Entries by Alex - Chart Freak

Top Notch Tops – Strategy Tips

(The images below are a sample of Alex work and are to provide a little education on understanding tops in a market or asset)

Like most things in technical analysis, spotting a top is as much art as it is science. When you see a top, it doesn't mean it is time to run for the hills, take all your positions off the table, hyper leverage shorting the market or throwing computers out of windows.  NOPE!  It just means you need to be extra cautious with your trades, you probably should take some profits, de-risk most of your positions, tighten stops and don't take on long positions on a large time frame.

Here are some clues that the market was likely to experience the sharp sell-off we experienced last week.

(From 10/13/18)

SPX WEEKLY - I've been looking for a drop into an ICL , similar to January.  There it is, read the chart, and there is more..

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October 18th – It’s Still A Rough Ride

The release of the FOMC Minutes really didn't seem to have any meaningful or lasting reaction in the markets.  It may have added a little knee jerk reaction or volatility, but overall there was no big directional change.   Let's take a look at our markets, and again, there really are no major changes from yesterdays report to discuss, but we'll still review what we have...

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SPX - I have been looking for a steep drop and an ICL.  We have that steep drop and a reversal after the 200sma was taken out, so this could be a shake out.  It is a swing low, and yesterday I said that this could be bought ( TQQQ or UPRO, etc) however...

 

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September 17 – Slidiing

Note:  FED MINUTES are released at 2 p.m.  Wednesday.

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The General Markets stopped sliding, yet 1 day before medical & recreational marijuana is to be legalized in Canada -  Pot stocks decide to slide.  Is it going to be the typical  "Buy the rumor, Sell the news? " in that sector?  Is the rally over?   We'll take a look at that too.  Lets take a look at the market action...

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NASDAQ - This ICL drop was steep and broke the RSI below 30, unlike  the Feb & March drop.  This reversal could be bought at a low risk low,  but ...

 

 

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Weekend Rejoice! Oh, I Guess I Mean Weekend Review

We are all well aware of what happened in the markets this week, and really it is what we have been waiting for and discussing in the Big Picture Views for a while.  That said, we now have a lot to look at in this Big Picture Review.  Read each chart carefully....  To the charts!

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SPX WEEKLY - I've been looking for a drop into an ICL , similar to January.  There it is, read the chart, and there is more..

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Thar She Blows Matey!!!

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Thar she blows is right!

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GOLD - We have been expecting this kind of 'recognition day ' for a while,  so Let's discuss this BURST higher in Gold and Miners...

GOLD climbed  $28 on Thursday, and it was pretty much steady and straight up.

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The Warning Signs Were There

(Below is a snippet of Alex’s work from the last week and the major US Indexes) We all saw the major decline in the US Indexes and equities on October 10th. Were you prepared or caught off guard? From Thursday October 4th: NASDAQ –  Each morning I wake up and Futures are a lot higher, […]

Thursday – Hanging On

I have been mentioning that the markets were due for a drop into an ICL, and I used this chart to show the potential downside -

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NASDAQ AUGUST -  I thought that we might run to the top and then drop into an ICL just like the drops we saw in the beginning of 2018, and ...

 

This chart looks to be a lot of what I was expecting, but I wouldn't just jump in here.  The NASDAQ broke & closed below the 200sma. Even though this could be a shake out, there is no need to try to catch this falling knife. We'll monitor it along the way.

 

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A Golden Bull?

Below is a snippet of Alex’s work from the past few days and his coverage of Gold.   (From Saturday) 2 BULLISH SIGNS IN GOLD LAST WEEK . 1. The USD was higher, GOLD, SILVER  & MINERS were not phased by it. 2. Remember that last week was known as the Chinese Golden Week, a […]