Friday June 30 – More Stock Picks

I wanted to add some more stock picks to the list that we already have out there,  and there is also something else that we should keep in mind…

 Today is Friday, the last trading day of the week. Monday is a 1/2 day of trading in the U.S., and Tuesday the markets are closed. How do you want to be positioned for that schedule? That could affect your Friday trading.  That said, Let’s look at a few Stocks that are setting up.

 

URANIUMS –  This has price crawling along the 50sma, and this is often indicative of a break out.  Are the stocks setting up nicely too?

 

UEC–  We have already discussed this one. Notice how it dropped down to the 9 sma and then reversed higher. It still looks ready to break out.

 

URG – Another Uranium stock that looks like it is building steam to break out.

UUUU– Pinched between the 10 & 50sma,  I think that this is just a matter of time too.

DNN – This broke above a down trend line, so it MIGHT drop back and back test it.  This one needs a bit more time in my opinion, but it broke the down trend.

SO URA looks bullishly aligned, and most of th Uranium stocks also look like they will break higher sooner than later.  These run like the Miners,  so if you see them break out,  you may want to buy one or two.

 

GV –  This was that ‘infrastructure’ stock that ran very nicely last fall.  It made mini- higher lows and higher highs up to the 50sma, and then Popped. This bull flag could be bought , since Commodities seem to be back in favor.  I do not like the volume right now, but it was running over 1-2 million on the last run higher last year and that can return.

TGB – I still like this if it breaks out

TGC –  This is an Energy stock that I used to trade.  What a huge POP in April, and then it has been consolidating for months.  Low volume recently, but it is on my watchlist.

 

AREX –  Mentioned here with ERF, RES,  AREX  has been leading the way out of the lows with OIL  & NATGAS still selling off.  Thursday it had a little POP. I didn’t buy it, but if it back tests the break out, I might.

 

SGG –  Sugar finally looks like it bottomed Thursday.  That was a nice sign of strength out of the lows and out of that wedge.

 

GORO – Read the chart please.

 

GEVO – ERIK from our comments section emailed me last night,  asking about that Pop in Gevo.  I hadn’t seen it, so here it is.  That is a nice long base and a decent break on volume, and I do like it.  It MIGHT stall at the 50sma, but with a base like this,  it also can just break out and move higher.  The link below is the news that popped the stock.

Debt exchange news

 

 

As you can see, suddenly we have stocks bottoming or setting up bullishly after the recent sell offs and choppy trade.  Selling often leads to good buying opportunities.  You CANNOT own all of them, but look at how they have moved in the past and maybe own a couple.  A steel stock, a Uranium stock, a Solar.  Energy ? That is pretty much what I am doing while watching the Precious Metals sector. I own TGB, UEC, NAK, SPWR, etc for example.  I really liked that GV stock on the run last year, but I’d like to see a bit ore volume before I buy it.  I do not own an Energy stock yet.

So remember,  Today is the last trading day of the week, and if you are in the U.S.,  Monday is only a 1/2 day of trading and Tuesday the markets are closed. You may want to take that into consideration when it comes to how you want to be positioned if GOLD, OIL, and NATGAS trade in other countries, while the US markets are closed.   Also , it is wise to check on a company before you buy and find out when they release their earnings.  It might be best to wait until after they do, if their earnings release is near by.  Enjoy your Friday trading and have a great weekend!

.

 

~ALEX

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This NAK trade broke below the 200sma and I mentioned that I took profit on much of my position until I could see what was going on.  A shake out?  A break down?”  With Metals stocks like Steel , Aluminum, Copper, etc seemingly bottoming,  I actually expected NAK to recover, but so far it looks weak.   Lets examine this trade.

 

NAK #1 – Break down,  Back test(?) and a down day. Keep in mind that it is oversold, it still could recover, since Steel stocks and other Metal stocks seem to be bottomed.

NAK #2–  NAK is sitting on the B.B., and yes, it can ride it down.  It also can bounce off of it and run higher.  The B.B.  has pinched together and that often leads to a move. NAK is fairly oversold, so is a move higher coming, since the ‘Metals’ seem to be bottoming?  Possibly,  let’s take a look at one more chart.

 

NAK #3 – If this wedge breaks upside, from oversold conditions, and gets back above the 200 sma, with steel stocks bottoming, etc etc –  it would signal that a shake out below the 200sma likely took place.  I would buy all of my position back if it starts to run upside.  NOTE: WE ARE AT THE APEX- WE SHOULD KNOW VERY SOON.  I will not buy this Friday or Monday most likely,  I will wait for the move to prove itself by getting back above that 200sma.

There could just simply be something wrong with NAK at this time, and it may not recover, so we have to keep that in mind.  I did sell a good amount when NAK sold off below the 200sma, because that was my mental stop and I had accumulated a good amount. I am still holding some and monitoring that wedge as stated above.

 

NATGAS – Rejected at the initial target,  the inventory report started to drop NATGAS.   Watching to see if we get that Gap filled at the 1o sma or will this just break down.  I sold all leveraged positioning at the resistance target that I had been pointing out daily.

