Homework

 Over the past 2 months I have received one specific question about Gold , Silver, and Miners often enough to know that it's important to the readers here. Even though I answered that question in separate emails, I have already done the homework, so why not share it here in the weekend report to benefit everyone?  First, a market review...

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SPX - This is the area that I have been pointing out for the markets to prove themselves.

SPX DAILY 12-24

Now a look at the SPX WKLY chart...

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Looking Forward

I'm actually looking forward to the weekend report.  This week is playing out as anticipated for the most part, so this weekend I will point out some more of the bigger picture things that I have been looking at. 

 

SPX - This climb is heading towards some resistance. We have Wednesday and a 1/2 day Thursday, do you think this will be able to break out higher on a 1/2 day of light volume holiday trading?   Hmmm?

SPX 12-22

Look at this weekly chart of the SPX ...

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Another Slow Week Ahead?

The holiday week has many people checking out early and preparing to spend time with families.  That means that this can be a week of slow trading, but that can also set things up for the next directional moves when traders return to work. Lets see what happened on Monday...

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SPX - Bounce today.  Will it blast off higher? See the wkend report. 

SPX 12-21 Read More

Digging Deeper

This is one of those weekend reports were there was a need to dip deeper and investigate several areas of the markets.  Why? In the last report you may recall that I discussed how the recent trading reminded me of riding the White Water Rapids. For example the SPX was up about 75 points for 3 days heading into the Fed Mtg, and then it dropped down about 70 points for  the next 2 days.  Gold rallied with the Fed Wednesday , sold off Thursday, and rebounded Friday.  Is there a waterfall ahead, or will this river smooth out?  Lets dig in for clues as to what may lie ahead.

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SPX - I posted this wkly chart to show 'weakness' in the indicators that I was using. This would indicate that more downside was likely. 

SPX 12-17 wkly

Take a good look at this chart of the SPX.  Later in this report I will explain why it is important...

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White Water Rafting

If you have never been white water rafting and wondered what it would be like, you just experienced it if you have a position in the markets. Quickly climbing up one white wall and then splashing down the other side, it gets tough to hold on and tough to navigate. One cold splash after another, sometimes people are even tossed off.  That may not be a bad thing, because when rafting in uncharted areas, there may or may not be an unseen huge drop off up ahead. Lets take a look at the markets, and I'll point out what I see.

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Note :  Today is Quadruple Witching. We will probably have some high volume moves today.

SPX WKLY - The weekly chart broke back below 2 key support areas and the blue line needs to hold here at 2000.

SPX 12-17 wkly Read More

Whats Ahead?

We finally got an interest rate hike out of one of the 2015 Fed Meetings.  It appears that various market sectors  seemed to like what they saw. Lets review...

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SPX - The SPX looks Bullish, but I do want to share both a bullish and also a bearish version.

SPX 12-16

This is the bearish version...

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Is It Fed Wednesday Again?

On a day like today it feels like there is so much to say, yet what can be said? Lets do something a little different today.  lets look at what happened on OCT 28, the last Fed Mtg.

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SPX- After Janet finished speaking, the SPX closed higher (Red Arrow). It paused for 2 days, and then had 2 more up days and that was The Top. That Fed Wednesday was exciting, but it was rather short lived when you look back at it.

SPX OCT FED

This is interesting...

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What’s The Big reveal?

In case one couldn't tell , "It's A Fed Thing".   I thought that maybe it would be a little quiet leading up to the Fed declaration on Wednesday and then we'd see a little fireworks, but its a Fed Thing.  Things started shaking up long before Wednesday.   Lets take a look.

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SPX WKLY -  from the weekend report, the weekly looks a bit bearish.

SPX WKLY 12-11

SPX DAILY - from the weekly report. I did mention that we could bounce off of support, but will it get that far?

SPX DAILY 12-11

Todays reversal looked quite convincing, so has my thinking changed?

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‘ Who’ Cares- Another Fed Week

I'm not one to blame news events or market manipulation for all of the moves that the market makes, but this Fed decision is likely already one that is affecting the markets.  The charts are showing signs of change, so lets dig deep and see what we can find.

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SPX WKLY- DO you see weakness in recent weeks in our 'Bull market'?

SPX WKLY 12-11

Pullbacks of 10 % can be healthy in a bull market, but lets take a deeper look...

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Quick Ideas

I just wanted to post a couple of quick thoughts before the weekend.  I will post a couple of charts from yesterdays report, because nothing has really changed there,  and a couple of new ones. 

WTIC - This chart is from yesterday.  That swing low did not hold, and I do not believe that it was a dcl that failed quickly.  I still expect a bounce, but I think that would only be a Dcl, not an ICL in my opinion.  After yesterday we are under the B.B. again. DCL soon.

WTIC 12-9 Read More