Wednesday Aug 23

 

SPX – We are well within the timing for a dcl, and the swing low on Tuesday gives a valid buy, with a stop under the low of Monday.

If we get the dcl in place here, will the General Markets now just recover and take off to new highs?

 We still have not seen a clear ICL and this drop doesn’t qualify as one either.  That has me wondering if this swing low will just roll over, like the last one, into a new low  (ICL).  That said, you should use a stop and raise it as price goes higher if you  take the trade.  We do have a swing low within the timing for a dcl.

USD –  The USD is still meandering sideways and has peaked on day 10 so far. This is where most left translated daily cycles would top, so this is an important area for the USD.

WTIC – The parameters for Oil have not changed from prior reports. The inventory report is released on Wednesdays, so we may see a directional move today. Today could be day 4.

NATGAS – No changed from the report yesterday here either. Parameters have not be broken and the set up remains bullish unless the lows are taken out.  Depending on where you went long, you could place Stops under the Blue line or Magenta lines. So far, Natgas has been a choppy difficult trade.

GOLD #1– No big change in Gold either, but we can discuss it…

GOLD #2 – Gold remains bullish to me and as I have mentioned before, even if this is all part of the 1st daily cycle, we are now on day 32 Wednesday. A big drop into a dcl would be fairly limited time-wise.  Yes, it could drop to the 50sma, but would likely rebound very quickly at the start of the next daily cycle.  Please read the chart, and it should say 28-34 days on average.

GOLD #3 –  I’m still leaning toward a day 21 dcl, and that would make Wednesday day 11.  Are we building energy to break higher, while others are bored, selling , and even shorting Gold,  thinking this is weak?  I have seen many shorting Gold here in other blogs, I’d love to see a surprise to the upside.

Nothing changed from these 3 charts for the Miners yesterday. We are waiting for some upside action.

 

GDXJ –

 

GDX –

 

GDX –

 

I have posted a great number of Miners that are acting bullishly, and this encourages me to maintain my bullish view. Commodities like copper stocks and other metals have been doing well too. Enjoy your Wednesday trading!

 

 

~ALEX

 

NAK – The last chart that I put into a report for NAK was on July 19th.  It broke out from a downtrend and I added then. I would also add if it moved above the 50sma, and it did last week, so I mentioned in the comments section that I was adding.

NAK – NAK broke the 50sma and back tested on Monday, now it looks like it will tag the 200sma.  Can it break through in 1 try? Yesterdays increased volume indicates that it might be able to, especially if NAK gets going.  It is not overbought and the RSI acted correctly.

GSV – This was in yesterdays report as a flat base that did NOT break down when Gold sold off $10 last Monday and $10 last Tuesday.  THAT means that the lows could be in place and it is an easy buy with a tight semi-stop.  Notice what I pointed out on the RSI, will it break out?

GSV – The RSI broke the 50% area yesterday, so I added to my position.  I envision a run to the 200sma, and then it might stall.

 

KLDX – This was in yesterdays report, it remains a valid set up, and ALO  ( TGD) was a set up in yesterdays report, and it actually dropped on Tuesday to the lows of its base. SSRM, PAAS, and others were just a few ideas to keep your eyes on, and accumulate on the dips or break outs if you wish.

 

SING  A VERY HIGH RISK TRADE. (  I should give Tammy credit for pointing this company out- Thx Tammy) .  This one has a story behind it, assisting in payments of the Marijuana Sector using cryptocurrency.  It can be taken as a short term trade by traders or a long term ‘buy & hold and see what happens’, or put on a watch list to see if it progresses going forward. I bought a small position on the recent dip to the 10 sma.  It fell to 5 cents and I got it around 6 cents ( It was 20,000 shares for about $1000.00)  It moves up (and down ) 20% in a day.  Tuesday it was up another 25%.

This set up on SING is a bullish set up, it is oversold, and that is why I took that little dip, but I do not recommend this trade for everyone.    It was a 6 cent stock and has been down here basing out for a long time.  Do some due diligence and read up on it and decide for yourself what you want to do. Maybe it goes on a watch list and you can monitor progress or lack of progress as time goes on.

122 replies
  1. Hawaiifive0
    Hawaiifive0 says:

    Thanks Alex! Great report. Just to let you know I was explaining my view on gold this morning on BBT. And when I finished, I realized that I was basically providing the reader with your thoughts. So in the end, I couldn’t allow myself to take the credit for your thinking and mentioned you as the source. I don’t think I screwed up there, but if I did let me know and I will delete it.

    • Tammie
      Tammie says:

      Thanks! 🙂 I should have added when it dropped….so I’m a little under water and just waiting…..was out of town a few days so couldn’t keep up! Have a couple of days at home and then gone again several days but I’ll have lots more time to keep up while I’m gone this time!

      • chartfreak1
        chartfreak1 says:

        I don’t think I would have heard about SING without your post. I did a little research on the cryptocurrency / MJ effort by them and the dip looked good. The chart looks very good, but it has been basing for years at pennies, so I am cautious. It is a lot like the MJ stocks themselves. Great rallies and then the drop is a bit scary 🙂

        • Tammie
          Tammie says:

          I owned it long ago when it was .03…..but…..got impatient and go out……if I only had more patience….:)

          • Tammie
            Tammie says:

            Maybe one day it’ll be .50 and I’ll be saying….I owned it when it was .09……hm, something to think about…

  2. Ralph Wiederzane
    Ralph Wiederzane says:

    Alex, do you mind if I ask what % of your portfolio you are invested in miners at this point, in order to gauge your level of aggressiveness? For example, I am at 40% of total portfolio, and routinely get to 100% when I am sitting on unrealized profits and quite confident of higher prices (which I haven´t been since December of 2016 at 100%).

