Twinkle Twinkle Little Star…
In a recent report I was discussing what I called Giraffes. These are the ‘STARS’ of the Miners that explode higher giving the chart a look of a giraffe neck. Certain set ups form during consolidations and lead to this price explotion, giving us some big profits. Obviously finding them BEFORE they pop is the key to maximized profits. Lets take a look at some of our Giraffes from past set ups, then I want to discuss what I think will be the next ones.
This was our set up in XRA at when it was just under $1.00
2 days later we were up over 30% with the giraffe neck 🙂
Lets look at another explosive POP that we caught, and then I’ll point out our next candidates…
Note: I want to walk you through these trades the way I see them as they happen. It is the best way for me to show you how I trade and how I view various set ups and positions that I may already be holding.
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TRX – TRX was pointed out at $0.50, 1 day before this POP, and then…
120% gains in 4 days. We caught that move in a big way.
So as time goes by, certain set ups start to really look ready to go. Barring any unforeseen circumstances like the dreaded ‘public offering’ , they explode higher. Today I saw this happening with GSS and TGD and I wrote these 2 comments in the chat / comments section before noon…
SO I decided to sell the rest of my GPL and added to my GSS and TGD positions. I explained this line of thinking with this comment in the blue box ( it saves time to re-post and not have to retype everything, click to enlarge if necessary).
It is true that GPL may be bottoming here at a place of common low points, but why miss the POP in something else if it is ready? I can always come back to GPL when I SEE A RENEWED SIGN OF STRENGTH. Honestly, this is just a sign of possible stability at this point.
I also added to my NAK position at the open, after all, it is “Buy the dips”.
Why? Because NAK showed a real sign of strength 4 days ago and has dropped to test the break out. It was near a supporting MA. It was more of a hunch to buy it when it was down at the open, but the long term chart I love, so it was a matter of “buy the dips”. NAK ended the day up almost 16%.
Now let me show you what I was seeing and what I expect to be the next big Pop. On July 8th, GSS is approaching prior highs, forming a cup in a similar way that it did in early April. In April GSS burst above those highs without putting on a ‘handle’. GSS may not put on a handle this time, it could break out and run higher.
TODAY I saw GSS up 3 cents with very large volume. It held support at the 8ma , and that volume was to me…the gas in the tank. So I posted that GSS & TGD looked ready to go, and I added to my positions.
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This is what happened as the day went forward.
This is what I am looking at that keeps me from selling too early. A little follow through tomorrow could see GSS race higher again. I also remember the reward of VGZ and MUX when I held those trades.
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So lets talk about the next one to possibly go. I think the best candidate for a break out run is TGD. I mentioned in the comments GSS and TGD because they both have that certain look that hunt for, and I am surprised that they both didn’t pop today. GSS certainly did. Will TGD POP Friday? I cannot know for sure, but it is a BUY if you ask me.
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I first mentioned accumulating TGD again when it bouned off of the 200sma at the end of May. It was $0.23
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TGD – TGD from my Wednesday and Thursday reports now at $0.42. That crazy gap fill was a bullish recovery. Buyers were stepping in.
TGD then moved higher with conviction
TGD Thursday now at $0.47 – Sure, this can consolidate sideways and form a handle, but I think it was a strong buy today. I’d buy it whether it was higher or lower. This may be the next Giraffe neck.
TGD WKLY potential is $0.80 and upward. It hit $0.55 Friday
TRX – This is also playing out rather nicely, exactly as expected in prior reports, so I didn’t want to leave it out of the report. This ‘MIGHT’ also break and run higher. Yesterdays report mentioned how the May bull flag just turned into a consolidation, so this could do that too. Knowing that, someone might wait to buy a break out with a stop under the 10sma.
Again, this June 14th TRX WKLY chart has now popped to $1.30, dropped to $1.00 currently, and this shows why I loved it from the start.
What about GOLD And Miners themselves? Everyone is talking about how overbought Gold is. I have been seeing “Warnings” about the C.O.T. reports for many weeks, but I addressed that false concern weeks ago in a report. So why are Miners Popping on days when GOLD is down $20? Maybe it is smart money accumulating, knowing that Gold is not quite done going higher yet. Gold dropped $60 this week, giving us the first down week since the ICL in May. It is down about $10 as I write Thursday evening. Is it just a buy the dip moment. Lets take a look…
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GOLD – I have been saying that I thought we saw a shorter first daily cycle, and so I would expect a longer 2nd daily cycle. IF that was a 1/2 cycle low, Gold will run higher. Thursday did see a bullish reversal on support.
