In the last few reports I have been discussing a good number of bullish trade set ups that have been forming after sell offs and consolidation periods. In some areas, the entire sector seems to be reacting. We will continue that discussion today.
SPX FROM JUNE 23 – The bulls and bears are battling, but this looks like a topping process. We are due for a correction in the general markets.

QQQ – Monday saw a bit of a bearish reversal in the Q’s, and that MACD is not showing signs of strength.

I discussed in the weekend report that we are due for a steeper pull back into an ICL, and…
Pullbacks often lead to better buying set ups in a Bull Market…
AMD – Pullbacks can lead to buying opportunity in Bull markets, so I will be watching for such opportunities if the General Markets pull back. Maybe AMD does this?

AMD WKLY – Could AMD actually drop back to $10 at the blue line again and still be a bullish flag? It could.

TWTR – This as my June 21st chart of a large base in TWTR. It is currently hit $19 on Monday and sold off a bit, so I’ll be watching these set ups going forward.

WTIC – Oil remains the same so far, so we NEED to be safe and wait for a break above the 10sma. Many personal funds are getting chopped up attempting to buy each and every bounce that we have watched fail and break to new lows. Personally , I Do now think this one may be the lows we have waited for, but patience still pays off. I had a price projection last spring for OIL to hit $42 – we are there, and also I am starting to see possibly bullish things in Oil stocks.

UCO – Notice the similarity of these bottoms. A break above the 10sma should indicate that the lows are in place. I’ll show you a good looking Oil stock later.

NATGAS from the weekend report – We were expecting a break out from tight Bullish wedge. NOTICE possible resistance drawn at the $3.10 area with the blue line.

NATGAS 6-26 – We got the POP break out on Monday, and $3.10 is the first area of resistance for a few reasons. Price may pull back there and try to break out again . Notice the March price action.

GOLD – From the weekend report, I was looking for a break above that trend line & the 50sma

GOLD – We did not get it yet, and Gold broke quickly to a new low and recovered. A new low means Gold is on day 33 or maybe day 1 depending on Tuesdays action. ( I do not think that this was a day 3 failure since we did not have a ‘confirmed’ swing low in place). Gold over the 50 sma, 10sma, and the trend line starts a new daily cycle.

SILVER FROM THE WKEND REPORT – Also waiting for a break above the trendline.

Silver Dropped to a new low and that also extends this daily cycle. A break out higher and above the trendline & Monday highs would indicate a new daily cycle.

GDX – As most of that GOLD & SILVER action happened, GDX did not sell off badly. GDX & GDXJ gapped down & moved higher, but fell no where near the recent lows. Miners still look to be on day 3.

I want to run through a large number of stocks that look to be setting up in a bullish manner. Please don’t allow this long list to overwhelm you, you do NOT need to own them all. Pick one that you like, maybe 2 or 3? This long list is being down for 2 reasons.
1. It gives our active traders and experienced traders a number of choices to choose from. They can make a watch list and follow these or trade a few that look ready.
2. It highlights the fact that many ‘sectors’ that have been correcting and pulling back are now setting up to run higher. So let’s continue to take a look at a variety of trade set ups in various sectors that have caught my eye recently…
AG – So are Gold & Silver about to break out above their trend lines? If so, AG actually looks like it could break out and do a nice run. I would buy this break out, it may be best to wait for it to CLOSE above the 50sma.

AG – THIS is a great looking chart at this point, isn’t it. It has been on my watch list for quite a while. A break out higher looks quite bullish after a long consolidation of the 2016 gains. I continue to monitor other Gold/Silver stocks, but I no longer own the GORO & GSV positions that I traded weeks ago. They are on my watch list.

UEC – As a reminder, These 2 charts were the uranium stock that was breaking out last Friday from a solid base. I had them in the weekend report.


UEC – So UEC pulled back on Monday, but still looks fine. It may just rest for a day or two, so if you were looking for an entry, it may have paused for you. This pause could allow the 10sma to catch up, or price still may drop back a bit lower. It still looks bullish with higher lows.