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      As a trader I rarely sit still. I buy & sell daily as I see set ups ready to Pop on intraday charts, etc, so I may be very heavy at times when I would not recommend it to others, because I can watch and see things intraday that may have me change direction short term. Know this, If I say I am 50% Miners right now, that does NOT mean I will be 50% by the close, it doesnt mean I was 50% on Monday. I am a trader as well as a medium term investor, and I am constantly searching for 15 minute set ups, 10 minute set ups, hrly set ups, etc ready to Pop…and I buy & hold depending on the time length of that set up.

      That said, I re-purchased JNUG fairly heavy at what could be the day 21 dcl, because I made good gains on it from the ICL, and that affects how I view risk. I sold a chunk recently. I own 30% Miners in addition to that , and about 30% commodities ( TGB, IPI, GMO, NAK), but again, I trade any and all of these as I see fit. I do not see myself viewing my account the way many here do).

      • Ralph Wiederzane
        Ralph Wiederzane says:

        Thanks, really appreciate it. I guess it would be difficult to compare our styles and %´s invested, as I am a much longer term holder than you, typically trading off the monthly charts, and only using the daily and weekly charts to time in and out of the monthly signals.

        • chartfreak1
          chartfreak1 says:

          Some of these monthly charts look pretty good – I like some of the bases, but they do need a little upside confirmation, while others are really nice ( IAG)

          • Ralph Wiederzane
            Ralph Wiederzane says:

            Yes, one by one they are triggering my buy signals. Still waiting on a few, like MUX and SIL, but many have already triggered, while others have triggered a month or two ago and getting heading higher like IAG and Osisko royalties. That´s what makes me think we are heading higher, few are breaking down. The most recent buy signals triggered this week in FFMGF and GSV, hence my buys.

  3. RAY
    RAY says:

    actually we’re lucky to be in wave 3 of 3 (the wave with plenty of action)
    can you imagine how boring it would be if this is wave 1 or so ? 🙂

  4. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    Just talking out loud- I still like the way many of these commodity stocks are lining up. They have been a safer buy & hold, though not always straight up.

    SID & CLF moving sideways to the 50sma and slowly nearing oversold.
    NAK pulling back may test that 50sma again
    MTL broke the 50sma, and bak tested it perfectly ( I missed it) , now breaking above the 200sma.
    TANH and the 50sma , as mentioned last week.
    My GMO trade moves higher 4-5% a day, but the volume is too light for me right now, I may sell that soon.
    IPI is a great 6 month chart

    HBM, TGB, FCX, CENX, VALE, = Beautiful runs. X = slow and steady above the 50sma now ( for a stop).

  5. RonB
    RonB says:

    HOS is moving today. Also REGI. I’m usually over anxious to play oil stocks but with such a massive worldwide oversupply of oil and natural gas I just can’t get excited

  6. Ralph Wiederzane
    Ralph Wiederzane says:

    The longer we go sideways above the 200 and 50 moving averages, the stronger the move higher will be when it finally kicks into gear. Not too much longer and we will have a golden cross to the upside once again.

  7. SonOfGud
    SonOfGud says:

    calling Mamma Cash Elliott,, would ya say we have just completed C5 of an wave2 ABC in LGCY? (since April 2016.. heck thats taken some time to unwind)
    … orrr just done C3?
    btw.. am looking at wave A for comparison

  8. RonB
    RonB says:

    Took NUGT JUNG off the table with a profit. I don’t enjoy when these 3x move down overnight so will wait for some positive movement over 1300 before going back in.

  9. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    SID , GGB look like they may be ready to move higher .
    GGB on that 200sma, and SID never tagged that 50sma (which is where I thought that I would add to my position), but it looks good. CLf too.

    Maybe it is steel stocks turn to catch the Copper stocks?

    • SonOfGud
      SonOfGud says:

      unfortunately, it only got loved on 30K volume.
      I’m still locked out of trading this in my account.. all the while it seeks new lows for the year

  10. BayTrader
    BayTrader says:

    Current Plays: Got caught up today and got pretty bad entries on many of these and also lost a bit but I’m keeping most for the longer haul this go around.

    BBG, RIG, UCO all starters.
    GSV, Still holding my starter and half size 1.73 avg. KGC Half at the close today 4.23 entry.
    (All bad entries) GGB Starter again 3.65 entry. SID half 2.59 entry, CLF Half at the close 7.73
    Lotto play – TVIX 150 shares – in the 17s in AH.

    Cut NAK – decent gain
    CUT FCX then got to watch it run again (didnt like it giving it back yesterday, literally covered costs)

    Caught the bounce on PETS today, and was up a great amount. Held too long and lost that great amount.
    Sold below entry and it bounced again and watched that too, run into the close.. (Today was not the best day)

    Im no longer 75% cash, about 35-40% at most now. Keeping some cash on hand for scalps, and the rest, well letting it ride for now

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