Entries by Alex - Chart Freak

Nov 24th – The Blockchain Explosion!

NOTE: Please keep in mind that this report was written last week as a premium report, while Bitcoin was between $7000 & $8000.   Bitcoin almost hit 10,000 this weekend, and a follow up premium report was posted on Monday.  The following report gives you an idea of how we were viewing the blockchain charts. It also briefly discussed OIL, the XLE, Gold & Miners.

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While waiting patiently for the Gold market to set up properly, we have been trading other areas, and one of those areas recently has been the Blockchain trades. I mentioned that I had been trading these on the side, watching how they play out, seeing if they act as expected, before including them in the reports.  Well, they are quite volatile, but I was having success trading them, so I came to the conclusion that they were trade-able and that maybe I should put them in the reports with a small warning about risk last week. So we started trading Blockchain last week.

I'm not sure who decided to take these trades with me, and who watched from the sidelines, but I want to review some of these explosive moves (and gains) and point out a couple more set ups that may be ready to follow the leaders.

 

RIOT - This chart showed a consolidation that I had been trading with BIG SWINGS. After a series of lower lows, we see a higher low Nov 13 and it looked ready to break out, so I Used this chart as a buy and...

RIOT - This chart to show the bigger picture potential. I named a couple of upside targets that sounded kind of ridiculous, like $14 & $16, even in the $20's.

RIOT -  I sold 1/4 of my position at $16 & posted that in the comments section. Then it after hrs, it continued to ramp up and was at $18.35, so I placed a sell for 1/4 at $18.30 & it sold immediately.  I mentioned this in the comments too, so that others could follow if they wish.

 

GLNNFGLNNF, RIOT, and PRELF  were the main ones that I traded as an experiment. GLNNF has been very quick mover too, but they are also getting very exuberant and parabolic when they take off  ( Bit coin is breaking new highs too). I sold this one a bit early every time, but with solid double digit gains.  I mentioned this one near $1.20 I believe, and I sold it at $1.80  ( Red Arrow = early again) 🙂

So let's take a look at some other trade ideas in this sector...

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Nov 24th – The Blockchain Explosion!

While waiting patiently for the Gold market to set up properly, we have been trading other areas, and one of those areas recently has been the Blockchain trades. I mentioned that I had been trading these on the side, watching how they play out, seeing if they act as expected, before including them in the reports.  Well, they are quite volatile, but I was having success trading them, so I came to the conclusion that they were trade-able and that maybe I should put them in the reports with a small warning about risk last week.

I'm not sure who decided to take these trades with me, and who watched from the sidelines, but I want to review some of these explosive moves (and gains) and point out a couple more set ups that may be ready to follow the leaders.

 

RIOT - This chart showed a consolidation that I had been trading with BIG SWINGS. After a series of lower lows, we see a higher low Nov 13 and it looked ready to break out, so I Used this chart as a buy and...

RIOT - This chart to show the bigger picture potential. I named a couple of upside targets that sounded kind of ridiculous, like $14 & $16, even in the $20's.

RIOT -  I sold 1/4 of my position at $16 & posted that in the comments section. Then it after hrs, it continued to ramp up and was at $18.35, so I placed a sell for 1/4 at $18.30 & it sold immediately.  I mentioned this in the comments too, so that others could follow if they wish.

 

GLNNFGLNNF, RIOT, and PRELF  were the main ones that I traded as an experiment. GLNNF has been very quick mover too, but they are also getting very exuberant and parabolic when they take off  ( Bit coin is breaking new highs too). I sold this one a bit early every time, but with solid double digit gains.  I mentioned this one near $1.20 I believe, and I sold it at $1.80  ( Red Arrow = early again) 🙂

So let's take a look at some other trade ideas in this sector...

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Nov 22- Markets Are Stepping Up

On this holiday week of trading in the U.S., the markets often have a bullish bias, as traders leave early and travel to be with family.  At this point, the Markets do seem to just be continuing higher...

 

 

SPX - I would say that this is day 4 of the new daily cycle. Do not stand in the way of this Bull Ride :bull_ride:. Each consolidation leads to another leg higher. It remains a 'buy the dips' market.

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Tuesday – Sharp Turns

In the U.S., Thursday is a Holiday and the markets will be closed, followed by a 1/2 day of trading on Friday. Usually many are traveling to be with family on Wednesday afternoon, so the markets volume & trading lightens up on Wednesday.  That said,  it is a bit hard to know exactly what to expect going forward, especially after Tuesdays trading.  For now, lets take a look at Mondays trading, and review a couple of the 'Changes' that we discussed in the weekend report.

 

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Weekend Report – Changes

It comes as no surprise that markets can evolve and change over time, so when a change appears, it is best to listen.  It may or may not amount to anything in the long run, but we take note of any changes anyway.  That said,  I have seen 'changes' in the markets this week in a couple of areas, so we will listen, discuss, and prepare. As I mentioned, they may not amount to anything permanent, but we still need to listen and prepare, so let's discuss some changes in the weekend report.

 

SPX - No change here, but I wanted to point out that in the past, the SPX did visit the 50sma a couple of times before moving higher. These were areas of ICLs that did not sell off as deeply as the ones in the past  (see JULY & NOV 2016). So, will the markets just continue higher, or are we coming due for one soon?...

 

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Thursday November 16th

 

 

SPX - The drop continues as the SPX is seeking out the next DCL. The trend line is broken and the 10sma has been lost.  I actually thought that the 25th could have been a dcl, with the trend line break and close below the 10sma, so now I am simply watching for a swing low first, and then a close above the 10sma.  Either I drew the trend line wrong and the 25th was not a dcl, or this is a very L.T. daily cycle on day 15.  The divergence that I was pointing out over a week ago is playing out, so our 'caution' was warranted.

ALSO ...

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Nov 15 – Winds Of Change?

I would say that we were seeing a normal correction in Oil on Tuesday, and we are heading into the Oil Inventory reports Wednesday, so nothing really changed there. So why did the Theme become "Winds Of Change?"  It is because OIL stocks started to pick up in their selling, The Euro situation changed, Biotech broke down further, and a couple of other minor changes also became evident.  I wanted to discuss these areas a bit more and the changes that I noticed...

 

SPX - Each sell off lately is still being scooped back up, but I'm still seeing the divergence that I pointed out a week or so ago as Price went higher.  The RSI & MACD are still drifting lower. There is still room to drop on the stochastics, so this time price may want to also drop to the 50sma,  or even continue sideways to that 50sma. Why? ...

The TRAN, RUT, BKX, etc., broke below their 50sma. Let's take a look.

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