WTI – This is another OIL stock that seems to be acting correctly. I captured this chart last Friday, so lets look at Mondays.

WTI – Price dropped and reversed higher again, but it really needs a break above that 50sma before being bought. A close above the 50sma for a day or 2 should see bullish follow though.

CLF – I captured this on Friday as it broke above the 50sma. It closed down 2 cents on Monday. I mentioned recently that STEEL & STEEL STOCKS are looking good again, so these would be in buy the dip mode , in my opinion. AKS is also still above the 50sma.

CLF WEEKLY – So the weekly chart looked good too, but I did want to point out 1 cautionary note about a bottoming period…

Last September – October CLF had a similar bottom and did a quick shake out before launching higher ( See the chart) . Bottoming can be a process, but that daily chart above does look good. NOTE: After that shake out last October, CLF doubled in a couple of weeks.

SPWR WEEKLY – Solar stock SPWR could break out and run in my opinion. There is not a lot of resistance to the $14 area.

WNDW – I didn’t like the way this looked on a daily, after seeing RUN,VSLR, CSIQ, and SPWR take off, so I decided to step back and see if it could become bullish in the future . WNDW could join in after this consolidation. Notice how steeply this stock has run in the past, almost moving straight up. WNDW remains on the watchlist.

OWCP – We discussed how many MJ stocks were beginning to perk up again after some LONG consolidations. OWCP is ( so far) holding above the 200sma. Zooming out…

OWCP – This one jumped in a big way in February, from todays price of $0.60 to $3.00. and has consolidated since then above the 200sma. I took a position in this one. Even if it POPS like it did in April, that 2 day POP was a double.

CNBX – I posted this chart after CNBX popped from 70 cents to $1.30 in 2 days! It has remained on the 10sma for the next 3 trading days too, but has solid resistance overhead to contend with.

GV – Do you remember when this stock took off and ran strongly as an infrastructure stock in November? $2.70 to $8.50! It has consolidated gains and based out for a bit, breaking above a wedge. It POPPED on Monday too, and closed back above the 50sma higher than it was when I captured this. That is a bullish break, stop below the 50sma. This could just run from here, however…

GV- It is possible that the POP hit resistance and could pull back to the 50sma. I will buy it there if I see that happen.

CRMD – I see bullishness in this base. I THINK CRMD is going to pop & run, it just has that look. It is only a 46 cent stock, but has solid potential with no resistance in that gap area. I have done NO research on the company or why it gapped down, but I will have to look into that, because I want to own this one soon & catch that POP.

EYES – Another Biotech stock that is looking bullish. The back test of the break out was the buy and it is also the 50sma. I like this set up and think that it has a good chance of upside follow through, barring any bad news. I used to own this stock years ago and it did well back then.

Take a look at CGIX & VSTM – Those were 2 Biotech stocks that made great gains for those of us that took that trade this spring. They are setting up after a long consolidation too, moving back above the 50sma. BIOTECHS have been moving higher and remain bullish if you ask me.
LET’S TALK ABOUT NAK – NAK is no longer acting bullishly. It is not horrible, but it could continue to slowly sell down. It is not quite oversold and it did break below the 200sma last week ( And I mentioned that I sold a good portion of mine).

I’d like to see this trend line hold and not close below the weekly 50ma. The weekly MACD is weak.

NAK – This is the slow break down, and it could become a shake out, but we won’t know unless it recovers the 200sma, so for now I lightened up. We could be forming a descending wedge pattern ( bullish eventually).

