Something To Cheer About
Yes , It’s a Supberbowl weekend in the U.S., but there is something more to cheer about. I am currently doing several studies with very bullish implications for the GOLD & SILVER market. My readers know several of the things that I’ve been tracking for months, and there are other areas that I look into also. Right now I see things that indicate … Well, I’ll leave that for the weekend report. Right now look at these 2 charts.
.
The HUI has had bear mkt rally after bear market rally since 2012, but each ‘cycle’ could not surpass the last one from low to high. THIS CHART is a first, and it is just 1 sign of change to cheer about.
HUI CLOSE UP
My weekend report will likely be released by late Sunday night or Monday morning, and it will be filled with facts that will build your confidence that finally we could be seeing the Bear Market Lows, expectations, price projections, etc. : )
Lets look at some of our trade ideas for now….
.
Right now we have been riding some MINERS since the shake out lows, and I’ve shared some trade ideas in various stocks from the General Markets, Energy, and Commodities. I received a few emails saying that they took a trade and got a nice pop. Thats good news to hear. Trades like PLM, CLF, and FCX were mentioned. One reader grabbed a 15% pop & sold it. THAT is perfect.
They could run further that the initial pop, but there is always another trade for traders. ( I did recommend holding the Miners with that shake out , stop run, but Energy trades wee just for quick trades at this point).
.
These stocks have been rocketing, so I wanted to review a few ideas. I’ll point out some calls that worked, so that you can see why these set ups do often have follow through.
I have mentioned FCX, CLF, AA, CENX, AKS, X, STLD, ZEUS, VALE in recent reports for example , as Commodity stocks ready to pop. Lets review – I DO think that these will run further. Some buy the lows & try to catch a POP out of the lows, then others who see the POP can buy above the 50sma with a stop under the 50sma. So lets look at Commodity lows and see how they are playing out.
CENX & AA – Look how CENX ran, so AA can too.
AA had a break out pointed out in Yesterdays report. This could run to $10 eventually (for starters).
AA– See how that base formed a higher low, I look for those.
I posted VALE Feb 3 as it dropped to the lows and reversed higher with MACD divergence.
It POPPED.
CLF is moving off of a nice base ( Inverse H&S / Flat type base).
.
I want to show these Steel stocks, to show how steel stocks are performing. See also ZEUS & SCHN. SCHN may be a buy now too.
.
TMST – Warning, moves faster than NUGT, not for everyone. Up over 160% at one point, Its a steel stock that looks like a flag after that HUGE Pop. This is also just to point out that steel stocks look good.
STLD – Nice run. Extended now, but You would buy at the 50sma, and that is where ‘X’ is now.
X Steel – A couple of false break outs above the 50sma, but if steel & commodities run, this break may run now. This is a buy in my opinion.
I mentioned FCX last week, it too has Popped. (Copper).
NEXT
I mentioned that I expected I expected a rally for a couple of weeks, so some could trade set ups, and I posted a couple. LONGER TERM, I think the markets will roll over , so BUY & HOLD in this area s not recommended. Look up KSS, OUTR, RL, LNKD after the markets open as a warning. We keep seeing Pops and Drops in earnings. LNKD was down $55 in pre market.
FNSR – Posted yesterday as a buy. Gap fill, round base, sign of strength pop.
FNSR Yesterday. If you bought it, it can run to $15.
I mentioned 3-D printers looking ‘set up. I mentioned DDD, VJET, SSYS
VJET – Do you recognize that base ? Still a buy, especially if it pauses or pulls back a bit. The STOP is below yesterdays lows.
Look at this set up!! Who do they think they are looking this bullish during a market sell off? This is a 3 year weekly pattern that is usually very Bullish. I love this chart, I dont trust the market beyond a few weeks, but this didnt sell off in January. It is normally a buy here …
EGHT Daily – Oh Man, it even gets better. This is what the handle looks like close up. A mini Cup& Handle or W pattern with flag. This looks excellent really.
NEXT
Lets quickly look at Energy Trades. Many pop 10, 20, 30% out of their bases. I have said this before – These are for experienced traders in front of the screen most of the time. They are higher risk at this point. Trade at your own risk, keep positions small until they move out of their bases.
I pointed out CNX and its potential- It is that set up , a mini -base with higher low or flag that I like – so lets find more.
Still rising. Lets find another low that popped and then went sideways…
LGCY JAN 29 – I know, I’ve been pointing this out expecting a POP.
LGCY -I still love this base ( as long as no bad news / earnings comes out). This could easily double I.M.H.O.
AXAS – Still love this one (As long as no news / earnings come out).
CJES – Mentioned here, starting to stair step upward. Recognize that set up off of the lows?
UPL – This could be ready – I’m just going to keep copy pasting this reminder 🙂 (As long as no news / earnings come out)
BBG – Breaking out , heading higher (As long as no news / earnings come out)
Finally –
Just a quick Miner discussion. If we are entering a long term BULL in MIners, there are a TON of great set ups.
