June 11th Weekend Report

After we review the general markets, Oil, the CRB, etc, this weekend report will focus mainly on Gold, Silver, and Miners. To the charts...

.

SPX - This is a Fed Week, so I am watching the markets very closely at this critical area. This is rather early in the daily cycle, and if this is "the Peak', it will likely be left translated. We saw a slight break to new highs and then it gave them up. On day 15, I'll we watching this closely going into the Fed mtg.

SPX 6-10

Read More

Friday June 10th

We have 1 trading day left in the week and then we can relax.  The weekend report will further our discussion on Energy and Precious metals, so today I am going to just show you 3 charts that will be in the weekend report.

.

You may have heard that you should not buy miners until after a 'blood bath phase'. As mentioned in my May 18 report, I have received emails telling me that warnings are out that the next ICL ( meaningful cycle lows that occur roughly every 5-6 months) will NOT come until we first see a huge sell off.  Many think that will happen around Brexit ( June 23rd).

.

I used this chart to show what happened coming out of the 2008 lows, when we looked for our 2nd ICL. I do NOT see a deep bloodbath phase 6 months after Oct 2008 lows. I see higher lows for 1 year, so that is noteworthy.

GDX 2008 ICL SEARCH

 Actually, for 2 weeks I have been saying that we could be at the next important low in the precious metals sector. Last weekends report discussed this idea further and this weekend will include more research in that area .

Read More

June 8 – Coming Together

The trading has been good for the past few weeks and as time goes by, we are seeing many things coming together as expected.  By the time we get to the weekend report, pieces should fall into place and give us a clearer big picture too.  Lets review some of the recent action and how it has been playing out.

.

DJUSST WKLY - I posted charts of STEEL in May and June and expected another run higher. Steel stocks should benefit. 

6-2 STEEL WKLY

STEEL - This is the daily.  Lets look at steel 1 week later. Steels daily 1 week later.

6-2 STEEL

STEEL JUNE 8th - One week later and Steel is breaking out.  Steel stocks like STLD, AKS, X, etc have started running again too.

STEEL 6-8

Notice how Steel broke above the 50sma, stalled and then took off higher? Then take a look at this...

Read More