We went from a very slow period of trading and consolidation to break outs and runs higher in many sectors. We are now seeing sector after sector perk up and some stocks are making very nice gains. We can watch these during pull backs and find lower risk entries, or buy some that are just breaking out from bases and try to gain some of the move higher there. Oil and the Miners may join the move higher soon, so I will be watching for that too. Patience during the choppy times can lead to profits during the run higher. Enjoy your Tuesday trading!
~ALEX
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Alex - Chart Freak2017-06-27 11:25:512017-06-27 11:25:51Tuesday June 27th
Weekend Report June 25 – Perking Up
Wed June 28th – Buy The Dip?
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Alex, Any thoughts on TGB? Just made it above the 50dma but not a lot of volume. Seems to have been consolidating for awhile… Thx!
Yes, I was watching TGB & WRN. I like them . TGB has a great weekly chart, I had this for the report, but this chart shows that it could continue to consolidate , so I didnt put it in the report yet.
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Thx. Got the buy early on but no follow thru. Looks like you were right about the “when”…seems not now.
Exciting to see if bulls can push and close above. Then I am out.
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Hi Alex, Would be interested to hear if you had looked at this trio. MAG-NG-PGLC
Thanks for the charts you obviously put a lot of effort into them.
Geoff
G-Morning Geoff
I think that I have looked at almost every miner out there this weekend 🙂
It is hard for me to recommend them at this point, unless you are a short term trader.
MAG is right at the 200sma, could break out and that would add to the bullishness.
NG & PGLC both regained the 50, and look good ( NG approaching overhead resistance).
So I do see quite a few miners looking good, they can be bought with stops, just in case we roll over after a short term run , into a final ICL drop. IF THAT HAPPENS, I do NOT think Miners will escape the plunge.
If MAY was the ICL, these do look to be bulllishly set up.
NG just broke right through the 50sm this a.m. ( So far)
This AG is interesting.. I’m just a bit weary that it may give a final knee-jerk. Although, I am not a wave expert. Confirmation and stops is the way to play this one I think, or from channel bottoms.
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soxx lead again
Red Soxx or White Soxx?
none thank u… i prefer to walk barefoot…
Hi Alex. I am in the red with NOG from the recent free fall. Does this look like it could recover from here?
Hi Jeff,
It looks like a capitulation low may have just taken place on that high volume day. The selling may have finished up.
It can recover if Oil has put in a low, but when will it get back to your price point? I dont know…sometimes they just bounce along the bottom until buyers step in.
It has been extremely oversold for 3 months, so it also could rocket out of the lows with short covering.
Thank you Alex.
OWCP from the report… I wrote that ” I took a position in this one”.
The volume increased yesterday to about 1 million.
This is also the one in the report that I mentioned Popped 100% in 2 days in April.
Today in the first 10 minutes, the volume already almost equals all of yesterdays total volume. This could get interesting if it gets above the 50 sma too. These MJ stocks can gain 20%, 40% or whatever they want %-wise in a day or two.
Remember this one doubled in 2 days. see charts in the report
Cannabis skin cream?
That is part of their product line. Psoriasis treatment.
I am interested as I have a problem with skin on part of my check that does not get the same pigmentation as the rest of my face, if I get tanned.
Interesting….thanks I did not know that.
They are researching fibromyalgia treatment and others too, I’m just not sure what their current product line is. They also provide a consulting service for Gov’t & private groups to assist in setting up MJ programs.
o wow… great news… 😀
very cool…I hope this product is successful.
Slowly climbed Up almost 20% in the first 1/2 hour.
fabulous.. 😀
it feels good to have followthru in the others as well …………………………………………..
MEOW
You nailed that one oh mighty Chart Freak.
SU2
me sticking my finger in my mouth and rolling my eyes….
Thx Bill,
I’m watching it with this in mind- I want to see it close above the 50sma, but at this point, the RSI is very bullish and things are lined up better now after the long consolidation took place.