Beaten down RGLD just released earnings and POPPED. This will run swiftly when the Bull returns in my humble opinion.
I always mention and show bases of RIC, LSG, NG, GPL, MUX, etc etc as having lows in place.
I LOVE this set up on LSG, because it has not broken out yet. Disclaimer: I own this from a long time ago, since the ones that bottomed in 2013 can be considered Buy & Hold. These werent hurt by the bear conditions, what will they do when the Bull markets returns and conditions improve ( selling thier Gold for $1400, $1600, etc)?
Reminder : Long Bases run swiftly. This hit $24 yesterday.
SO I will have a weekend report by Monday morning and it has great implications for the Precious metals Bear growing horns and returning into a BULL again. I know, hard to believe after 4 yrs , but the signs that I have been pointing out for a year now ( and more) continue to line up. I have other things to point out too. I will try to get it done sooner than Monday, but as you know, my reports aren’t often very simple. I always have a pretty busy weekend with family obligations, plus I have been doing a lot of research on GOLD and will need to do some more, gather charts after the close this week, and so on. Oh yeah, and I have plans to be with family & friends Sunday night ( Superbowl).
.
Enjoy your Friday and weekend and as always –
Thanks for being here! .
.



































No way you release Sunday night. The Super Bowl will be going on. Go Carolina!
Bill – I see that GDX has gone down 2% downn premarital. I know you had predicted a gap down today. What could be a good spot to buy this dip or should we wait till Monday ?
I don’t remember saying a gap down? I think a normal pullback of 10% can be expected here. A gap fill may also occur 16%. If the experts are right and this is now a BULL market, I wouldn’t have any problem holding over the weekend. I would expect to be higher in a week or two even on a pullback if I bought early. IF we are still in a BEAR market, I wouldn’t want to hold over the weekend. I’m looking to get more $$$ in the game, Im going to watch for a while.
I’d say play it like a bear mkt rally for now…need more confirmation.
This rally is crazy strong though 🙂
Also, If this first ICL is done, we could get a 38% to 50% pullback to the next DCL. Maybe CF can tell us if we are in the timing band for the ICL to break lower?
Thanks Bill.
Alex – Thoughts on where we are in the cycle ?
I did buy some NUGT this morning. The 15min RSI very over sold. May be just a short trade.
Thanks Bill. I did the same. Bought at 34… I hope to ride it. Shoud l I keep it over the weekend or sell it. Unable to make up my mind
Wait until the end of the day to decide. I’m unsure as well.
Hi Bill – NUGT is up bigtime since 34. Plesae let me know if you plan to hold it over the weekend !
I’m staying in NUGT! This is a runaway train +21% today. If it sells down Monday so be it.
Thanks Bill. I think I will do the same. probably worth the risk. I am hoping more upside than downside. Up more than 60% in 3 days
GDX still “respecting” the 8 ema on the sell off this morning.
# RESPECT
Hi Alex – If I need to email you something, is there a address that I can send some information. Thanks for guiding us through. Have a great weekend ! Cheers
BILL – I should have double liked this one . Gold down, Dollar rocketing…you bought NUGT .
End of the day it was up $5+
Even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while. We had one other small pullback on 2-2 of about 11% in NUGT. I was looking for a repeat and jumped in. I wasn’t looking for a big drop because of the strength of this move. The RSI short term was oversold, so I caught a break.
Which one?
GDX
GDX just put in the ICL JAN 19. That makes us on day 13
Typically GDX is 24-28 day cycles. I expect this to be right translated? So, probably another few days higher at least?
Yes, very possible.
It may just move higher sooner than later ( like DRD, HMY, etc on the 8 ema) or it could drop to what we see as a 1/2 cycle low for even 4 or 5 days and then rocket higher on day 19-24. .
… premarital?
*giggle
Oops…. That was funny and stupid typo…. Wonder how I typed “pre market” as “premarital” 🙂
darn autocorrect 😉
booooo ….
… kidding .. i have no position
*im flat
That’s not how I envisioned you! Have a great weekend!
😉 i may hav fibbed…
giddyUP minersssssssssssss woohooo!!!
NUGT is like an express train! Impressive
yes i see that.. tho I’m not ‘in’ .. swore off those puppies while I work …
*unless I know I will be in the office w/o interruption
however… others are screaming…. woop
BIG Thank U chartfreak for keeping us on track…
Did everyone watch these freebie vids?
currently 5 vids listed at top of page.. and worth an hour or two to watch.
http://www.gannglobal.com/webinar/2016/January/GGF-Promo/16-01-Webinar-Replay-GGF.php
(GGF promo ended last night.. so hopefully safe to post here without losing your clients Alex!)
