Entries by Alex - Chart Freak

Friday Dec 14th – Still A Little Choppy

December 14, 2018 in /by

 

SPX #1 -  I captured this after the first hour of trading and I posted it in the chat area. Each morning Gap higher ends up selling off.  Would this be bought up into the close this time ?

 

SPX #2  - No, it closed slightly red.  I have been watching the Cycle count in anticipation for a DCL ( ICL).  I said that day 18 was too early and  now we have a day 28 low.  THAT  might also be a bit early too, since many daily cycles extend to 30 plus days.   This could just surge higher and be counted as day 4 Friday,  but take a look at this...

 

Read More

Dec 13th – Mainly Picks

December 13, 2018 in /by

The outlook for the Markets has not changed from my prior reports with the trading on Wednesday,  so today we will mainly look at some more Picks.  I also want to look at Oil and cover something important with the Miners,  so let's begin, this is a long report...

Read More

Dec 7th – Fast Markets, Fast Reversals

December 7, 2018 in /by

  After dropping 800 points on Tuesday, if I told you that the DOW JONES rallied more than 700 Points on Thursday, would you believe me?

 Well, it actually did,  but that was only after it dropped over another 800 points first!  These markets have been fast, choppy, and Crazy at times.    Within just 1 week we saw 2 Bullish bursts after Powell and the G20 Mtg, followed by 2 days of crashing  that actually erased weeks of trading.

  Well, today is Friday,  the last trading day of the week.    Let's look at some of the market action, and this weekend I will cover more detail in the Big Picture Weekend Update. ...

.

SPX #1-  Day 26 of this daily cycle saw a  big crash & a big reversal too.  What Might be next in the short term ?

 

 

 

Read More

December 6th – Thursdays Trading

December 6, 2018 in /by

Well, it has only been 1 trading day since my last Tuesday morning report, what has changed since then?  The Theme Picture of this report is a hint. Wow!

.

 

Review for those that need it:   The markets have been very volatile lately.  Since the Sell off in the month of October to a trade-able Low, the trading has been very choppy ( as expected).  As of last week, we had a 'Powell Pop' 5 trading days ago, and then price moved to the 50 & 200 sma as we approached the 'G20 Weekend Meeting'.  The daily cycle was  getting old at day 23, and that 50 & 200 could be strong resistance, so what would happen after that G20 Meeting?  Well,  Monday had another Gap open higher, right above both the 50 & 200 sma, but it closed in a doji candle with a gap under it.  That looked very strong & convincing for this daily cycle, but I did note that the Doji could indicate a dip down to close that gap.   A stop under the 10sma was advised.    Well, from there, we can discuss Tuesdays trading,  a day that actually saw the Dow lose 800 Points!

.

Read More

OIL UPDATE DEC 5th

December 5, 2018 in /by

Just a quick update of what we at Chartfreak were looking for with Oils recent plunge. . OIL – Nov 20th, I was telling my readers that I would be watching for a break above the 8 ema, to make a safe entry at a swing low.  Each pause sideways was breaking down  ( Bear […]

Tuesday Dec 4th

December 4, 2018 in /by

As a reminder: The stock market is closed on Wednesday.   Most were buying or adding to positions Minday, based on previous reports and the discussion in the comments section.  Let's  take a look at what happened during Mondays trading...

.

Read More

Dec 1st weekend Report

December 1, 2018 in /by

Is it a Trade War that will continue as time moves forward, or will there be an agreement of terms that both sides can live with? All eyes seem to be on the  G20 meeting this weekend for the answer to that question, since it already seems to be having implications on how these markets trade going forward.   Just like any war, trade wars often have casualties along the way, and these markets have been very choppy lately.

.

EDIT:  This just in...  (Bloomberg) -- Stock markets will close Wednesday for a national day of mourning to honor former President George H.W. Bush.

.

 

Let's review the various Market Sectors to look at The Big Picture and see how they traded this past week...

.

SPX - This is what I was watching for,  and then a break to a lower low to the ICL,  or if the ICL is in place from October, a higher low may happen on the next drop.

#1 - Nov 27 I drew this -   A run to the 50sma/ 200 sma, and a possible drop to a lower low.

#2 Or was an OCT ICL is in place?  A break higher after the  G20 meeting results, and then a drop to a higher low.   EITHER WAY,  these markets can remain choppy & difficult. 

 

We are here now

 

SPX - I expected the bounce to this area, and then we need to watch price action at the resistance.  It just happens to fall at the timing for the G20 meeting.

 

Lets continue...

Read More