Refresh
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RNVA +34% this morning 😀
Alex how about SWN? I did well with them last year.
Well, you may have noticed that I’m not really recommending Energy stocks until OIL confirms the bottom. Some people will buy if I say it looks good, but they wont sell if it breaks the lows. That makes me Leary about recommending any energy stocks over the past 2 – 3 months, because they keep breaking into new lows and some will just ride them down.
That said, Many have stopped selling off and could be setting up, and SWN falls into that category.
Double bottom low with MACD divergence, but kind of early to take a chance.
Thanks
Alex KL.TO is one really irritating miner on the TSX – it just will not stop. It reminds me of CDE from January 2016. This used to be NMI and I made good with it last year. It’s good for me to be able to put some C$ to work without paying exchange.
NAK Is having a battle at that 1.39 level.
Dropped to 1.38.
check out the 15min chart & look at the d/t channel since early June.
We are just bouncing off the bottom now.
Can count 5 waves down, and the 5th wave also has 5.
Question is, whether there will be a deep overthrow down to Alex’s descending wedgy
Hey SOG! As I write this. TRCH is at $1.65 and the catalyst has not hit yet. Not bad! 🙂
hey J!,, in for the night shift?
.. been watching TRCH earlier today.
Moving along bigly 🙂
Hey Sog! Yes sir. They have the well in Permian Basin that is getting closer to completion every day. They have the Orogrande coming along. They have new tech on their side plus they are in great shape debt wise according to Dallas Salazar. They have other E&P companies inline for drilling more wells. They are in profit mode even with oil in the low 40 range. And there is talk of a buyout if Orogrande develops as huge as Masterson ( the geologist) thinks it will. I have my shares set to keep half and sell half. I don’t yet know my final sell point for the first half. It will come to me. Right now its mostly rumors, news will follow. 🙂 I did get in the UCO trade at lod yesterday. My goal is to hold it for 5 to 10 days and sell .
My metals are all just old core positions. TRCH is definitely the most exciting trade I currently have. It doesn’t move every day but it does hold up well when crude drops. When it does move, its been good of late. For me, its a fun stock.
I shot Cason a line in Hawaii. He sure picked great place to live ( at least I believe that its great). I took off today to take my daughter to the dentist. She sure doesn’t want to go! Ok, I better go. Thumbs up Mr. Sog!!! 🙂
Good to see VALE, CLF, AKS, and other commodity stocks moving well off of the lows.
Yes me too…… 🙂
Harvesting addn. profits in VALE Calls. fwiw.
Crude Oil (USO):
I am pretty confident that June 23 was a low…..no clue if it is a DCL or ICL but a low none the less. CF?
Long PACD and opened some USO calls on the open. fwiw
I bought some GUSH this morning as well. I think the low is in.
Also pretty confident of lows here, will he taking some trades this morning.
Oil confirmed a swing low this morning. That seems to indicate that Oil inventories will help Oil tomorrow.
Yea…being somewhat cautious due to that Report tomorrow.
Gold (GLD):
Back inside it’s triangle….positive imho.
Update: OWCP up 25 % now in the first hour with 2 million in volume. Crazy.
Im seeing $0.80 and up 21%. I think Tradingview lags the real time market. What are you seeing for a price?
$0.835 up 27% now, but it is doing a little ebb and flow
EDXC lookn good… nibbled on some of that for a longer swing….
NWGFF popped yesterday too. Shot through both the 50 & 200sma
I still have that one……I do not have OWCP though. grrr
Great report Alex, thanks for the trading ideas and NAK (I lightened up too) update. I wasn’t feeling well earlier and missed buying some OWCP before its spike. Oh well, that’s life! : )
Alex.. RGSE solar worth a buy back down at these levels?
corrected down -20% since high the other day
I like the sector, so the way I look at RGSE is that it really surged a lot , hit that 50sma and is dropping ( So far) on 1/4 of the volume that it broke upward on.
That is usually a good sign , it might try to tag the 10sma, and it could be bought there if it holds. You also could take a chance, and buy a partial position now just in case it pops again.
I do think that because the sector is acting well, it could get a sympathy run too.
