May 24th – Drop like a …

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Let's do a little review and discuss a little about a drop that I am expecting.

   

SPX - There are times when you are expecting a pullback and suddenly you get a large 1 or 2 day slam. That can exhaust the move down, or 'clean the plate' of sellers for a while , so price starts to rise again. I was looking for bounce & an overhead gap fill, but we are also due for a dcl.  So will the drop resume or was that it?  It could have been a dcl.   Let's look at prior moves out of such a slam...

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Tuesday May 23 – Patterns Within Patterns

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Please reread the weekend report for my thoughts on the markets. Mondays moves still fit the thinking that we have gone over for the past couple of weeks. In addition to the weekend report that I released, I gathered some charts of trade set ups or trade ideas that may be forming.  At times we see patterns forming within patterns, like the picture above, and I want to share those charts here...

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WEEKEND REPORT – Subconscious

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Have you ever heard someone say, "In the back of my mind, I was thinking about..." ? Well, in this weekend report I'm going to discuss my analysis ( technical / Cycles / etc)  and the conclusions that are drawn from that, and also what has been subconsciously ' in the back of my mind ' in a few areas.

 

SPX - Friday I pointed out that we could bounce here, but I still expect a drop from my analysis.

We did get the bounce at multiple support areas after filling a gap & 'buy the dip' has been working.

 

These patterns do look similar, and some may think that it would lead to further rally upside...

But ' in the back of my mind '...

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Friday May 19th

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It is the final trading day of the week, so let's review the market action...

 

SPX - The SPX backtested the break out trend line and bounced after filling a gap. Please read the chart.

Some may think that this is the dcl, and the "buy the dip'" team has rescued it again.  That might be true, however...

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May 18th – Change

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Wednesday brought along some changes, so let's take a look at what we have...

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LONGER TERM VS SHORT TERM

SPX #1 - We are due for a DCL & and ICL in the bigger picture, so I had posted these charts on May 4th showing possible ICL targets ...

And MAY 13th for the weekend report,  a possible dcl target

However, shorter term the markets have been very strong & BUY THE DIP mode kept kicking in, so I actually looked for 1 more push higher.

 

SPX MAY 17- However this looks like time is up.  That drop into the next dcl is likely taking place

This adds to the story...

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Wednesday May 17

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This mornings futures show the markets down a bit, but they have been holding up well lately, especially the Tech area. Let's do a little pre-market review...

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 SPX chart from Yesterdays report.  We are still due for a dcl, but the pullbacks have been shallow.

I like to use the NYA too, and this is a bullish set up / consolidation so far.  If it continues to hold the 50sma, it remains bullish looking .

We also have been keeping an eye this...

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5-15 Can it or Can’t it?

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SPX -  They just dont sell it off for long anymore, do they? New highs.

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MAY 13 – On The Watch

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Another week has passed by and many of the recent trade set ups like MACK, NAK, VSTM, NATGAS, etc  mentioned are enjoying their following through.  We also remain on the watch for that next big set up in Precious Metals.  let's take a look...

 

SPX WEEKLY - Timing wise, the markets are due for a dip down, That doesn't end the bull, you can see these are normal dips to ICLs along the way.  The MACD gives this more of a double top look too.

The NASDAQ ( QQQ here)  has been very strong and earnings season hasn't stumbled it either.

Look at this view and you'll see that it looks very similar to the Parabolic blow off top in 2000.  This ending is not out of the question.  Let' s just take a closer look at that time period.

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May 12th – It’s a Beauty

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That sunset sure is a beauty, and this chart below is also a  beauty to many of us that went long...

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May 11 – Trading

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NASDAQ -  The NASDAQ continues to climb that wall of worry. If you were long, a trailing stop may work out well, this is now another right translated daily cycle in a Bull Market.  As shown in recent reports, Some stocks are doing well with earnings, and others are getting crushed. Add NVDA & TSEM  to the 'doing well' group. Yelp & SNAP to the getting slapped group.

This is a reminder -  This was my My February thought showing a possible parabolic blow off top . The pattern is similar with a sharp sell off and then a ramp higher.

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