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Another week has come and gone, lets do a review and see what it may tell us we might expect going into the next week of trading.
That was a fast week of selling in the $SPX , wasn't it? : )
I had pointed out the first area of support last week and we already arrived there Friday...
Read More The Big Picture . Its important to your investing to know what you're looking at, each piece big and Small together. Why? Sometimes it can help us to be patient and wait for the best trade set ups, other times it gives us confidence that our trade ideas will have positive follow through or minimal downside risk. Both are important as we watch the movement in the markets unfold. Well, Today is Friday and not a whole lot has changed from the report yesterday, so I want to do a quick review and after today we can do a weekend report that may shed even more light on things.
Read MoreSometimes We See Different things
Read MoreWriting this report is tough, because its going to sound a little like yesterdays.
Read More In some situations, patience just doesn't just come naturally. We need to train ourselves to be patient. Here at Chartfreak, while looking at a few nice trade set ups here and there, we've really been waiting patiently for...
Read MoreIt gets mesmerizing & hypnotic if you stare at it too long. Yes, the picture above, but also the Metals and miners markets. I wanted to just pop in intra-day and address a few thoughts, I am getting some "Concerns" about Miners dropping even lower here. Yes, GDX is lower and Miners look weak, but in a drop to a daily cycle low...that is what fools everyone. Let me show you 3 charts that can help us to gain confidence.
Read More Right now I am comfortable with the present information indicating that we did see an ICL in Early November. It also appears that when we look at Gold and Miners, they have moved forward in what is likely going to be a "Right Translated" daily cycle. There is no way to KNOW this ahead of time, but what This means is that it "Peaks" its highest point in that Daily Cycle more than halfway through it. That also means that it will break to new highs once it has found its daily cycle low and reverses higher. So while I am comfortable that things are still lining up properly... I never like to get Overly Comfortable. The markets can do anything , so we stay alert . Lets examine what the Gold/ Silver/ Miners are looking like after last week, and then discuss a few other things.
Gold On Friday after the jobs report ended like this -
Notice this important fact about Gold ...
Read MoreToday we get the Friday Jobs Report. Yes...FRIDAY! If you've followed my reports for the past 4 Fridays, it has been a day for GOLD shake outs. This is GOLD as I start writing, we might as well expect some shaking . Looking at this chart , however, You can see that a drop below the bottom trend line (& later a recovery) would just be more noise.
We are also anticipating a Daily Cycle Low, so a drop in GOLD and Miners is possible, but should lead to a higher low. REMEMBER - Daily Cycles can last 20 + days ...
Read MoreAfter looking at a few thousand charts yesterday , I am thinking that it might just be time to take some positions if you dont have one. Though we "COULD" dip down into a daily cycle low, I again have to wonder if that SMACK DOWN last Friday-Monday was the end of a short daily cycle. THAT would mean we are in the 2nd DCYcle. Also looking at charts of many Miners yesterday, they look like good set ups , some have very little downside risk vs what could be a nice %-Gain to the upside. Take a look with me and see what you think.
GOLD 4 hr chart this morning. Looks pretty bullish as I write (7:00 A.M.)
SO I mention above a possible future DCL with the Jobs report Friday, but this cup & Handle also looks like it could POP higher for a couple of days. IF a DCL is still ahead, it THEN may only drop to a DCL that isnt much lower than right here if break out of this cup/handle soon. LOOK AGAIN at GOLD WKLY as of yesterday...
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Today I wanted to mention a couple of observations in the Metals markets and the Dollar. Also - you may want to re-read yesterdays report, it came out late in the day and really not much has changed. I am still trying to figure out if that HUGE move by GOLD & SILVER Monday indicates the end of a short first daily cycle , and the start of a new one? If so GOLD would likely POP higher soon (Jobs report? ) Or, As mentioned, was that strong slam down & reversal just putting in a daily cycle high and now we drift down to a daily cycle low. THIS chart was posted to show that idea in GDX 2008 lows.
You want to be in for the second leg up
Some have stated that the recent surge in the DOLLAR (And it continues overnight) shows extremely bullish conditions and they fear that GOLD will crumble as the Dollar plows higher.
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