Nov 12th – Still No Change Here

 

SPX –  ‘No Change’ from yesterdays report. Just keep riding it until a trailing stop takes you out. This can keep riding the upper line higher for a while too.

XBI – Just yesterday I mentioned that I liked the XBI at this 50sma, with the MACD about to cross up, etc .  In the comments section I was asked about  LABD  ( bear Biotech)  and I noticed that that chart looks good too, so let me review where this sector stands.

XBI dropped yesterday and the MACD started to actually curl down already.  IF this trend line breaks,  it may be bullish for LABD – see this chart & the next one…

LABD- A break out here could happen if XBI above breaks down. This does look bullish.

 

USD – On day 18, the USD can drop down into a dcl  ( the last run had a peak of day 20, and a low at day 24.  So this can drop as shown here and allow Gold to pop, or…

USD –  This can POP first to say day 20 and then drop.

WTIC WKLY from yesterday – Oil reached a resistance area, and could Pause or pullback…

WTIC-  No change from yesterdays thoughts on Oil.

 

Individual Energy stocks can act separately from Oil, unless it gets into a steep sharp drop, so…

 

PDS –  I own PDS and added today Wednesday with this sideways consolidation over to the 10sma.  If it started dropping quickly, I would sell it, but this looks like a bull flag type set up.

WLL – I mentioned that I sold 1/2 of my WLL from the  run up off of the 50sma as it tagged the 200sma. So far it is dropping to the 10sma, I would like to see that hold. This may start to crawl along the 200sma and that would be bullish, but a faster break down might be a drop to the 50sma.

 

 

GOLD – Gold made a higher high for the week, but as mentioned in the last report, this should NOT break above the 1308 and the 50sma will probably stall it.  With Gold looking and acting bullishly,  GDX & GDXJ are still not very bullish.  Let’s look at Miners…

GDX – GDX popped this morning and reversed back lower toward the end of the day. I am still watching this trend line, but at this point, it still does not look like we are missing anything.  HOWEVER…

I have mentioned that some Miners look very bullish compared to GDX or GDXJ.  Take a look at a 3 month chart of EGI.It has moved very bullishly this week.

I also pointed out  NSRPF here to show how this consolidation resembles the last one  (Which was bullish),   so we are getting a mix of bullish Miners and maybe some lagging.

NAK – NAK was pointed out as a buy a few times recently, with a bullish set up.

NAK – And it is breaking higher.  This is considered a Miner as well as a ‘metals’ company. SO we are seeing some bullish action in this area.

IAG – While EGO made a new low today,  IAG popped bullishly on earnings.  If we drop into an ICL, this would likely back test the trend line, but it is starting to look like Miners are ‘surprising to the upside’ in many cases.   The sign of a bull market, not a bear.

So while Gold has not broken the OCT lows, Miners have.  That makes Gold look Bullish, but Miners?   Not as bullish, but individual Miners are showing some bullish activity.   That kind of a mixed bag makes it tricky, but another day goes by and we still have no change here too. I am trading in other sectors while watching the parameters that I have laid out in these reports, looking  for further confirmation of where we are seeing timing – wise.  Enjoy your Thursday trading.

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~ALEX

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MYMMF – Tuesday I mentioned Canadian Medical Marijuana companies, and that this set up could lead to a quick 40% gain ( 40 cents to 60 cents). I wanted to point out that…

MYMMF –  60 cents is the first target, but this COULD break out & run a lot higher too. Let me show you something…

These are Canadian medical Marijuana stocks lately, as they break from bases.

OGRMF –  This was the buy on OGRMF, trying to break from a nice long base.

OGRMF – Nice POP.

OGRMF – And this is it now, consolidated the recent gains and is currently still moving higher. I expect a run to former highs above $3.25  ( that alone is 30%) and possibly even higher the way these have been moving.

 

This is just to show how devious these markets often are.

 

PLNT – I posted this bullish chart as a reversal buy above the 50sma. I didnt take the trade, but the chart is bullish,  running higher,  tagging the 50sma.

PLNT – Tuesday was a ‘shake out’ below the 50sma, I probably would have sold my position if I bought it.  and then on Wednesday, earnings come out and boom, it pops up 20%.  It is so hard when they run the stops and then it gaps open like this.  As I have mentioned before, even for the buy & hold investor riding a trend higher,  it is not as easy as it looks.

