Sept 10 – Is It A Melt Up?

 

SPX-  I will repeat,  I never called the recent dip an ICL. It lacks the characteristics of one, but what I did say is that we have been overdue for one for a while. So we have a dcl, and similar to the last couple of dcls, the move higher has been a bit choppy, but we have higher lows and higher highs, so an uptrend continues.

SPX - In August I reminded readers that we were due for an ICL, but visually, I still do not clearly see one.

SPX - Then on Sept 1st, I posted this as a cautionary note of a possible rising wedge and mentioned that OCTOBER can be tough for the markets, historically speaking. We have seen some pretty big crashes in October. Will we get the ICL then?  We'll have to be alert going forward to any signs of weakness as this unfolds. So some are long from the recent dcl, I am just helping my readers to see a reason to stay alert, and I will monitor it along the way.

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Fridays Ideas

Today we are just going to discuss 'things'.

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September 7th – Market Wrap

On this Thursday of trading, let's review what the markets are doing so far, and we'll have just a couple more interesting trade set ups.

 

NASDAQ -  The NASDAQ put in a low that was a buy on August 21, and that has not been violated. It almost made new all time highs on Monday. It is still early enough in the daily cycle to break the highs and Tuesday & Wednesday looked like a back-test of the recent break out from the downtrend line.  I would raise my stop to that point.

SPX - That sharp drop on Tuesday also looks to have back tested a break out.  Day 11 and this can break to new all time highs too.  Recently, breaking to new all time highs has not turned into a strong rally higher,  the markets just keep rolling over into the next dcl, but it is slowly putting in higher lows and higher highs, and that is a trend higher. A bit of a rough ride for the BUY & HOLD investor.

 

TQQQ -  So here is the TQQQ that many here trade. Tuesday, Wednesday, or even today you could add to your current position, with a stop below the 50sma.  If you bought in at the DCL, I would raise that stop now that we've had the first drop out of the way.

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