Author Archive for: Alex - Chart Freak

LOADING * LOADING * LOADING... As we watch various markets lining up or setting up for the next trade, it often reminds me of that dreaded "LOADING" symbol that shows up when you are using a slow internet connection.   It seems like it takes forever to 'get connected' to the internet. With trading it can also seem like it takes forever to get things lined up for a low risk trade set up, but patience has its rewards.  As the saying goes, "Good things ( including good set ups) come to those that wait."

For our Friday report, we will review how some set ups are playing out well, and others may be setting up now.

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The Markets are basically all over the place since the Fed Rate Hike and Tuesdays drop in some sectors seemed to come out of nowhere.  At this point in time, I want to review expectations past and expectations now.

 SPX - On March 7th,  We were looking at a drop into a dcl.  I expected it to possibly tag the 50sma and slightly break the trend line, as shown in this chart.

SPX -  1 week later we had a bounce and it looked like the dcl came in and we got our swing low. I still hold to this idea, but when you get a daily cycle as right translated as the last one was, you look for a POP to new highs and then it can roll over.  See what I wrote on this chart.

So after a bounce to new highs, we would look for the markets to roll over into an ICL .

SPX MARCH 21- We did not get our push to new highs before the markets just took a sudden plunge.  This looks like a drop into an Intermediate cycle low  (ICL) has started, the multi-month trend line has been broken. The low that I labelled as a dcl has been broken. It would be best to watch how this drops and see if the next swing low sets up a BUYING opportunity.

Lets look at a few other things in this area...

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Let's go over the markets and see what may or may not have changed with the Fed Rate Hike this week.  🙂

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This was my MARCH 10th SPX chart- I expected the general markets to drop back a bit more on the pull back, and then to put in another run higher. It would then be in the timing to roll over into an ICL as shown.

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We got a Fed rate decision, and we got some Fed Decision follow through. It clears things up in the short tern time frame and makes it easier to see what is going on,. Let's see what Wednesday brought our way.

SPX  March 9 -  I was looking for a shallow DCL The RSI started curling upward while price was dropping...

SPX MARCH 10 - A swing formed and the dcl was due and likely in place.

Now we have a confirmed DCL, as seen here

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