Author Archive for: Alex - Chart Freak
Entries by Alex - Chart Freak
Gold At A Glance
What has changed since the weekend report? Really not a whole lot, except that the Miners were still lack luster on Monday ,while GOLD continues looking about as bullish as they come. I woke up, flipped open the laptop quickly on the way to get a coffee and honestly was surprised to see Gold up another $13 and looking like it wants to tag $1300. In Shock, I had to just sit down and run through the report that I wrote last night, reviewing charts of Miners that I had prepared, etc. Honestly, they are NOT believing this move in Gold. Look at GG for example, it remains at the lows...
So today, a quick review and we will discuss GOLD & THE MINERS AGAIN.
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QQQ - A Doji candle formed in the General Markets, however a Doji does not have to be a 'top' as we think of them. A doji can be a pause, as seen in Early May. Loose trailing stops have kept 'Longs' in the game.
June 4 – Another Big Picture View
I'm going to have some short term chart analysis, but for this weekend report, I want to focus mainly on the Big Picture of each sector. My daily reports have covered much of the short term expectations.
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From Thursday - Nice Bullish follow through and it is still early in a new daily cycle, higher prices are expected.
SPX WKLY as of Fridays close: The General Markets are closing right at Weekly highs. Bullish.
Friday June 2 Jobs report
Today is the final trading day of the week, so let's do a quick review...
SPX - In the weekend report, I warned against 'shorting' the General markets . Surprises are still coming to the upside.
June 1 – Lessons
Today we'll start with a quick market review, and so far things are really still playing out pretty much as expected. I then want to present another lesson on patience. It is important and a lesson on patience can be very helpful at times. It helps us to remain positive while we wait for what I think will be an exceptional buying opportunity in the near future.
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NASDAQ - The NASDAQ & The SPX dropped and bounced off of the 8 sma. So we see that the sell off was avoided for now, but these can still be topping candles. We also do have divergence forming at these highs, so we could be vulnerable to a dip in the markets.
The following chart is another reason that I have advised using that trailing stops...
Wednesday May 31- Back To Work
I spent much of Tuesday catching up on charts and various news articles that I may have missed over the long weekend. After all was said and done, nothing has really changed in my expectations going forward. Let's review...
SPX - After a shake out below the 50sma and recovery 8 days ago, the markets seemed to have put in another dcl and are near all time highs. These small pauses or flags may just continue higher so...
I said in the weekend report that I personally would not be shorting this bull market, since surprises do keep coming to the upside. That said, I am still keeping an eye on this...
May 29 – Weekend Report
Trading is closed in the U.S. on Monday. Here is your week in review...
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SPX - This is from our Friday morning report. A week ago I mentioned that it seems that the slam down may have cleared the deck of sellers and put in a dcl. We still have had all right translated daily cycles in this run. Please read the chart.
SPX - We could get shallow pull backs at anytime, but a loose trailing stop can keep someone that is 'long' in position. A hard stop could also be placed under the 50sma, since that shouldn't be broken again for a while. This is now a 3 month consolidation and a break out.
Friday – The Oil Leak
Friday, the last trading day of the week.
Well, honestly the Oil leak that we experienced yesterday was no surprise to most of my readers. I expected that drop and I wanted to point something out from here...
WTIC - This Doji was pointed out yesterday as a topping candle. We had an OPEC meeting that would review possibly continuing with cuts. Could this drop if they agree to continue with the Oil cuts? Yes, it was due and even though OPEC agreed to continue with the Oil cuts, Oil sprung a leak.
WTIC - One thing that I want you to notice is that often when OIL has that one big 3 or 4% slam day ( see red arrow) , it doesn't usually bounce like many other sectors do the following day. It may bounce intra-day, but often that OIL SPILL just continued to sell off day after day in the recent past. Oil is overbought and has plenty of room to run lower. Thursday DWT, DRIP, DUG, and ERY were all great trades from that DOJI top at the trend line.
May 25th – Observations
Wednesday had the release of the Fed Minutes in the afternoon, and that put a reversal into the Miners sell off. Thursday has the NATGAS inventory report and we also have the OPEC meeting that could Move OIL one way or the other. These things are not unexpected, so let's discuss some observations from the current charts.
SPX - I was expecting this run to roll over after the recent slam, but it will take some time to see how this plays out.
SPX - So far the General Markets continued higher.
This is something that is important to me in the bigger picture...
Subconscious
I have decided to release a large part of my last weekend report to the public, so that you can see what we at Chartfreak have been looking at. Enjoy.
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Have you ever heard someone say, "In the back of my mind, I was thinking about..." ? Well, in this weekend report I'm going to discuss my analysis ( technical / Cycles / etc) and the conclusions that are drawn from that, but I also wanted to mention a few things that have subconsciously been ' in the back of my mind ' in a few areas.
SPX - Friday I pointed out that we could bounce here, but I still expect a bit more of a drop after a bounce.
We did get the bounce at multiple support areas after filling a lower gap & 'buy the dip' has been working. Now we could fill the overhead gap.
These patterns do look similar with a continuing rally, and some may think that it would lead to further rally upside...