anyone shorting XBI?
Sure looks toppy to me……
I could see the SPX hitting 2400 at Support for it’s corrective wave and the of to new highs…….CF?
Started AG position….looks good for long term hold. Will add accordingly, and hold for a few months. Future earnings forecast looks encouraging to me.
Everyone, I am aware of the new “saber rattling”…and we know Trump acts as well as talks….so, if there was another military event….does gold go up or down? Oil? How about the effect on the market in general? Has anyone made observations before?
I think gold should go up. Don’t know about oil.
Thanks for your answer.
Gold up, Oil so so, Market down. That’s my guess.
I am of the belief of these types of events are only very short-lived and creates some intraday / week volatility, but the securities destination is more or less given in advance over the longer term.
Thanks…it seemed so last time I think.
Hi Nancy, Looking in the rear-view-mirror if one had just bot the tools of war say LMT 4 years ago @$104/sh (now $278/sh) not to mention the 2.6% dividend I for one would be a whole lot better off. We will have to watch a new 3x ETF DFEN and see how it does.
Thanks….interesting to see you think of what could be a good buy.
Taking lunch money profits off CLF here, candle is too similar to last time’s shakeout low.
NSU popped this morning. More work to do, but a solid start to work through overhead resistance https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/95971aa4450f015c17819e5b5c95cde63bc6e3c89620134d615c5a408a24fb52.png
The TSI gave a buy signal. I entered today before the close. Let’s see how it goes! Are you in Mark?
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I like the set up……
thanks Mark and Gim
Yes, I’m in since Spring of 2016 a little above these levels. It has taken the last 6-8 months to consolidate the 2016 rally. A close above $2.5 would be constructive.
Took a starter in CRMD at 465… Well larger than a starter cuz its so small… lets gamble
anybody knows what happens to GSV, one of Alex’s prior trades? buying opportunity?
I’m afraid it could still get pulled down into an ICL.
^^^
I don’t know, but that is an ugly 1 day reversal,
I wouldnt be buying it here personally, it would be more of a ‘Buy the slam down’ gamble than ‘buy the dip’ .
MACD actually showed weakness too.
WLL, breaking above 10 day, great RSI divergence, MACD crossing up today.
Are you in?
Wait for it…yes. Yeah, starting a position now. Gonna go light so if oil inventory isn’t great tomorrow I can add or minimize damage if I stop.
QQQ down 1%
SOXX shows the move, down to the 50 as well, but it is showing a new low.
Stopped out of my TQQQ today with a small profit. If I was a day trader, I would have made a lot more, that was a relatively quick ride up and down. As I posted yesterday, TQQQ looked like it was topping so I tightened my stops. If I was day trading, I would have sold it all yesterday but I’m trying not to overtrade in my retirement accounts. Looks like Alex’s ICL scenario may be in play. Still in my JNUG
are we going to play BTFD game again this time?
Yes, I would like to see TQQQ get down to about $88 … but may not make it that low. Unfortunately, the dips have been very shallow lately so you have to be fast to catch them. If TQQQ bounces off the 50 SMA and takes off again I will have once again screwed up my exit.
thanks, Steve.
Alex, any new thoughts on the Dollar here? thanks
It just looks like it is still repeating that weak bounce and then rolls over.
Surprised that Gold & SILVER didnt spike.
Yay! My MJ stock PURA is up. Woo Hoo….up fractons of a penny.
Weak sauce for gold today. Dollar is getting crushed. 1% is a HUGE move in Forex. 2nd daily cycle theory taking a kick in the teeth today. No, nothing’s broke and wouldn’t flip out of positions based on 1 day. BUT metals had a golden opportunity to take advantage of this and did not.
Just got back to my screens- A lot of what was up this morning seems to be getting dragged down a bit.
OWCP – now only up 6%. I didn’t sell, I’ve been away today.
Nothing looks too ugly that I can see yet.
QQQ right on the 50sma.
USD dropped down to lows, no big reaction in Gold or Silver with that.
USO & UCO look good, both crossed above their 10 sma for the first time in a while. ( Inventory report tomorrow in Oil)
Shippers coming off of the lows ( SBLK, SALT, TNK, TOO, NM, – oh oh, DRYS popping, look away Ken, Look away!).
Nova Gold ( NG) looks like at chanp at this point, breaking above that 50sma.
