Twinkle Twinkle Little Star…

In a recent report I was discussing what I called Giraffes.  These are the ‘STARS’ of the Miners that explode higher giving the chart a look of a giraffe neck. Certain set ups form during consolidations and lead to this price explotion, giving us some big profits. Obviously finding them BEFORE they pop is the key to maximized profits. Lets take a look at some of our Giraffes from past set ups, then I want to discuss what I think will be the next ones.

 

This was our set up in XRA at when it was just under $1.00

XRA 6-27

2 days later we were up over 30% with the giraffe neck 🙂

XRA 6-29b

Lets look at another explosive POP that we caught, and then I’ll  point out our next candidates…

 

Note: I want to walk you through these trades the way I see them as they happen. It is the best way for me to show you how I trade and how I view various set ups and positions that I may already be holding.

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TRX  – TRX was pointed out at $0.50,  1 day before this POP, and then…

TRX 6-29

120% gains in 4 days. We caught that move in a big way.

TRX 5-7 giraffe

So as time goes by, certain set ups start to really look ready to go. Barring any unforeseen circumstances like the dreaded  ‘public offering’ , they explode higher. Today I saw this happening with GSS and TGD and I wrote these 2 comments in the chat / comments section before noon…

 

THT #3THT #5

SO I decided to sell the rest of my GPL and added to my  GSS and TGD positions.  I explained this line of thinking with this comment in the blue box (  it saves time to re-post and not have to retype everything, click to enlarge if necessary).

 

THought #1

It is true that GPL may be bottoming here at a place of common low points, but why miss the POP in something else if it is ready? I can always  come back to GPL when I SEE A RENEWED SIGN OF STRENGTH.   Honestly, this is just a sign of possible stability at this point.

GPL 7-14

I also added to my NAK position at the open, after all, it is “Buy the dips”.

THT #2

Why? Because NAK showed a real sign of strength 4 days ago and has dropped to test the break out. It was near a supporting MA.  It was more of a hunch to buy it when it was down at the open, but the long term chart I love, so it was a matter of “buy the dips”.   NAK ended the day up almost 16%.

NAK 7-14

 

Now let me show you what I was seeing and what I expect to be the next big Pop.   On July 8th, GSS  is approaching prior highs, forming a cup in a similar way that it did in early April. In April  GSS burst above those highs without putting on a ‘handle’.  GSS may not put on a handle this time, it could break out and run higher.

GSS 7-8

TODAY I saw GSS up 3 cents with very large volume.  It held support at the 8ma , and that volume was to me…the gas in the tank.  So I posted that GSS & TGD looked ready to go, and I added to my positions. 

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This is what happened as the day went forward.

GSS 7-14

This is what I am looking at that keeps me from selling too early. A little follow through tomorrow could see GSS race higher again. I also remember the reward of  VGZ and MUX when I held those trades.

GSS WKLY 7-14

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So lets talk about the next one to possibly go.    I think the best candidate for a break out run is  TGD. I mentioned in the comments GSS and TGD because they both have that certain look that hunt for, and I am surprised that they both didn’t pop today.  GSS certainly did. Will TGD POP Friday?  I cannot know for sure, but it is a BUY if you ask me.

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I first mentioned accumulating TGD again when it bouned off of the 200sma at the end of May. It was $0.23

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TGD – TGD from my Wednesday and Thursday reports now  at $0.42. That crazy gap fill was a bullish recovery. Buyers were stepping in.

TGD 7-11

TGD then moved higher with conviction

tgd

TGD Thursday now at $0.47 –  Sure, this can consolidate sideways and form a handle, but I think it was a strong buy today.  I’d buy it whether it was higher or lower. This may be the next Giraffe neck.

TGD 7-14

TGD WKLY potential is $0.80 and upward. It hit $0.55 Friday

TGD 7-15 b

TGD 7-14 wkly

 

 

TRX – This is also playing out rather nicely, exactly as expected in prior reports, so I didn’t want to leave it out of the report. This ‘MIGHT’ also break and run higher. Yesterdays report mentioned how the May bull flag just turned into a consolidation, so this could do that too. Knowing that, someone might wait to buy a break out with a stop under the 10sma.  

TRX 7-14

Again, this June 14th  TRX WKLY chart has now popped to $1.30, dropped to $1.00 currently, and this shows why I loved it from the start.

TRX WKLY 6-14

 

What about GOLD And Miners themselves?  Everyone is talking about how overbought Gold is.  I have been seeing “Warnings” about the C.O.T. reports for many weeks, but I addressed that false concern weeks ago in a report.  So why are Miners Popping on days when GOLD is down $20?  Maybe it is smart money accumulating, knowing that Gold is not quite done going higher yet.  Gold dropped $60 this week, giving us the first down week since the ICL in May.  It is down about $10 as I write Thursday evening. Is it just a buy the dip moment. Lets take a look…

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GOLD – I have been saying that I thought we saw a shorter first daily cycle, and so I would expect a longer 2nd daily cycle.  IF that was a 1/2 cycle low, Gold will run higher. Thursday did see a bullish reversal on support.

