January 31st – Post Fed Pops


We had some nice action after the FOMC Decision Wednesday.  A lot of the sectors played our as expected, so lets discuss what to expect going forward too.


SPX - The General Markets broke higher with the Fed 'No Rate Hike" Decision.  I expect a little more upside.


UPRO - UPRO, SOXL, TQQQ, etc are good 3x etfs for 'Fast Gains",  since this daily cycle could peak after another run higher.

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January 30th – Waiting On The Fed Again

 Let's take a look at the markets current set up, as we wait for the FOMC Decision at 2 PM. Eastern today.


SPX -  Basically still sliding sideways along the 50sma as expected, we had no  real change in the General Markets.  Are they waiting for the FOMC Decision too? 

I wanted to take a look at something else here, to see if there are any clues as to which way the Markets may break after the Fed Decision...

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Tuesday Jan 29th – Hang On

When a trade is acting correctly, sometimes we just trade out of them after they hit an estimated target, and wait to see if they pull back and offer another entry point.  In some set ups, however, if the run looks really bullish,  I  may just encourage  selling a portion on the way up and trying to Hold On if you can. I will explain that a bit more later in the report, after a brief discussion of our markets...


SPX -  Last week I mentioned that because of the rising wedge, Price may need to crawl sideways along the 50sma as shown  (XYZ) to form more of a channel.

SPX -  So far it has done just that.   It is day 21, and I feel that we could still run to the 200sma and then 'peak' and drop into the dcl. 

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The January 26 Big Picture Weekend Report

We had another very active week of trading, and opportunities were wide ranged for traders and the short term Buy & Hold investors alike.   Trading has been excellent and profitable for weeks now.   Let's take a look at The Markets and future expectation...


SPX WEEKLY - The run out of the December ICL has been a sharp rally with a slight pause this week.  It should continue to the 50 weekly ma  (Blue line) over time. 

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Round 2. Pot Stocks

I want to show you how I follow individual stocks over the course of a month.  In this post, I’ll show you how I have been covering NBEV.

[The following is a sample of Alex’s work over the past few weeks]


NBEV  DECEMBER 21  – Back on Dec 21, NBEB broke down through an uptrend and  notice that it was Overbought .   I mentioned that it is possible that the 50sma would support it,  it could go sideways, and  form an INVERSE H&S as drawn here.   If so I would re-buy it, because this too ran swiftly.  Well guess what?


NBEV   – no longer overbought, it is oversold and did form an inverse H&S,  so I have been watching it daily as it rode along the 10 sma, and …


NBEV   – INTRADAY I watched a triangle form along a support line .  It was at he APEX at the open  yesterday and as it broke out  I jumped in.  I posted this to show that I would also like to ‘add’ on a possible back test,  but…




NBEV   – It flagged sideways by midday, so I  just ‘added’ again and mentioned it in the comments.  This too then broke even higher…




Finally, By the end of the day  NBEV had run up 11% and closed at $6.10.  The sector is acting correctly.




NBEV   –  I posted this in the morning, and NBEV traded all over the place yesterday.  THIS may be support that now holds going forward, I will look for follow through.  I own NBEV.



NBEV Daily – New Age Beverage has entered the CBD infused Beverage business, and has been drawing in buyers, but it DOES move quickly in both directions.   The daily chart of NBEV seems to have price climbing along a trend line or channel rather nicely, so this would be a good place to add or even start a trade.  We got a nice reversal Wednesday, and I would expect that it continues higher from here. If it breaks above the RED TREND LINE Thursday, that is bullish.  Let’s look at the weekly.



NBEV WEEKLY – We have a weekly reversal off of the weekly 8 ema and that uptrend line too.  You could put a stop under the weekly low, which is about $5.90.



As a bonus, the $MJ etf from 1/25/19

MJ ETF –  As mentioned in prior reports, I expect a second leg higher here soon.  Crawling along the 200sma is bullish and can be bought with a stop ( loose) .


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Jan 25th – Even More Hope Ahead?

After avoiding the stormy waters of the sell off in October through December, we had the hope of a nice rally out of the ICL , and some good trading opportunities presented themselves.  I have mentioned the importance of watching how the first daily cycle unfolds, and especially the 2nd daily cycle.  Well, we have some 'things' to look at that add hope that the current gains may continue for a while longer...


Just yesterday I said and drew these two things about the market...

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Jan 24th – Swim At Your Own Risk

When a Red Flag shows up on the beach, it means that for some reason, it is unsafe to swim in those waters. Well, after 3 nice weeks of gains  in the Oil & Energy sector, I am still seeing a Red Flag in those waters. As mentioned in yesterdays report, Oil itself still looks fine, but it seems that some of the Oil / Energy stocks may not like the waters that they find themselves swimming in. It looks like a Red Flag to me.

Let's take a look at our markets...


SPX - I mentioned that the General Markets can pull back to a 1/2 cycle low, or just go sideways along the 50sma . So far they are going sideways along the 50sma. I expect higher price ...

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Jan 23rd – Wednesday


SPX - Day 17 has us in the middle of a move out of an ICL, and it is overbought.  The short term move gets difficult to predict from this point, since it could dip to a 1/2 cycle low and then continue higher, or it may just churn sideways along the 50sma as it struggles in a wedge.  Price held above that 50sma,  but the Wedge is cautionary short term. My long term view remains the same.


