Where Are We Now?
/112 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakSo far things are playing out in ways that we anticipated. This should make the trades easier to enter. Lets review the Monday action in the markets.
.SPX OCT 31 - Using cycle analyses, I have been expecting the SPX to drop into a trade-able low. The circled area was the expected target, a higher low and not an outright crash.
SPX - Nov 4th, This is a gravestone doji and quite often acts as a reversal candle after a sell off. Timing was correct and we were within that circled area. We would look for a reversal.
SPX Nov 7th - Monday definitely saw a strong move out of the lows by all indexes. The SPX broke above the 10sma and in the past, day 1 was not the end of it. I expect follow through and then a possible back test of the 10sma. We saw this in Februarys ICL and Junes ICL.
Read MoreWEEKEND REPORT – CONFIDENCE
/145 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakWelcome to the weekend report. It is another long report with roughly 30 charts, to build up your confidence. So grab your coffee and lets get right to the charts!
.SPX - I have been expecting this dip and my target area shown here has been met. Do we see signs of a bottom?
SPX - Yes, this is a gravestone doji sitting on the 200sma. This could be the dcl, because the ' cycle-timing' is right. We wait for a swing low and confirmation before entering, since it can drop below the 200sma as a shake out. Look at the selling here, 9 straight days of red high volume. THAT will change sentiment from Bullish to " I dont want to be long". We may get post election rally no matter who wins, and everyone will then say , " SO & SO won, and that was good news to the markets."
Read MoreShopping For What?
/120 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakFridays idea...
Read MoreWhat’s Next?
/109 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakWe go into a Fed Day knowing that there will be volatility. It doesn't matter what my expectations are longterm, the short term volatility can be difficult for many. That's why I wrote this on Wednesday morning before the Fed release when asked about Gold ( and miners)...
Read MoreNov 2 – Fed Wednesday Again
/213 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakThere is not going to be much new to discuss here until after the Fed on Thursday. We are in the middle or late in various daily cycles, but we can review how things are playing out so far.
.SPX Tuesdays report - I was pointing out that I an expecting a drop
SPX - We got the market drop, but then it reversed going into the close, so we have a reversal candle. With a Fed day Wednesday I wouldn't put my trust in it yet. I did expect a deeper drop.
. Read MoreOct 31 – A Closer Look
/156 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakWe had a huge weekend report, and so what possibly could be said only 1 day later? Well, I have 14 charts in this report to help us to take a closer look at things, because this is a Fed Week. To the charts...
.SPX - I want to say that there is no change from my expectations over the past several weeks. We didn't go long or short, because these sideways markets can just waste time and chop up funds. We are due for a dcl ( possible ICL) , so I do expect a bit more of a drop to a new low, not a move higher yet. We have Fed Wednesday ahead.
Read MoreWeekend Report – Visibility
/51 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakAnother week that started off a little unclear in some areas, but I think we're starting to see some clarity now. Lets review the current condition of the markets and then focus on Precious Metals sector.
.I have been pointing out the potential resistance in the General markets. With the exception of the Nasdaq , which has done a little better, Markets have been rather stagnant. Lets look at the progress over the Month of October.
SPX -This was SEPTEMBER 30th, and the choppiness was making it unpredictable and untradeable.
SPX NOW - 1 Month later and it is a tad lower with a big rounding top. On Oct 13th it broke to a new low and I warned that it now looked like it would NOT go upside until it first breaks to new lows again ( Failed daily cycle). 2077 is currently the 200sma and a possible support.
Lets look at the weekly chart
Read MoreFriday October 28
/194 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakWell, you know the story. I don't usually plan on doing a Friday report. Thursdays report can usually cover what could happen on both Thursday and Friday. We are specifically focused on Gold & Miners , so we should discuss that area a bit before the weekend. Let's start with the $USD.
.USD Oct 26 - Would the dollar drop into its Daily Cycle Low, or would the 10sma act as suppport? It is overdue to dip down.
USD Oct 27 - It DID use the 10sma as support so far. This Daily cycle rise is longer than normal.
Read MoreOct 26 – Lines In The Sand
/158 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakAt this point in time, we should discuss lines in the sand for protective purposes. First, a quick market review.
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SPX - No Change at this point. I see a failed daily cycle and weakness so far.
Lets take a look at the USD ...
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