 

GRPN – I mentioned this ‘buy’ as a reversal during their earnings call, and said that I bought it.  As you can see, this is a bull run and a bullish recovery for this stock longer term. I personally was planning on buying at $5 and selling maybe selling when it gets near $6, that was just the trade that I wanted to make…

GRPN – Basically rising every day, it does seem to be heading for $6 and could just keep going higher.    The chart is still bullish longer term, and you could ride this longer if you want, but I may lock in gains soon. I just wanted to mention that for those with a longer term plan, this looks just fine.

FCEL –  I bought FCEL, because these tight weekly patterns can be very bullish.

FCEL – It continues sideways, I still own it, but the last consolidation lasted for about 2 months.  This may go sideways until it reaches the 50sma , but it COULD drop & fill the gap and the 50sma now.  That does not make it bearish, it is a bullish set up at this point, unless it really starts selling off.

107 replies
  1. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    WATCHING some Miners yesterday, and KGC has been rising out of lows, they had scheduled earnings after the bell and the volume seemed pretty high ( Trading up) before earnings.

    They released earnings after the bell and this morning had a conference call at 8 a.m. – the stock is up 5% pre-market

      • marinho
        marinho says:

        look at NXE up 25% I wish I had purchased more while it was in the 1.90’s, but I am happy anyway. DNN also up 10% today and 20% this week

    • nancytheartist
      nancytheartist says:

      •Cameco’s (NYSE:CCJ) pain could mean gains for other uranium companies after the company’s suspension of some of its operations will cut global supplies of the commodity, which analysts say could be biggest catalyst for the sector since the 2011 Fukushima disaster. •McArthur River is the world’s largest uranium mine, and BMO analysts say its suspension should remove ~17M lb U3O8 from the market next year (12M lb attributable to CCJ), representing 12% of primary mine supply and 9% of estimated demand.

  2. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    So Gold shot up this morning and I see GDX up 7 cents (So Far).
    It just doesn’t seem like it is ‘time’ for the miners to break out and run.

    Totally makes sense at this point

  3. Hawaiifive0
    Hawaiifive0 says:

    There appears to be a technical problem at E-trade. Can’t log on to any platform or even get call through.

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Well here is the good news, they have dome this before and it was last Nov Dec, right before Miners took off.

      See a 1 year chart of UUUU, UEC, DNN, UEG . They had days just like today, up 10 – 20 % a day

      • Ralph Wiederzane
        Ralph Wiederzane says:

        Now that the supply is clearing out next year, that sets the stage for the uranium stocks to mount a serious rally. I won´t chase on a day an etf is up 10%, but I think it´s time to buy the dips in those you mentioned.

  4. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    SWN & OAS acting well ( 1 – 2 day pauses and then burst higher)

    HOS & PDS could be doing that now as mentioned in the report.

    SN, DNR, PQ, & more looking good set ups too ( DNR at 200 sma resistance though)

  5. Jeff
    Jeff says:

    I own UUUU, URG, and WWR. All year I have been doing the “Help me Mr. Wizard” with them.
    Maybe he is finally listening?

  6. Tammie
    Tammie says:

    Had SOXS couple days ago, but sold yesterday, scared it would go the other way….yeah, wish I’d held it…..

  7. SonOfGud
    SonOfGud says:

    pullback for LGCY now?
    looks like 5 up for a wave 1.
    taken profits in DNR and SWN around the 200sma.

  8. Ralph Wiederzane
    Ralph Wiederzane says:

    Commodity stocks of all kinds are not weak today despite the general market, stuff like precious metals but also copper, agriculture, oil all unaffected, and then there is the spike in uranium. I am wondering if a December pullback in miners of sorts might be shallow instead of the clobberings they have taken many times in the bear market. If it is a bull, might we not expect it to act differently in the pullbacks, maybe not as steep?

  9. Ralph Wiederzane
    Ralph Wiederzane says:

    Waiting for tax related selling to take hold in miners also has me wondering if this year we might not get the December smash we are all looking to buy? The etfs like GDX are still up on the year, and except for some indvidual bombs, overall the miners are higher than where they started in January. They are not up by much, but enough that I don´t see wholesale dumping in the future barring a big news event or turmoil in markets.

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Just wanted to share a thought on that with you Ralph-

      Often times Tax Loss selling isn’t based on where they were in January, and where they are now- it would be based on where they bought it, and where it is say in November. Are they holding a losing position. So If they are holding a losing position- they sell to have the write off

      Now pull up a 1 yr chart of HL, EGO, ABX, GG, AUY, PAAS – and more. These could all be losses, some quite big.

  10. SonOfGud
    SonOfGud says:

    dayyum…
    Ive been busying about putting orders in, wondering why prices arent moving and only just realized, e.o.d was half an hour ago.
    d’ohhh

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