If that is the case, then MINERS may be moving higher ahead of the Metals with only a sideways consolidation. Think about what I just said. GOLD dropped $60 this week, Miners are near their highs. 🙂
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At this point, I see many Miners wanting to continue higher despite Gold selling down $60 this week. Gold has been down $20 some days, and Miners are breaking higher. This is a far cry from the days of the last few years when Gold hiccuped and miners puked. Surprises have been to the upside and buy the dips has been rewarding. If we are expecting another run higher, you may also want to go back to Thursdays report and review those charts ( EGO, NGD, HMY, ETC) for some ideas. And of course, I always recommend a basket of Miners to minimize risk.
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I will cover more in the weekend report, which is usually released Sunday night or Monday morning pre-market. Enjoy your Friday trading and thanks for being here. 
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~ALEX
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Don’t forget about AUMN too. If it starts to break out higher, it could really get going too. I own it at a lower price , but have also added on the 10sma.





























Thank you Alex. Brenda and I both agree…TGD looks like it could be next. NAK showed signs of life yesterday too. I pulled NAK up on Finviz. Under number of employees, there are none listed. Does anyone know if that is unusual? Most other miners list a significant number. Have a great weekend!
https://finance.yahoo.com/m/4569b400-8290-3ccb-85c6-f3e0dec93eb1/ss_northern-dynasty-minerals-ltd.html
if they are in – eric Sprott – that looks ok
NIce 🙂
Thanks Ray!
Thanks for the Friday report Alex. I’m really torn about getting back into the miners.GOLD has completed a 38.2% retrace on the hourly chart. SILVER did the same and is now going sideways. NUGT barely hit 23.6% which is not the wild child behavior I’m used to.
‘Back into Miners’…
I didnt know you were out
Ya, I sold some on the 12th. Still holding half positions.
Oh, so you are still in!
Sold half only. Still in EXK, THM, XRA, CLF, LABU
Gotcha
I bought more this morning. MUX< TGD< AUMN< HMY
What?! I am in PGLC and you aren’t! [just teasing]
I like that one, maybe when I add more $$$ to the account.
I’m in miners for sure. If we are at a half-cycle low though, and gold back to recent highs/GDX to new highs then options would be back on the table!
Johnny, Nak is a world class deposit with every thing going for it except a permit. The tree huggers have stopped this at every attempt for years. Sprout just got in with a 5 plus percent position, he might know something. I’ve missed this move because of all my past experience with it through the years. The latest P/O was for like $45 with a warrent of like $65. If it does get permitted it, will be an out of the park homer.
Crawdaddy, I was working and somehow I missed your post. Wow! Thank you for the interesting information. Maybe he does know something. With gold up, it would stand to reason that now would be the time to win the permit struggle. Have a great week!
Test – This is only a test https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/f1fdc4dd34944ec70fbb2f9825648268a342fdc15dfbe5b27179c475d797ddf4.jpg
Working again!
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/05781d68503034a0294c7c00fbcc7c1424c9cc445b1fc30693ed359fc1433ca4.png
Alex, you are definitely on to something, b/c AUMN just doesn’t care that Gold is down $60 this week. Just no problem! KGC not feeling the burn either. Crazy, b/c I Remeber what would happen in 2014-2015 if gold got a pre-market whack and it sure wasn’t pretty.
Gold down $23 and I see green in Miners. AND, many still dont believe it. That is a recipe for dessert : – )
TGD—-TGD—-TGD—-
Just doing my Giraffe call that I usually do when no one is listening
P.S. TGD has almost 1 million in volume in the first 10 minutes. THIS COULD BE HUGE- FINAL WARNING BEFORE LAUNCH! I CANT PUSH THE BUY BUTTON FOR YOU – LOL
You got me! I added premarket! I was just keeping 1000 shares as a lotto ticket at .22. Now my CB is much higher….but I am looking for the giraffe along with you!
