is noteworthy that OIL sold off again today and OIL is heading back to its lows. Bear Flag?

 

$WTIC

It's certainly possible that OIL undercuts recent lows. It almost did that today, but notice this ...

 

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Oh That Light Volume Trading

December 23, 2014 /14 Comments/in /by

We had a little bit of selling & volume in The miners today , so instead of a morning report Tuesday, I wanted to post some thoughts tonight. I started getting some questions about things as the day went forward. Nothing wrong with that, it is expected.  I had mentioned possibly seeing light volume holiday trading and by noon, we had some selling in Miners.  I posted this chart Mid-Day  before the selling really started to escalate, to point out some similarities to a prior sell off .

 

  Selling increased from that point on, so what Now?

 

GDX DEC 22

 

Lets take a closer look at all things cycles and technical analysis ...

 

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Not Much Has Changed

December 22, 2014 /15 Comments/in /by

This week is usually a lighter volume  / traders going on vacation - holiday week of trading. Not much has changed from Fridays report.  Things really have to play out further to confirm our expectations or to change them. In other words...not much has changed.  We experienced another peoriod of selling similar to what we had in Oct. Many twondered if the Sell off would end the year ugly and then suddenly ,  right on time ...

 

QQQ wkly

 

QQQ WKLY

 

Its a strong reversal on a weekly basis and take a look at the next chart...

 

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Its Triple Witching Friday

December 19, 2014 /16 Comments/in /by

Today is triple witching and that can increase volatility and volumes.  The first hour tends to see the volatility, and by  the last hour the total day volume increases become evident.  If you are long the markets , you'll be happy to know that  usually there is a bullish bias to Decembers triple witching activity.  Nothing is guaranteed, so We'll have to wait and see.

 

SPX hit that lower target and reversed as seen here

SPX WKLY

As shown yesterday  on the charts that I had drawn up for QQQ, IWC, IWM, RUT and so on, these markets are being bought at targets  as that BUY THE DIPS mantra continues

 

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SWINGS!

December 18, 2014 /2 Comments/in /by

When I was a kid, I used to really love playing on the swings.  Then when  I grew up  I  found that  I still love to play with the swings.   ‘Market Swings’ ! They  can actually be profitable to an investor or trader, because they may afford a low risk entry with potentially   more […]

Survived Another Fed Wednesday Storm

December 18, 2014 /23 Comments/in /by

Just as I mentioned in the Wednesday morning report, The Fed Wednesday Storm was enough to more than Rock The Boat.  If you watched the action from 2 P.M. to market close , the name of the game was Volatility. Remember though, sometimes the storms wash the landscape clean and we see the light of a new day, and today lets discuss the beauty of what might be...

 

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