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It has been difficult trading or investing for the Buy & Hold group. October was a drop into our ICL , and it was a deep one. Since then, we have seen a lot of choppiness heading into the U.S. Elections. Markets do hate uncertainty. Now that that will be behind us, we still have an FOMC Mtg scheduled for Wednesday & Thursday of this week, so unless we get a strong reaction higher when the results of the elections are released, maybe we should just expect a bit more choppiness . Let's review our market sectors...
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SPX - After an A-B-C type sell off , this looks like an ICL is in place and we are on day 6. Resistance is right above, so the elections results could push price through. Markets do not do well in uncertain times, so the post election results could help the markets.
Read More I'll tell you what's up...
Read MoreWhen you take a look at the weekend reports charts, you will see that we have been buying in areas that went on sale recently. To The Charts!!...
SPX WEEKLY - We have our weekly reversal in the General markets.
Let's discuss this further...
Read MoreLet's talk about Thursdays trading...
Read MoreOnce again, not a lot has changed from the expectations that we have had for a while now, but I do believe that we are now very close to some changes. Let's discuss that...
Read MoreI have been digging in this weekend, and looking for more clues within our market sectors. Let's just get right to it, I've stumbled across some rather 'interesting' finds to share with you. We will focus much of this report on the GOLD & MINERS , after reviewing the Big Picture on the General Markets and Oil...
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SPX DAILY - The selling has been relentless and as mentioned, the safer buy would be to wait for a confirmed daily cycle low (DCL). Though we did have a bounce over a week ago, this week we did not have enough buying to push above that 10sma. That said, CYCLE COUNT indicates that we are very close to that dcl. A doji candle formed Friday, a candle of indecision with Buyers Vs Sellers breaking even. THE LOWS ARE DUE.
Read MoreSo we were expecting that the Miners could possibly drop to do a 'back test' of the 50 sma. In fact, I mentioned that in almost every report for weeks. I must admit though, I did not expect it to happen all in one day, but that is pretty much what happened Thursday. Let's take a look...
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This is my GDX Oct 15th chart, showing that that possibility exists for that back test. I wanted us to be prepared for a drop like that, but like I said, I expected it to be more of a normal gradual dip lower.
Just 1 hr into trading, the drop in GDX & GDXJ looked like this, and it closed even lower at $19, just above that 50sma.
On top of THAT, this was Gold and it hardly dropped?
Can we make sense of this? Is this still just the back test of the 50sma for GDX & GDXJ? Did earnings of GG & NEM destroy all hope for Miners? Well, I do have a few ideas that will give us clues to watch for as this continues to play out. This will be a longer Friday report than normal, so let's get right into it...
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Honestly, not much changed from yesterdays report, except for the depth of the General Market selling. Let's review and try to discuss at least a couple of new things.
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