The Fat Pitch

I wanted to post tonight because the action today was excellent.  I think we may be getting  the FAT PITCH that traders wait for all year. Lets take a look...

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It’s Not A Straight line

We all know that the markets don't move in a straight line, and lately the volatility has made the path to successful investing a bit trickier. At times it is best to get a longer term view of where things are headed, so the wiggles or shake ups don't knock us off course. Lets look at some charts.

SPX - This summer I was looking for that drop in the markets.

SPX 7-26  crash coming

The question is , is it done?

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The Hardest Part

According to Tom Petty,  "The waiting is the hardest part".   I do believe he's right, but at times it is the safest thing to do.  For example, did you see the futures yesterday in the morning? The Dow was set to open up hundreds of points higher and in fact, most of the day the Dow was up 300+ points. We were putting in a very nice bounce and suddenly going into the close the Dow sold off and closed down 2o4 points.  The S&P and NASDAQ did the same thing.  Lets take a look.

DJIA - Both Monday and Tuesday if traders entered the markets during the rally, they were stopped out or seeing red by the close.  Today the Futures are up big again. 

DJIA 8-25 2

 The markets are very oversold.  I expect a bounce up to the major moving averages, but that may actually be a shorting opportunity. Now If you look at the Dow this way, you can see that several  more days like we just saw and you could make the case for the formation of a bear flag, wearing off oversold conditions.

DJIA 8-25 Read More