NATGAS from June 27

75 replies
  1. Bill
    Bill says:

    Looks to me like miners are leading gold lower. While gold looks to be consolidating around 1243, GDX is definitely moving lower. NAK lower……

  2. Bill
    Bill says:

    Oil looks to be on day 7 of a new DC. Up steady each day. I’m not sure how the rest of the energy sector is doing, chime in if you know, but GUSH (energy services) has been moving steadily higher as well.

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      Really? Actual crude has been great but energy stocks not gearing up the same way, imo. I’ve been very unimpressed.

  3. MM
    MM says:

    Alex,
    Given the mixed picture in gold and miners – which you have covered extensively with a neutral bias – which way are you leaning? Gold breaking down or up?

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Down – it has had plenty of reason to break out and run higher with the USD dropping the way that it has.
      I think that we will get a final flush & then a sharp rally back, and will cover it in the weekend report.

      • MM
        MM says:

        Thank you. Unfortunately, I feel that way as well. The crash in the dollar looks like it might run out of steam and reverse soon. dollar and Treasury exposure for the commercials are also pointing to a rally in rates/dollar. Neither seems to be good for gold recently. I appreciate your perspective.MM

      • nancytheartist
        nancytheartist says:

        Thanks also for sharing your “leaning”…..balancing on this thin tightrope is really getting old! I have one short position I would like to get out of with a little less pain!

  4. RonB
    RonB says:

    This is a “gut feel” observation as I think I see the pattern, but have never quantified it, but it seems there is a “pool” of hot money that rotates between the producers in the various energy and hard commodities, and they each take a turn at a brief run. We had the solar take a run, then the “other miners” warmed up, now uranium is gearing up, soon it will be ________ fill in the blank. Has anyone else been able to get a handle on this rotation that seems to repeatedly play out?

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      It used to be that OIL would put in an ICL and Energy trades would be good for a few months, GOLD would put in an ICL and you could switch to Miners, Commodities would have an ICL in there and the Metals stocks would run for a few months.

      I think we may be looking at that line up again – but look at a 3 year chart and you’ll see that the bottom was late 2015-early 2016 for Miners, Oil, Steel and Aluminum. We are just in the consolidation phases

  5. Crawdaddy
    Crawdaddy says:

    Also of note for the short week ahead: Wednesday 2:00 Est. Fed minutes released & Friday am.the employment situation.
    Alex, what about a short if gold hits,say &1238 ?

  6. RonB
    RonB says:

    KL.TO is hitting new ground today. I’m in it and have done the research and it is a really good company, with exceptionally high ore grades. Unfortunately for you guys it only trades in Canada now but it can’t be long until it gets a dual listing and this is why…

    “Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. operates five underground gold mines, three in Ontario and two in Australia.

    Company chairman Eric Sprott recently announced that he would be stepping down as chairman of asset manager Sprott Inc., mentioning that he would be focusing on his personal investments. It appears Mr. Sprott is well on his way with that at Kirkland Lake Gold, where he has spent nearly $5-million picking up shares over the past month. Mr. Sprott is the largest insider company shareholder, holding 9.57 per cent of shares outstanding.”

    • ray
      ray says:

      another one which is good in Canada is SBB nice rounding bottom and looks more like it want to take off – Alex your thought on this one?

  7. Rob
    Rob says:

    Hi Alex, and the 2nd uranium stock I own is down 5% today Cameco (CCJ). It is a large player in uranium. Did you not analyze the chart because you dont like the looks of it?

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Hi Rob,

      UEC, URG are above both the 200and 50sma, URA needs to push above that 50sma.

      CCJ was below both and still at the base lows. It could be fine, but it seems to still be within that base, at the lows, and shows up as overbought – so I’d keep an eye on it ( Or any of them).

      URG UEC, etc are good trade set ups as long as they remain set up this way . Breaking quickly below support does pose a problem

      • Rob
        Rob says:

        OK. thanks for the quick response.I will keep CCJ on a shortish leash. I own some UUUU..Hope that one pops soon…ish 🙂 have a good long weekend.

      • Rob
        Rob says:

        I ended up switching CCJ for URG. let’s see how it plays out. Thanks again for the feedback!

  8. Cal Staggers
    Cal Staggers says:

    Could the US$ be near a low? Sentiment & E.W. (uh-oh, I’m in trouble if I look at E.W.), short-term RSI & MACD and charting makes it seem possible. I’m out of P.M. & Miners until they form a bottom, so I’m taking an extremely boring ETF called EUO, which is double short the Euro making it long the US$. I used this years ago for a large sum of money to be held for long periods. Even though I only plan to hold this until a bottom in P.M./Miners (in a month or so?), I think today gives a good entry with a close stop-loss.
    Just FYI for anyone else doesn’t trade individual stocks (Steve T.?) Here’s a daily chart:

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/4fe405c999f602e73c6c3358c10f9ae330095e50448a70a048941993662fb30c.png

  9. Cal Staggers
    Cal Staggers says:

    I doubt anyone is following the earlier EUO comment, but in the interest of full disclosure, I’ll likely reduce my starter position greatly and wait until there’s more volume. Waiting until closer to the end of session.

    Enjoy the weekend!

  10. BayTrader
    BayTrader says:

    Stopped out MOSY.. 10 cent loss. Nothing moving too much today… Monitoring my Commods very closely.

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