Aug 22 – Upside Surprises

After a pretty solid reversal candle on Friday, the Precious metals sector gave us a little surprise to the upside on Monday. We'll discuss that and a few other things in this report...

 

SPX - 6 days ago I warned about buying the reversal in the General Market, because the 'timing' was not quite right and some of the internals did not look healthy.  The reversal on Monday is within the expected timing for a dcl, though some internals are still weak. This one may be the dcl if we get a swing low in place.

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Weekend Aug 20

I'm starting off the weekly report with 2 charts that I used in the comments section of a recent report. Then we will cover the markets and especially Oil & Precious metals.

 

These 2 charts were used last week simply to point out the phenomenon that often happens in the markets.  It is the round number phenomenon, where markets tend to find support & resistance at round numbers.

 

SPX -  Here you can see how traders temporarily sell at round number resistance or buy at round number support and this affects price action.

 

GOLD - And my point is that this can just be a temporary pause. A sideways move may begin and build energy for the next break of resistance. Gold was near 1300.

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Aug 18th – Friday Again

 Let's talk about 3 things here today...

 

1.   QQQ -  I thought that QQQ was a bull trap for several reasons, like Cycle timing, The MACD,  the Open Gap was pretty obvious, and other internal factors were keeping me cautious, but the Bulls were still buying each reversal.Was this just another Bull Trap?

 

QQQ - The NASDAQ dropped as expected, actually losing 123 points.  The QQQ slammed into the 50sma and it could bounce from here, but ...

Patience in this area is important. I doubt that we will get a swing low on Friday, with a candle as big as yesterdays in place.

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