Entries by Alex - Chart Freak

Weekend Report – Fed Decisions

June 11, 2017 /67 Comments/in /by

The week before the Fed decision had a good amount of  action, so let's take a look at the week before the Fed Meeting and see if it gives us any clues about what we might expect next week.  Hint Hint:  Did you see the reaction in the XLF as the markets sold off?

 

XLF on May 31 - This is what I have been watching for weeks. That 50sma was capping the financials and they looked pretty bearish.

XLF Now - As mentioned Friday The XLF & BKX  broke out Thursday and had follow through on Friday.  BANKS have done well leading up to and after a Fed Mtg with a rate hike. Look at what happened before & after the DEC 2016 Rate Hike, which was also very much anticipated. Now we see that type of action again.

Now look at the NASDAQ - at 1:30 Eastern time, I posted this chart in the comments/ chat section and declared that 'so far the sell off was similar to many of the recent ones'.  Maybe the 50sma would be a target down the road?  Did it remain that way?

WHOA! It dropped all the way to the 34sma all in 1 day and then bounced. This is an area that supported price in the past.  At one point it had erased over 2 weeks of gains in 1 afternoon!

 

What am I looking at now?

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June 9th – Setting Up

June 9, 2017 /84 Comments/in /by

This is going to be a very very long report for a Friday, filled with many charts, so let's get right into it...

 

USD - We are likely seeing a swing low form in the USD, so the Dollar should move higher and this could be what we have been waiting for to cap Gold and give us a pullback. I'll cover this more in the weekend report.

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The Same Difference

June 8, 2017 /74 Comments/in /by

The past few reports discussed some of the similarities and differences taking place in the various market sectors right now. We will continue to examine some of these similarities and differences today.

SPX - Mini bull flag type set ups keep pushing these markets higher.  It is only day 13 of this daily cycle and it can continue to move higher.

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June 7th – New Signs

June 7, 2017 /142 Comments/in /by

I saw signs of a change taking place on Tuesday, so I sent out an intra-day report to quickly discuss some basic trade ideas until I could spend some additional time going over the charts and trying to piece some things together.  This report is going to focus mainly on the changes that I have already witnessed taking place.

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Gold At A Glance

June 6, 2017 /113 Comments/in /by

What has changed since the weekend report? Really not a whole lot, except that the Miners were still lack luster on Monday ,while  GOLD continues looking about as bullish as they come. I woke up, flipped open the laptop quickly on the way to get a coffee and honestly was surprised to see Gold up another $13 and looking like it wants to tag $1300.  In Shock, I had to just sit down and run through the report that I wrote last night,  reviewing charts of  Miners that I had prepared, etc.  Honestly, they are NOT believing this move in Gold. Look at GG for example, it remains at the lows...

So today, a quick review and we will discuss GOLD & THE MINERS AGAIN.

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QQQ - A Doji candle formed in the General Markets, however a Doji does not have to be a 'top' as we think of them. A doji can be a pause, as seen in Early May. Loose trailing stops have kept 'Longs' in the game.

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June 4 – Another Big Picture View

June 5, 2017 /107 Comments/in /by

I'm going to have some short term chart analysis, but for this weekend report, I want to focus mainly on the Big Picture of each sector. My daily reports have covered much of the short term expectations.

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From Thursday -  Nice Bullish follow through and it is still early in a new daily cycle, higher prices are expected.

 

SPX WKLY as of Fridays close: The General Markets are closing right at Weekly highs. Bullish.

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June 1 – Lessons

June 1, 2017 /113 Comments/in /by

Today we'll start with a quick market review, and so far things are really still playing out pretty much as expected.  I then want to present another lesson on patience.  It is important and a lesson on patience can be very helpful at times.  It helps us to remain positive while we wait for what I think will be an exceptional buying opportunity in the near future.

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NASDAQ -  The NASDAQ & The SPX dropped and bounced off of the 8 sma.  So we see that the sell off was avoided for now, but these can still be topping candles.  We also do have divergence forming at these highs, so we could be vulnerable to a dip in the markets.

 

The following chart is another reason that I have advised using that trailing stops...

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Wednesday May 31- Back To Work

May 31, 2017 /107 Comments/in /by

I spent much of Tuesday catching up on charts and various news articles that I may have missed over the long weekend.  After all was said and done, nothing has really changed in my expectations going forward. Let's review...

 

SPX - After a shake out below the 50sma and recovery 8 days ago, the markets seemed to have put in another dcl and are near all time highs. These small pauses or flags may just continue higher so...

 

I said in the weekend report that I personally would not be shorting this bull market, since surprises do keep coming to the upside.  That said, I am still keeping an eye on this...

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