MAY 6th Weekend Report

Keeping in mind that we have the French Elections on Sunday and the results can cause a short term reaction, let's review the market action from last week and our current expectations.

 

SPX WEEKLY - The SPX finally broke to new highs last week ( We know that the Nasdaq has been running like a bull).

 

SPX -  The SPX will be due to drop down into its own ICL soon. In the past the 200ma has been rather reliable as a support.  Since the 200 is rising, maybe the SPX will see 2300?  As you can see from previous drops down into an icl, a drop like that can take a few weeks once it starts to roll over.  "Sell in May and go away?"

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Friday May 5th

Lets get right to the report...

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Fed Follow Up Report

Honestly, there was  little permanent reaction when the Fed decision was made known, but we can't say that a lot changed.  Expectations remain the same, so lets review these markets....

 

SPX - This was in yesterdays report, please read the chart.  Also the signs of improvement in the XLF continued.

 

DJIA - I expected a dip, but this reversal after the Fed may have follow through upside. This consolidation could be forming an inverse H&S.

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