Let's look a bit closer...

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Jan 19th Big Picture – Is That Etched In Stone?

  The Big Picture Outlook is based on current information and the formation of current set ups and what they seem to indicate going forward, but they cannot be considered 'Etched In Stone'.    They give us a solid idea of what we may expect in the upcoming weeks or even months, and that helps us to move forward with our trade ideas.  We have currently taken some trades at Major bottoms  (ICLs)  in the Equity and Energy Sectors, and we have used the Big Picture set up to have confidence in those trades.

   So far,  everything is right on track for what that Big Picture outlook here at Chartfreak  has been for the past few months.  The current trades are playing out well, but as time goes on, we need to stay alert to those big Picture set ups too.  Things can gradually change over time, and adjustments are also made if necessary.   For example, some may raise stops, others may decide to cut leverage, or even add to current positions , depending on how things are playing out.      My admonition remains  that as time goes forward, we need to stay current, stay flexible or adaptable, and Stay Frosty!  Yes,  we want to continue to examine the markets as we watch and see how things unfold.


That said, Let's examine our current Big Picture Market set ups. I am noting one change in the Precious Metals sector that needs to be mentioned and monitored going forward.


I said this in Friday Mornings report: 

SPX –  After about only 4 days sideways, The SPX , DJIA , NASDAQ , etc are slowly pushing above the 50sma.  It does look like the SPX held the 8 ema, and wants higher price, so that may become the lower trend line.   The 200 sma is the next likely target.

SPX Daily 1 -  I also noted a rising wedge that might cause a  pull back  at the 50sma, but here we see here that on Friday it  did break above the 50sma,  and a run to the 200sma is possible ...


SPX Daily 2 -  Since Friday saw the markets push higher, that wedge  may become a channel higher.  Read the chart.

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Precious Metals – “Oh My Precious”

Let’s take a look at Precious Metals

(Below is a sample of Alex’s work from the week)


GOLD –  I posted this in the comments, just showing how GOLD does not want to sell off, it has formed a triangle so far.


GOLD #1 – I have stated in the past that ‘TRIANGLES’ usually mess up daily cycle counts, so I just focus on what is in front of me.  At this point,  it is a Bull flag chewing away at consolidation on the far left ( May / June trading).   I would have expected a back test of the  50 & 200sma, but so far it just wont sell down. 


GOLD – We are in the APEX, so this has to break up or down now. Breaking down would break the blue trend line, and usually that is what we see as a dcl, so look for a break of the blue trend line, and a reversal higher may indicate a dcl.  Honestly though, I ignore cycles when triangles form & Bullishness persists.



SILVER 10 sma  – Silver broke below the 10 sma, but it also looks like a bull flag, so…


SILVER  20 sma   –  Let’s see if the 20 sma acts as support, price did not break the 20sma on the run higher in November.



GDX –  My current thoughts :  I know that GDX held the 200 sma lately, but is it a mini bear flag?  I think that this can drop to the 50sma. Notice – It is under the 10sma, the 10sma is curled down, and I would normally expect a break of the blue trend line.  So I’m still watching for a tag or break of the 50sma.  IF THIS BREAKS OUT HIGHER above the 10sma, you can  simply ‘adjust to that’ and Buy it with a tighter stop under the 200sma, or a loose one under the 50sma. .

(from 1/17/19)

Let’s look at some Bullish Metals leaders, and then some that should play catch up



HBM  – I pointed out This as a BUY, inverse H&S.  I also had some other bullish looking METALS stocks .  HBM as an inverse H&S,  TGB, WRN, CPST, X, AKS, etc etc . were bullishly popping too.     Here on Jan 4th,  the  HBM  volume pops look Bullish…

HBM  – HBM has been running with strong volume from there, and the Metals still seem to be  basing and Bullish.



CPST #1 –  Capstone Turbine usually runs with Metals. I posted that this had a large POP out of the base, look for a possible bull flag to buy…

CPST #2 –  I posted this as a bullish crawl along the 50 sma, a Bull Flag, and a break out.  It popped  10% again as a leader.  It continued higher as the day went on…

CPST #3– And closed up almost 20%,  and …

CPST #3  – CPST continues to  lead the way higher.   So let’s look at a few other Metals stocks setting up bullishly…




CLF  – Crawling under the 50sma,  this looks ready to pop higher soon. I would buy this , AKS, X, or many of these below with a stop in a reasonable place , in case of any bed news releases.  Hold a small basket of stocks for safety or start with smaller positions.



AKS – This is also crawling sideways and looks ready to pop soon.  Read the chart.  So keep your eye on your watchlist of X, CENX, AA, VALE, TGB, WRN, ETC.


ZEUS  broke out yesterday, as a possible leader, so watch X, AKS, etc. 


Chart Freak Membership

Alex has been successfully writing a daily newsletter service for nearly four years now and is considered one of the best traders of precious metals miners, energy/uranium stocks, and biotechs.   This is your opportunity to join his service as a member and follow along as we enter the next bullish gold Cycle higher.

If you would like to find out more about the service or sign up, please click the buy option for more details.