Author Archive for: Alex - Chart Freak

The Jobs report was released and I dont really see anything that I didn't expect at this point. Since it is the last trading day of the week, I'm just here to do a quick review.

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SPX -  This was the chart in the Thursday report. I expected a pullback with that toppy candle Wednesday. It may not be a huge pullback, I do expect another run higher in the next daily cycle.

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I heard that Janet Yellen had lunch on Tuesday and spoke quite a bit about...never mind, lets just say that she spoke quite a bit.

Some things that I heard seemed to contradict other things that she said, but we see from the moves mid day onward,  the markets received it positively.  There are some very interesting developments...

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Lets discuss what I think we are going to see going forward from here.  Just like we have seen in the past, it will NOT be a straight move in one direction, I expect volatility along the way.  The above picture helps us to see what to expect 🙂

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SPX-  After a nice multi week rally,  I have been saying that we are due for a pull back. I do not think that the 3 day pull back that we got is all that we will get, even though that was a reversal candle on Thursday. We are at resistance for 1 thing, and ...

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If you've heard of 3D Printers, raise your hand.  Not a whole lot changed in the markets Tuesday,  so after a quick review, this is one area that we'll discuss today...

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SPX - No Change in my outlook from the past few reports. I expect that this daily cycle is topping.

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The weekend report discussed Turning Points. Though I have laid out my big picture expectations, I also mentioned that at turning points it is important to continue to examine clues from an unbiased view point. Sometimes subtle changes at turning points can either alter the bigger picture or confirm it.  I discussed a few changes developing in my weekend report, so lets continue to examine any clues that may appear.

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SPX - Our run higher still resembles the run higher last fall in many ways. I am expecting a dip down into a DCL soon,  but the move out of that daily cycle low is going to be important to watch. It is not time to short this market yet. As the market rises , I see a bearish wedge and lighter volume. We wait for the dip.

Usually at tops  (even temporary tops) , the VIX gets down near $12 -$13. Spikes higher in the vix can lead to bottoms, and a spike lower can signal a top. The vix is low enough, but a spike lower would probably signal a temporary top.

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