The Runners

Yesterday we saw some of the Energy and Mining stocks running swiftly. There are some small bases that have formed in the past few weeks, and now they may be starting a small leg up. Some had Gains of 20 % in one day, which could just be a mix of short covering and a little buying, but they may still continue higher.  We'll take a look at some individual stock set ups like the one below.

SGY - A break above the 50sma, we see a possible Inverse H&S forming.

SGY

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The Real Deal?

We discussed abnormal cycles in the markets in the last 2 reports, and I want to finish that discussion in the Gold report today. First lets review the other sectors and then we'll see whether or not the moves in Precious Metals are likely to be a few more false starts, or closer to the real deal.

My SPX chart from over 1 month ago is playing out nicely. I expected a test of the lows and a test of the break down as shown here.

20015 Topping SPX

SPX -  Sept 29 we got the test of the lows as expected. Now we should see a reversal higher.

SPX 9-29

SPX WKLY - We got that reversal as this week ended and I expect the SPX , DJIA, QQQ, etc to run higher.

SPX WKLY SIMILARITY

This is what I'm expecting next...

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Abnormal Cycles Part 2

Part 2 of this mornings Gold report. I'll start with 2 charts that I pointed out  recently in premium reports and in the public post yesterday, indicating some bullishness in the miners...

ABX 9-30

Sept 30 -  GDX buy above the blue line and confirmation above the green dotted line .  We are currently seeing that today  ( we need to close that way)

GDX vs GLD 9-30

Why was this important? Using only Cycles, the volatile  movement in Gold and the Miners was causing concern and looked ready to fail.  While using some of the indicators that I have developed to monitor internals at the lows,  I was still seeing bullishness in a number of ways and technical analysis was also leaning toward bullishness, as seen above. I dug a little deeper to try to reconcile the differences and came up with this...

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Abnormal Cycles

This report will only cover Gold, Silver, and Miners

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Got Pain?

The market volatility has been whip sawing people left and right. What used to look like the perfect set up falls apart in just a day or two, so having  'stops' in place has been very important. Lets take a look at the markets and then review some very interesting things that took place in the Metals and Miners area today.

 

SPX-  This bounce was expected.

SPX 9-30 Read More

Time Decay

It's time to discuss decay in the Oil and Metals markets, but first lets do a review of the equity markets.

 

SPX- This was Sept 15. I have been saying since August that I expect the lows to be tested sooner or later.

SPX 9-15 2  

We see that happening now, so what next? ...

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Does It Fit?

Crazy action in the markets today.  Some of it was expected, but some of it doesn't seem to fit. Lets take a look.

IBB - Really taking it on the chin lately. This is a weekly chart and todays volume was massive.

IBB 9-29 Read More

How Are Things Stacking Up?

It would be good to look back at the past weeks activities and see how things are stacking up.

TRAN WKLY - This surely hasn't looked bullish as the trend changed.  The Tran was rejected at the 10 ma this week again.

TRAN 9-25 Read More

Can We Go Shopping?

A quick look at the markets and a brief discussion on shopping

 

On Sept 22 - I said that I was looking for a possible  'Test' of the break down and then a drop. 

SPX 9-22

SPX - Reversal candle.  Maybe that 'Test' comes now.

SPX 9-24 Read More

Clear As Mud

Whenever we get mixed signals in the markets, it may take time to  allow  things to clear up. We are seeing that with the divergence between Metals and Miners right now, but until time resolves the differences, we can also look for clues. We'll do that here, but first lets review a few other sectors.

NASDAQ - We got the back test that we expected and then the drop back down. I expect the Aug lows to be tested or broken, but you can see that volatility has kept things from being a smooth move. We may bounce around inside this down channel too.

NASDAQ 9-23 Read More