I’m feeling the pressure now 🙂
SO far TGD is up 9% while Gold was down $10. Thats a good sign.
The volume is H-U-G-E so far for TGD. 2 million in the 1st 1/2 hr, and it usually doesn’t have that in an entire day. The weekly is going to have record volume.
How about a real tall giraffe…say .85, or better .90? Go team! If I did GIFs like Maria, I would have a cheerleader here!
Refresh
. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/b9d7c67e7b405ec01f84e6490bd69b3d60ee26a482177652473128d164148f3e.jpg
LOL … where’s the waves bratfreak?
I actually didn’t draw this one, I just found it when I googled cheerleading giraffes
LOL
lol.. i coulda just snapped a pic off my gazebo cedar ceiling…
Yay! Love it!
Nice call, Alex. I picked up a little yesterday, great timing on this one!
I bought this morning, fingers crossed.
That was me with the volume
You only bought 2 million? I am disappointed 😉
I bought a million LABU, couldn’t do more in TGD. Good call.
Wow. Just woke up. Nice way to start the morning. Sold my GPL yesterday and added to TGD and BAA. :))
BAA has a nice little bull flag forming too. May be setting up for a 2nd 1/2 to the first leg up
Also took a flyer on EQTRF. Looks like any consolidation is going on with the larger stocks not the small ones.
That one is new to me.
Moving Stop on Oil…..free trade now. 🙂
delicious…
Huge volume for TGD in the first 30min. On pace for 12+ million
You bought it yesterday, nice entry 🙂
#GetAroom
TGD already up 14%
( refresh for a current chart of TGD )
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https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/1433fb281db44d63d44b89b74c23c0ee0b7c99883be0df9d771d1c11cdafeee6.jpg
O so cute! Stretch that neck baby!
Thats right!.. TGD is a baby giraffe at this point. Lets hope he grows up quickly.
awww … so sweeet.. hi sweet thing… feed him .. pet him.. he will grow.
AUMN just starting to kick a$$
Yes, Please
sneaking up….
No sure about “sneaking”!!
It finally went green for me!
I dont know what it was when you wrote that, but I saw up 3 cents, and then BOOM 🙂
Do you have a target for AUMN?
For my answer:
Look at the last chart in todays report, and read what I wrote on that chart under AUMN WKLY
Thanks
think it had just moved to 0.88 above HSR from past week
lolol now vertical takeoff
un-lol.. crash landing back to 0.88…(butttt there was gap on the 10 min and now just got filled?)
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/80928f4bfc529ff1a8842fcdd0675248e41e58405854de785766a790cda9288e.jpg
is this a valid h&s reading of AUMN?
refresh..F5! https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7a0559e4767d07022f7493dda47247702914d10ce82e24a4c79d58c216666718.jpg
It is ( and wow)
sweet!
(i meant inverse h&s of course)
Do it!!
CTRL-R!!
requires twice the effort !
(unless you also need to press an ‘Fn’ to access ‘F5’)
And GPL continues lower. Dead to me……..
The Disappointment continues!!
GORO at new 52-week highs now too….
Very Nice, almost 2 yr highs!
Some of these moves have been rather amazing
LODE wutcha thinking?
XRA ?
I still own both. They look like bull flags
You adding on a break out of those flags ?
Lode is not extended at all, so I am watching that as a possible add on.
XRA – notice that the last time it ran up in April, it did a pull back & then a break out & failed, went sideways for a month. Cycle-wise we were near time for an ICL drop, so it depends on where we are time wise whether I may add then or not.
This could just go sideways for a bit if thats a 1-2-3-4-5 complete
MGH doing the same, d’ya think?
Ken, did you get LODE? I’m in XRA. I have that AUMN, GSS, and am looking at TRX so not sure I want anymore penny stocks – not usually my style BUT, I’m doing pretty good here…
btw, thanks for explanation on the SLV leaps – makes sense, I’ll check out some possibilities.
You are welcome Cason.
I added LODE, AUMN, and TGD today. I did not add to XRA. My basket is getting pretty full with jr. miners at the moment.
Dear Alex,
Thanks for your great work… you are such amazing chartist.
