1-21-16 – Prepare For A Bounce

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down over 550 points yesterday and then rallied back into the end of the day, putting a form of reversal candle in place. Thursday morning the futures are RED, but we are at an extreme point that calls for a bounce/ rally. Yes it could last for days and weeks, but is the selling over? Lets review the markets and some stocks.

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The SPX  put in a large reversal candle too, after breaking below the August lows.  1730 is a normal downside target, but I think we rally first. It should be easy to get a swing low.  A move above yesterdays highs begins the process.

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What do I expect from this move higher after it starts?

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They Did What?

Yes,  Gold has a bullish looking set up, and miners not only sold off, but they broke to new lows.   We will discuss that, but first lets take a look at the rest of the markets.

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NASDAQ -  The futures are up over 100 to 200 points each morning,  but the rally fades.  What to do?

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Here is the SPX ...

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Jan 16 2016 – Weekend Report

As expected, we have seen quite the sell off in the general markets.  Oil & Commodities have been selling off too. Gold , Silver , And Precious metals are holding up, but are they ready to run now, or will they sell off?  I actually spent a part of this weekend digging in to older charts and making some new ones, so lets take a look. 

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While digging into older charts, I actually found this warning chart that I posted in April of 2015,  when I said I thought we were seeing that rising wedge forming.  Also by counting the months of the Bull market, we looked to be late in the bull.   I am re-posting it because it had a logical target to me at that time. 

SPY - We topped in May 1 month later. Now drop to Test the break out?

spy-monthlySPX - We broke the Aug lows Friday and recovered. This is a failure, but we can get a solid bounce soon. Lets discuss a couple of possible scenarios .  One is a flash crash right now, the other is a believable rally that rolls over eventually. 

SPX SHORT 1-15 Read More