Just sitting on my hands today, I haven’t traded anything. Havent sold anything.
Need to look things over right now.
Dear Alex….. Just read this “update” how you see the market this afternoon!
Sometimes you do it, but I really, really like this short reaction from you.
It helps me, to see how you analyse the market later in the day.
Any way…. just a small thought from this side.
THANKS A LOT ALEX !!!
soxx is on 50sma too. it’s very interesting.
GPL been busy…..
DRYS is very interesting to “watch”, I have never seen a stock perform in this way….just me…lol.
Maybe you can go long in hope to re-test old highs of 2000000000000000000000000000? 🙂
LOL I know right !!!
It should at least ‘Bounce” to $20,000
crazy
Lol, like it did last year, you never know with assets!
DRYS is definitely #1 in crazy performer
TOPS is a close 2nd on a 1 year chart ( 2 month chart it is 74 cents, looks like it wants to bounce to $40) 🙂
Seadrill is starting to remind me of DRYS
Might get one more leg up in XBI to see 82-83.
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so first target is $75 for XBI? thanks.
73-75 is a natural first target. But I hope it can just finish off its wave 5 fast so we dont have to waste valuable time in this to bubblepeak 🙂
thanks, Nord.
In relation to British Elections, I thought we’d get down to where it has to go, but it didn’t, and instead used up meaningless time. However, we are approaching the bigger “trendline” support.
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I sold my CSIQ @ $15.40 – it may just be dropping to tag the 10sma, but at this point that is $1 lower and I want to lock in gains and watch it. It doesnt seem to be acting the same as VSLR & RUN – still in a base
I am still holding SPWR ( for now) .
It makes sense. VSLR and RUN had the largest short positions to unload of the group – about 16 days. The rest were 1/2 of that or less.
Thanks – I like the updates on which ones your holding and which ones you’ve folded
Yeah, as a trader, I trade frequently and dont always post the trades, but those 2 have been in a few reports and so I figured a few here may own them.
I don’t really see anything wrong with them, but the follow through stalled and I dont see this as a bull flag at this point, so it could drop further.
Just a “lock in Gains’ move.. Most of it was purchased about $2- 2.50 lower.
COSTCO (COST):
Buying at these levels stop below recent lows. I bght. this with a long term hold in mind via my 401K.
Costco is not going away………imho.
Just my 2 cents, but 25 p/e is still pretty high for a retailer considering the recent carnage in the group
Agree athough it is one of the “Leaders” of the sector…….
Resistance well respected. All we need now is a big fat finger to get this out of the cliff and let it complete its HS pattern 🙂 https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2e4295e71c2194435e0515fc6b41cd7d1e254ae135df7f11537d42f9bc6c726e.png
And finally some volume 🙂
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Just an FYI- Your charts volume seems to be inaccurate. Did volume really just drop off by 70 – 80%?
This is the NATGAS chart from todays report. Your chart shows that volume mysteriously dropped off to about 1/4 of what it normally was for the last 2 weeks.
Mine does not show that.
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SQQQ in at 31.48 – Horrible entry… May close out EOD for better entry later. Good quick scalp today tho.
i’m keeping my shorts, labd and soxs.
I kept SQQQ as well. jsut wanted better entry… Was away for a while came back and said, Sh*t… Short time lol
Alex does the chart for LLEX look any good to you?
Longer term it does, it seems to be up-trending, but as of right now I see it as short term neutral, it looks like it could go either way from this price.
Thank you
API reports bearish build in crude, +860K barrels, disappoints after hours. Tomorrow could be a good entry, if US data then has a surprise upside against API. Which is actually pretty common. Stop below recent (ICL??) lows.
Thanks for posting this Cason. I took the UCO trade at 10:30 Eastern… LO Day! . So far so good.:)
Dude!!!! So mad! I had a limit purchase in and it missed by 7 cents on UWT! Ugh! Bc the oil inventory was released in the middle of the night! I got up at 515AM and it was already too late to get it in. Ugh!!!
I understand! That’s the price of living in Paradise! 🙂
THE NEW REPORT WAS RELEASED A WHILE AGO- I DID NOT GET AN EMAIL ALERT YET