Friday June 10th
/121 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakWe have 1 trading day left in the week and then we can relax. The weekend report will further our discussion on Energy and Precious metals, so today I am going to just show you 3 charts that will be in the weekend report.
.You may have heard that you should not buy miners until after a 'blood bath phase'. As mentioned in my May 18 report, I have received emails telling me that warnings are out that the next ICL ( meaningful cycle lows that occur roughly every 5-6 months) will NOT come until we first see a huge sell off. Many think that will happen around Brexit ( June 23rd).
.I used this chart to show what happened coming out of the 2008 lows, when we looked for our 2nd ICL. I do NOT see a deep bloodbath phase 6 months after Oct 2008 lows. I see higher lows for 1 year, so that is noteworthy.
Actually, for 2 weeks I have been saying that we could be at the next important low in the precious metals sector. Last weekends report discussed this idea further and this weekend will include more research in that area .
Read MoreJune 8 – Coming Together
/147 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakThe trading has been good for the past few weeks and as time goes by, we are seeing many things coming together as expected. By the time we get to the weekend report, pieces should fall into place and give us a clearer big picture too. Lets review some of the recent action and how it has been playing out.
.DJUSST WKLY - I posted charts of STEEL in May and June and expected another run higher. Steel stocks should benefit.
STEEL - This is the daily. Lets look at steel 1 week later. Steels daily 1 week later.
STEEL JUNE 8th - One week later and Steel is breaking out. Steel stocks like STLD, AKS, X, etc have started running again too.
Notice how Steel broke above the 50sma, stalled and then took off higher? Then take a look at this...
Read MoreJune 8 – Energy
/92 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakWe've been discussing Oil and Energy among other things recently, and I wanted to mention what I am noticing in this sector lately.
WTIC - Over a month ago, I had a target of $51.60. I felt that Oil may struggle at the $50 area and pull back before moving higher. A drop into a Daily Cycle Low would be the red path shown. The Green path is possible too.
We do see that struggle at the $50 area, but here is something to consider...
Read MoreJune 6 – Lining Up
/79 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakEverything that we have been discussing is still lining up. Lets review...
.SPX - I have been expecting a bullish rise since the lows in February, and a higher high after the DCL. Quite interesting that even after a very weak jobs report Friday, the chart remains bullishly lined up.
Read MoreJune 4 Part 2 – The Golden Egg
/99 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakThis is part 2 of our weekend report, and it will focus on the Precious Metals Market. In Last weekends report, I pointed out this very important chart. What was I trying to draw attention to?
GOLD- Using Cycles, the Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL) , a very meaningful bottom, has been arriving every 4-5 months. I pointed out that at 6 months from the Dec 3rd ICL, a very important low is due. Gold was not plunging deeply into its low, so many were not buying, they are waiting for that deep pullback. Would it be that easy to get 'low priced Miners' again? I thought we would see the ICL in 1 or 2 weeks. Here we are, 1 week later.
Read MoreJune 4 – Shocked
/13 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakI believe there were a lot of shocked faces Friday after the release of the Jobs Report. The Dollar absolutely tanked and Gold surged higher. In fact, GDX was up over 11% by the close. Was it completely unexpected here at Chartfreak? The dramatic fashion that things occurred was a little surprising, but I have been focused on Miners again since last weekends report. I said in last weekends report that " It is time to focus on Precious Metals again". I mentioned that the "Timing" was due for a low and in each daily report I tried to point out more evidence that something was coming. Today, we will discuss this even further. Lets get right into the market review.
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SPX WKLY - Nothing has changed here. We dot our DCL and now we are waiting for a break to new highs or failure.
Read MoreFRY DAY
/64 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakFriday, the final trading day of the week.
Read MoreJune 2- Patiently Waiting
/50 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakMany readers here like to trade daily, attempting to scalp some short term gains or trying to grab a small run. Others may be patiently waiting in cash for a longer term run, like we saw in Miners from Mid January through April? Like the Bear in the theme picture patiently waiting for a salmon run, they soon should be rewarded. After a market review, let's discuss what is involved in that waiting period.
,SPX- We still see our bullish set up and even got a reversal Wednesday after an early sell off.
Read MoreTechnical Difficulties
/54 Comments/in Premium /by Alex - Chart FreakTo start with, I know many followed me on this trade, since it was pointed out a few times as low risk above the 200sma and very oversold. You should not have been stopped out with price holding the 200sma, as part of the trading plan.
.CLF - May 23 - Low risk entry above the 200sma, stop loosely below the 200sma.
May 25- A trend line was also acting as support and the MACD was correcting itself.
CLF May 31 - Sweet, up 40% more today.
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