Jan 18th – More Picks

The VIX was Popping, the markets were dropping, and ...

 

DJIA - We just can't even get a 2 day pull back in this runaway move 🙂   A trailing stop still has you in this long position  ( TQQQ, UPRO, UDOW, ETC).  If we do get a sustained pull back, it will likely be a very good buying opportunity.Day 41 for the Dow is getting late.

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January 17th – Expectations

With only 1 trading day behind us since the weekend report, nothing has really changed in our expectations for the various Market sectors, but some small changes did take place.  Let's  just take a look at what we expect going forward.

 

SPX & VIX - Using the chart below, I had mentioned on January 3rd that as the markets keep running higher, they continues to look to have that parabolic type climb to it.  Then I pointed out that with the VIX trading at 9, we should expect a POP in the VIX at some point, and a drop (temporary) in the run. Here I pointed out that LOWS come after a pop in the vix.

 

The VIX started to pop Tuesday and ...

SPX - The Markets started to roll over. It is day 40, so we are due for a pull back using cycle timing.  I would look for a drop to possibly dip under the 10sma for starters. The dips have been shallow, so we'll see how this plays out over the next few days.

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WEEKEND REPORT

There is an old saying designed to help us avoid being fooled into believing that something is anything other than it really is. Maybe you are familiar with that saying, it goes like this...

“If it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, looks like a duck, it must be a duck” 

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I think that this saying can also apply to a Bull too, or even when it comes to a Bull Market run.  Whether it is short term or longer term,  a Bull Run should be treated as one until it no longer looks like one. Another helpful saying in this regard has been , "Never short a Bull market".  Let's discuss a number of Bull Markets on the run here...

 

SPX - Well nothing has changed here and this is a weekly chart. This is a bull market and anyone trying to short this has been trampled down.

SPX - I have recommended just using a trailing stop to be able to continue riding this Bull ( UPRO, UDOW, TQQQ, ETC), and with these shallow sideways pull backs, the ride continued to another week of new highs.

 

Let's take a look at the DJIA too...

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Something For Everyone

 The way the various sectors of the markets have been playing out, I would say that there is something out there for everyone.  We have 'short term trades', 'longer term set ups', 'trending runs', etc.

 

 Note:  Today is Friday,  the last day before another 3 day weekend in the U.S. Markets.  You may want to keep that in mind as you decide what you do or do not want to hold until Tuesday.

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Thursday Jan 11

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Wednesday Jan 10 – It’s Just A Pullback

 We will discuss the Miners and the current pullback after a quick review of various Market Sectors.

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SPX - This is often a topping candle, a reversal , but lately the SPX just drops down to the 10sma and may fill some gaps if it does.

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No Big Changes yet

No big changes took place since the weekend report, but we do have quite a few charts to look at, so let's dig right in...

 

SPX - The markets continued higher...

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January 6th – Weekend Update

Looking at SPX, DJIA, and the NASDAQ at the end of the week, and we basically see the uptrend remains on track. Using  a trailing stop has kept the 'longs' in the trade.  Some are riding UPRO, UDOW, TQQQ.

I wanted to point out the VIX again, however...

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Oh, THAT’S What That Feels Like!

How timely was my article at the end of yesterdays morning report, discussing how sharply the Medical Marijuana stocks can sell off ? Holding those felt a lot like that ride in the opening Theme picture, but I am going to have a part 2 in todays report and discuss future buying opportunities in some of these companies again too.

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Thursday Jan 4th

 

SPX #1 -  There are a few reasons that I do not believe that we just saw a DCL 2 days ago.  That means that I think we are on day 32, and we should still dip into a low soon.  I pointed out the area of the green arrow yesterday as an example.

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