Few miners (penny stocks) are already joined in 1$Club (e.g XRA, THM, TRX, VGZ, GSS, WRN).
Looking for more on the way ..(AUMN, TGD, LODE, NAK, BAA, NCQ, TGB, XPL)
Put a limit sale in those TGD shares for $1.20
Refresh – You’re not going to be greedy and wait for former highs? click to enlarge monthly chart
My sell order is in at $10 ( J/K)
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/ff93bc9cc0304b57ef2eb1edbc94b90a0c71efdbc130000e855ebcab5bc71b89.jpg
Hi Crystal..I put mine at $1.24 except for my core lotto ticket.
now thats what i call top chart-picking by Mr Alex … when DUST is the top % of the day in my miners list (of 62).. except for…..TGD & AUMN
Thx SOG
Quite a few times in the past I’ve seen GOLD sell off Friday morning, and then ramp up to Green into the close.
If these markets are manipulated, I feel that they do this to get people to sell with the “I dont want to hold this over the weekend with Gold down”. Then they buy it up into the close , and no one dares to buy before the weekend.
I would LOVE to see that happen today. I feel that that would lead into further buying next week. 🙂
i actually still own some DUST.. to smooth out the extremes of a very one-sided portfolio.
its balanced out some the red in my other miners
Dont forget- TRX was in their too.
JDST AND DUST are green 🙂
*there
lmao
I know the difference, Its Friday and I’m celebrating the gainers this week early 😉
giggle… UluvIt
yes… another GREAT week dear ChartFreak…. this is the season when u REALLY shine…
thank u for ALLLLLLL your blood,sweat&tears
IHeartChartFreak….
* .com 😉
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/ff4e5fcd59d02bc9642077bb1fbb71922e6445bd811e61a169e4cb2985cf2576.png
Where do you get these Gifs?
I know things
Can you change her shirt? She’s been wearing that one all week.
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2e27dcefea29a563cadf79d3be0bd20f53c3842c8ef1d1fab2ddbecee2bea03f.png
You asked for it now, Alex!!
That was pretty good 🙂
…she’s pretty spot on if i do say so myself – I made her w/ an app.. if i could just get her to the gym to build a tiny bit more muscle mass.. she’d be pretty darn near perfect 😉
yeah, on her tongue – haha
I’m in rare form today
Loving the look of AUMN.
Have a stop limit order to double down above .90…make that .95
DOH, I just re-read my comment, from yesterday, that Alex added as part of today’s report. I misspelled ‘Timmins”. first famous…then fail.
hmmm, Maybe you shouldnt have said anything – I’ve seen how you spell colour and flavour in different emails to me and I just thought that it was the Canadian way of spelling Timmins – lol
GaR
I didn’t notice. Until you pointed it out…
Anyone know when the last ICL in oil was in place?
Probably 4-5-16
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February. Those cycles are very long- 3 or 4 daily cycles of 30 -50 days. Yikes.
Bye All .. :o) Have a spectacular weekend … https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/358af87806e06ad57768dad0a2e0ba482a1dd75bf8d4f9c242970e5261786881.png
I’m right behind you on that one…
Has Nat Gas gone sideways enough to be of interest again? Maybe not yet, but almost?
Alex, you get a GOLD STAR for this week. All, have a fantastic weekend!
CTRL-R.
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Guert, ended up selling my LABU end of the day. My #1 trade ever? No. But I went all in at once yesterday and was up 7% or similar so I took my cash and went home. I’ll watch closely again next week. The markets might be a little tired so backing and filling not out of the question here. I’ve been known to overstay my welcome. A win is a win. 5/5 on LABU this year!
Gold COT actually went DOWN this week, so that is a really interesting development, imo. Open interest and total commercial short dropped a bit. Remeber this is as if Tuesday so most of this week’s drop is NOT reflected in this chart. BUT……MINERS DIDN’T CARE!
Sorry for lower fidelity, on mobile. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/56c04242a0317e2d4814ac2ea6d31d00243fca45f52582e004d170fd8012d3fa.png
The COT hasnt played a role in my decision making AT ALL since the ICL : )
TGD up 10% AH to .61 🙂
Yipee! GSS and AUMN also up after hours….wish I’d gotten into GSS but at least I have the other 2! 🙂