Dancing Markets

The markets are always dancing around on a Fed Wednesday, and often the volatility spills over into Thursday.  Lets take a look at the charts and see what we can see.

SPX - The markets sold off after the Fed Decision.  I called for lows recently and I still expect higher prices to develop from a bounce.  You can see that this is how the markets moved coming out of the lows in August too. I do not expect the recent lows to be broken, but a little more downside is not out of the question. Please notice how difficult it would have been to trade the Lows in August/ September.

SPX 1-27

That being said,  the RUT / IWM looks like a bear flag, so lets look at a few other areas. 

Lets look at the NASDAQ...

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Lets Just Ignore The Elephant In The Room

So lets just pretend that today is just a Wednesday like any other Wednesday.   Things are playing out exactly as expected.  To the charts!

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SPX Monday -  I called the reversal last week a trade-able low, and the Quick sell off Monday just a back test of the trend line.

SPX 1-26

SPX TUESDAY -  It's only day 4 , so I expect this run higher to continue.

SPX 1-26 Read More

DRAG

Monday saw a  little drag on various sectors  of the market, but I still expect a bounce before another wave of strong selling resumes.  WEDNESDAY is a FED day,  so anything can happen, but Cycle timing is right for  bounce. 

The old saying is that a picture is worth 1000 words, and sometimes I see a chart that's worth a thousand words too.  The Banking index, for example , says a lot.   

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This is the Banking Index

BKX 1-25

The above chart is quite oversold, but it is also quite unhealthy looking...

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