Today we'll start with a quick market review, and so far things are really still playing out pretty much as expected. I then want to present another lesson on patience. It is important and a lesson on patience can be very helpful at times. It helps us to remain positive while we wait for what I think will be an exceptional buying opportunity in the near future.
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NASDAQ - The NASDAQ & The SPX dropped and bounced off of the 8 sma. So we see that the sell off was avoided for now, but these can still be topping candles. We also do have divergence forming at these highs, so we could be vulnerable to a dip in the markets.
The following chart is another reason that I have advised using that trailing stops...
Read MoreI spent much of Tuesday catching up on charts and various news articles that I may have missed over the long weekend. After all was said and done, nothing has really changed in my expectations going forward. Let's review...
SPX - After a shake out below the 50sma and recovery 8 days ago, the markets seemed to have put in another dcl and are near all time highs. These small pauses or flags may just continue higher so...
I said in the weekend report that I personally would not be shorting this bull market, since surprises do keep coming to the upside. That said, I am still keeping an eye on this...
Read MoreTrading is closed in the U.S. on Monday. Here is your week in review...
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SPX - This is from our Friday morning report. A week ago I mentioned that it seems that the slam down may have cleared the deck of sellers and put in a dcl. We still have had all right translated daily cycles in this run. Please read the chart.
SPX - We could get shallow pull backs at anytime, but a loose trailing stop can keep someone that is 'long' in position. A hard stop could also be placed under the 50sma, since that shouldn't be broken again for a while. This is now a 3 month consolidation and a break out.
Read MoreFriday, the last trading day of the week.
Well, honestly the Oil leak that we experienced yesterday was no surprise to most of my readers. I expected that drop and I wanted to point something out from here...
WTIC - This Doji was pointed out yesterday as a topping candle. We had an OPEC meeting that would review possibly continuing with cuts. Could this drop if they agree to continue with the Oil cuts? Yes, it was due and even though OPEC agreed to continue with the Oil cuts, Oil sprung a leak.
WTIC - One thing that I want you to notice is that often when OIL has that one big 3 or 4% slam day ( see red arrow) , it doesn't usually bounce like many other sectors do the following day. It may bounce intra-day, but often that OIL SPILL just continued to sell off day after day in the recent past. Oil is overbought and has plenty of room to run lower. Thursday DWT, DRIP, DUG, and ERY were all great trades from that DOJI top at the trend line.
Read MoreWednesday had the release of the Fed Minutes in the afternoon, and that put a reversal into the Miners sell off. Thursday has the NATGAS inventory report and we also have the OPEC meeting that could Move OIL one way or the other. These things are not unexpected, so let's discuss some observations from the current charts.
SPX - I was expecting this run to roll over after the recent slam, but it will take some time to see how this plays out.
SPX - So far the General Markets continued higher.
This is something that is important to me in the bigger picture...
Read MoreLet's do a little review and discuss a little about a drop that I am expecting.
SPX - There are times when you are expecting a pullback and suddenly you get a large 1 or 2 day slam. That can exhaust the move down, or 'clean the plate' of sellers for a while , so price starts to rise again. I was looking for bounce & an overhead gap fill, but we are also due for a dcl. So will the drop resume or was that it? It could have been a dcl. Let's look at prior moves out of such a slam...
Read MorePlease reread the weekend report for my thoughts on the markets. Mondays moves still fit the thinking that we have gone over for the past couple of weeks. In addition to the weekend report that I released, I gathered some charts of trade set ups or trade ideas that may be forming. At times we see patterns forming within patterns, like the picture above, and I want to share those charts here...
Read MoreIt is the final trading day of the week, so let's review the market action...
SPX - The SPX backtested the break out trend line and bounced after filling a gap. Please read the chart.
Some may think that this is the dcl, and the "buy the dip'" team has rescued it again. That might be true, however...
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