GOLD 7-14

 

If that is the case,  then MINERS may be moving higher ahead of the Metals with only a sideways consolidation.   Think about what I just said. GOLD dropped $60 this week, Miners are near their highs.  🙂

GDX 7-14

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At this point,  I see many Miners wanting to continue higher despite Gold selling down $60 this week.  Gold has been down $20 some days, and Miners are breaking higher.   This is a far cry from the days of the last few years when Gold hiccuped and miners puked.  Surprises have been to the upside and buy the dips has been rewarding. If we are expecting another run higher, you may also want to go back to Thursdays report and review those charts ( EGO, NGD, HMY, ETC) for some ideas. And of course, I always recommend a basket of Miners to minimize risk.

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I will cover more in the weekend report, which is usually released Sunday night or Monday morning pre-market.  Enjoy your Friday trading and thanks for being here. Big cheesy grin

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~ALEX

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Don’t forget about AUMN too.  If it starts to break out higher, it could really get going too. I own it at a lower price , but have also added on the 10sma.

AUMN 7-12

 

AUMN –  A 3 year base!

AUMN 7-1 wkly

115 replies
  1. Johnny
    Johnny says:

    Thank you Alex. Brenda and I both agree…TGD looks like it could be next. NAK showed signs of life yesterday too. I pulled NAK up on Finviz. Under number of employees, there are none listed. Does anyone know if that is unusual? Most other miners list a significant number. Have a great weekend!

  2. Bill
    Bill says:

    Thanks for the Friday report Alex. I’m really torn about getting back into the miners.GOLD has completed a 38.2% retrace on the hourly chart. SILVER did the same and is now going sideways. NUGT barely hit 23.6% which is not the wild child behavior I’m used to.

  3. Crawdaddy
    Crawdaddy says:

    Johnny, Nak is a world class deposit with every thing going for it except a permit. The tree huggers have stopped this at every attempt for years. Sprout just got in with a 5 plus percent position, he might know something. I’ve missed this move because of all my past experience with it through the years. The latest P/O was for like $45 with a warrent of like $65. If it does get permitted it, will be an out of the park homer.

    • Johnny
      Johnny says:

      Crawdaddy, I was working and somehow I missed your post. Wow! Thank you for the interesting information. Maybe he does know something. With gold up, it would stand to reason that now would be the time to win the permit struggle. Have a great week!

  4. Cason
    Cason says:

    Alex, you are definitely on to something, b/c AUMN just doesn’t care that Gold is down $60 this week. Just no problem! KGC not feeling the burn either. Crazy, b/c I Remeber what would happen in 2014-2015 if gold got a pre-market whack and it sure wasn’t pretty.

  5. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    TGD—-TGD—-TGD—-

    Just doing my Giraffe call that I usually do when no one is listening

    P.S. TGD has almost 1 million in volume in the first 10 minutes. THIS COULD BE HUGE- FINAL WARNING BEFORE LAUNCH! I CANT PUSH THE BUY BUTTON FOR YOU – LOL

        • chartfreak1
          chartfreak1 says:

          Lode is not extended at all, so I am watching that as a possible add on.

          XRA – notice that the last time it ran up in April, it did a pull back & then a break out & failed, went sideways for a month. Cycle-wise we were near time for an ICL drop, so it depends on where we are time wise whether I may add then or not.

          This could just go sideways for a bit if thats a 1-2-3-4-5 complete

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      Ken, did you get LODE? I’m in XRA. I have that AUMN, GSS, and am looking at TRX so not sure I want anymore penny stocks – not usually my style BUT, I’m doing pretty good here…

      btw, thanks for explanation on the SLV leaps – makes sense, I’ll check out some possibilities.

      • Ken
        Ken says:

        You are welcome Cason.

        I added LODE, AUMN, and TGD today. I did not add to XRA. My basket is getting pretty full with jr. miners at the moment.

  6. Siva
    Siva says:

    Dear Alex,
    Thanks for your great work… you are such amazing chartist.
    Few miners (penny stocks) are already joined in 1$Club (e.g XRA, THM, TRX, VGZ, GSS, WRN).
    Looking for more on the way ..(AUMN, TGD, LODE, NAK, BAA, NCQ, TGB, XPL)

  7. SonOfGud
    SonOfGud says:

    now thats what i call top chart-picking by Mr Alex … when DUST is the top % of the day in my miners list (of 62).. except for…..TGD & AUMN

  8. fubsy_cooter
    fubsy_cooter says:

    Loving the look of AUMN.
    Have a stop limit order to double down above .90…make that .95

  9. Rob
    Rob says:

    DOH, I just re-read my comment, from yesterday, that Alex added as part of today’s report. I misspelled ‘Timmins”. first famous…then fail.

  10. Cason
    Cason says:

    Guert, ended up selling my LABU end of the day. My #1 trade ever? No. But I went all in at once yesterday and was up 7% or similar so I took my cash and went home. I’ll watch closely again next week. The markets might be a little tired so backing and filling not out of the question here. I’ve been known to overstay my welcome. A win is a win. 5/5 on LABU this year!

    • Tammie
      Tammie says:

      Yipee! GSS and AUMN also up after hours….wish I’d gotten into GSS but at least I have the other 2! 🙂

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