Beige Book

Just a reminder that the Fed will be speaking at 12:45

 

This obviously can shake up the markets.

The USD is currently continuing higher, but is this the top of a rising wedge?  A break out higher would make this a running correction with higher price ( Gold would drop).  A rising wedge would drop from here .  IT really looks like a rising wedge at this point.

UUP

  Currently GOLD  & SILVER are dropping back to recent lows , but have not broken them.  Miners are dropping, but GDX remains above the 10sma.  STOPS SHOULD BE USED IF YOU ARE IN MINERS. 

 

Stops below the prior lows is one option  if selling picks up with the Yellen speech (  $12.92)…  or a tighter stop a little below the 10sma,  but you may get a simple shake out if it drops and then reverses higher.

GDX 12-2

Many individual Miners are still technically ok  ( SA  above the 50snma,  AUY, NG, IAG, etc above the 10sma.  ) .  Now is the time to draw a line in the sand and see how this plays out.

29 replies
  1. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    So far…The Dollar spiked higher and is now dropping with her speech.

    GOLD & SILVER spiked down and stopped. They have somewhat reversed higher .

    SILVER dropped to $13.90 and DID NOT break the recent lows (yet), it jumped back to $14.01.

    GDX dropped slightly below the 10sma ( $13.62) and recovered to $13.75 as I write. Miners do not look like they are selling off as much as the metals did .

    UUP looks like a topping candle if it closes here or lower.

    SO far I would say that this is a bullish shake out type action, not a bearish selling

  2. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    This is how I am looking at GDX with the FED SPEECH intraday .

    It was a buy when it recovered the 10sma – at least for a trader as a quick trade. I like what I am seeing though on the daily too.
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    • Cason
      Cason says:

      BBEP – down 40% in 2 days!! And that is after is bounced 15 cents off today’s low. Suspended dividend. GDP in danger of being de-listed – down 30% in 2 days. Alex already showed us REXX. Oil is going to continue going down; fundamentally the situation is absolutely dire for most of these companies. All you can really do is hope for an eventual technical bounce.

  3. Cason
    Cason says:

    Alex, we are thinking potentially that there is an ICL brewing in gold, not confirmed yet. So, if we get one more dunk now then an ICL that could potentially be the end of the bear. But, if we get an ICL here and down crash towards the $1000 can that still be THE lows? I guess I’m worried that if we get an ICL here before the Fed shenanigans that we just kick the can down the road and do this all over again. Any thoughts on that? The nice thing about crashing $1000 is we might get a ‘V’ reaction for once instead of this (horridly painful) lingering at the lows for 2 weeks!

  4. Sandy
    Sandy says:

    Lot hangs on Draghi today to see if does provide stimulus for the Euro in which case USD will go stronger and thereby impacting GLD for another down leg ?? The ECB annoucement is at 13.45 CET according to my reading which prior to US mkt open I assume..I got stopped out of the Miners yet again ytday..!!

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