I would appreciate it if subscription posts were not posted. I have people here as my subs that write thier own reports and its not fair that they cant advertise here, but others are advertised
no probs!
How did you delete that? I didnt know you could- and thx for understanding.
theres a little drop down arrow in the far top right corner of your post… gives you a delete option
I didn’t even know that, but I see it now. 🙂
i hope you saved that link Alex.. gave a good historical perspective.
wouldnt swap from here though 🙂
Thx, but I actually like to do my own work, dig for facts , historical precedence, etc . It keeps me sharp. When I read other peoples work, I get satisfied (or lazy) and can miss what I would normally find if I was searching through things my own way. I usually find more than I need or use here.
So I dont subscribe to anyone elses work , but I do read other stuff like 321Gold and Safehaven, etc . Some readers also may send me something to read and say “What do you think of this bearish view?” etc, but I wont read it before I write a report. I dont want it to keep me from finding what I would find doing it my way. ( I can get cycle help from Poly and my friend Likesmoney if something throws me a curve. I like the unemotional “Just the facts” approach & research. ).
I love that you do your own work. That’s why we pay you. Thanks.
Thank You Bill. True story – I read a guys report years ago and he said
” This has never happened before, and it means …..”, and so I thought,
“WOW, This is a special event . ” I believed it for weeks.
Then I did my own research and found SEVERAL examples where it DID happen before & had an opposite effect of what he was saying it meant. Everyone makes mistakes, but that one was obvious and easy to find if he just did some research .
I dont want to be that guy if I can help it 🙂
giggle
yay..i have company…
You’ve deleted posts too?
Something like that.. wink.
But, i was just teasing sog for being ‘spoken to’ by daddy.
i’ll change my name to SonOfFauxpas.. although i did put in a disclaimer, knowing i could wipe the post
It’s nice to have company. .. giggle
hey M .. (& Ken if you’re there)
what d’ya make of this HUI elliott reading?
Big zigzag correction since 2011.
this current impulse does look like a C wave of a correction (expanding flat 4-C in my chart)
if its a new bull market, then wave 5 will need to truncate as shown…
hmmm.. i will have to check that out later SOG –
but going from memory & my old dspm chart from December, I agree — and think we may be in ‘4’ as well- heres that one now …
ill look for my hui next
HOLY SHNIKIES…. pretty freekin close.. look at that.. dumdumdum… what will happen next?
https://www.tradingview.com/x/F8fxcmGZ/
would love that truncated final 5… backs up the truck 🙂
hmm.. idk if i ever posted this one or not.. was just ‘playing with patterns’ one night…
if history repeats….
https://www.tradingview.com/x/PBXvUXQ2/
well its way ahead of schedule if its a dupe…. HUI now near 150.
butt(!)… a pullback would be even better.
i’m nowhere near loaded up enough in the miners, at the mo.
or this … then … if wave 5 if already complete..
https://www.tradingview.com/x/fsPE0NVE/
SOG – That is cool, because I was just discussing ( with myself) the pattern at the lows in TECH analysis, and it follows the path that you drew too. It can be a 50% retrace.
With this move, we may just drop to the 200sma eventually
So many scenarios, gonna make me crazy
Great report CF., as usual. I picked up DUST in pre-market. Will ride it for the bounce, at least. Dollar up so NUGT etc, etc not happy. Enjoy super weekend!!
I did as well, but may sell today. Wanted a hedge and to make a few bucks but am mostly waiting for next low to load up long.
I sold already. Picked up a few bucks also. Happy to make it in a jittery market. Best of luck. 🙂
I overstayed my welcome. It was really more of a hedge in case we started a drop now. Which it appears we are not, now with markets struggling. So, I’m taking my few bucks and going home. 🙂 Sold half SA yesterday, if we get back to purchase price, I’ll add back.
Did I mention how much I liked that LSG set up?
Its got huge volume so far this am.- to the green side. Not sure why. They released news at 6 A.M. yesterday, but the reaction was mute with Gold up.
Volume right now is more than it usually has all day.
GPL – Gap fill so far and also has very strong volume for the first 1/2 hr. HHMMM.
On a day when silver and other miners are down!
Yeah, and I dont see any news. Some are green, others selling down.
Maybe the extended ones are selling off a bit, others are stable & all setting up for another run higher later.
LSG dropped to $0.90 this a.m. at the open, then took off higher, now $1.06. 1 million in volume after 1&1/2 hr . Usually doesnt get that all day .
This is going to make a run for its highs and try to break out I would think.
Nice
Alex, what did you do to LSG! Nice call.
Well I did add , but I sure didnt buy 1 million shares : )
Actually, nice trade on your NUGT buy using the intraday chart. It really came back nicely (Not an easy trade to step into when Gold was down, dollar up).
Mmmhmmmm
I have to give a tip of the hat to IKN for breaking the story.