5-8-17 Short And Sweet

 

Todays report will be short and sweet, there is no need to cover ‘everything’ after the weekend report, but it does still include over 20 charts to cover a number of ideas, some new and others that we have discussed in prior reports.

WTIC –  An unconfirmed swing low is in place, but the safer play is to see if it can get above that 10sma.

XLE – This looks good, and some of the Energy stocks are starting to shape up too. We did have a fake  break out a month ago, so caution is warranted.  For those that feel the need to trade the Energy sector early….Stay Frosty!  Use the lows as your stop just in case this low is not THE low.

 

AREX & NOG  look very good!  Others seem to need time to prove themselves.  Nog released earnings Monday a.m. & I wish I saw it on Monday. I want to buy NOG right now, it wants to break that downtrend. In Nov 2016 NOG ran up well over 100% from roughly $1.50 to $4.

 

NATGAS Friday  -Hoping for follow through and a break out.

NATGAS MONDAY – No break out, but no real change here either, except for he fact that it is dropping on heavy volume & threatens to take out the recent lows.  If it does that, the DCL is ahead and not in place. My stop is that lower line.

GOLD – Gravestone Doji #2 showed up.  No swing low yet though, but we are due .

 

GDX – Unconfirmed swing low in the Miners and they usually lead the way higher – please read the chart.  Bottoms in GDX can be a process – see the boxes.

 

TRX found some Gold and got rewarded. This could break out here at the start of a 4th daily cycle, and then  during the ICL simply back test, but it is hard to know for sure.  I look at  EGO & AEM when they had a POP after good earnings, and they may hold up better as proven Miners when Gold drops to an ICL, but stops are still needed.

NAK #1 – Look at NAK in Nov 2016. It gapped open, dropped to the 10sma, and never looked back.  That gap didn’t fill. I see that here again.

NAK #2 – Please read the chart.  Funds were buying NAK, and then likely sold out on the way down. Are they interested again with the new EPA set up?

 

VSTM & CGIX have been mentioned here in the past – VSTM tried to break out and it does have the volume to do so. It has had a nice cup consolidation, and I like it as a fairly low risk buy here. This may follow through this week.

URRE   (And some other Uranium stocks)  look to be breaking higher.  URRE re-gained the 200sma and is worth a buy here with a stop below recent lows or a tight one below the 200sma.

IPI – Last week one of our readers ( Thanks Chuck) reminded me that the IPI consolidation was worth watching. I didnt read my email until Sunday and Monday had further follow through. It goes on my watch list for a ‘buy the dip’ candidate, but these break outs can just keep running. .

 

GEVO _ I bought this and own it , because I like this base and the volume pops within it.  They had earnings after the bell on Monday and the stock ran up 6% by 6 p.m.  It has since dropped, but that is way better than watching it drop in the post market.  Let’s see what happens Tuesday.

 

FUEL – Earnings come out on Tuesday after the close, and this dropped on Monday , but so far it holds above the 20sma and the trend line.  I will have to put my stop loosely below the trend line, I just hope that I am not the victim of a shake out.  Their last earnings a quarter ago is what sent them running higher.

 

TSEM – Semis have sold off, but I keep my eyes on a number of interesting Tech stocks  ( TSEM, CY, AMD, FNSR, TWTR, etc) .  TSEM blasted higher on volume after a 2 month sell off.  All of the losses are regained. Earnings season is a boom or bust event this year.

 

SSYS at $23+ – On April 18  I was pointing out 3-D Printer stocks. This is an awesome base and I like it along with the other 3-D set ups  ( DDD, VJET, XONE).  Look at that upside potential.

SSYS at $25+- April 26th – break out and handle  = remains Bullish.

SSYS MAY 8 $27+ – Follow through and that chart above shows a huge upside potential.

So we go to other 3-D Printer stocks that I mentioned…

 

 

DDD – DDD broke out too, and Monday alone it was up about 12%. It was $15 recently and threatening to break out, but now it has and is at $19. This sector looks ready to run after a dismal year or two.

 

XONE – April 26th I showed how XONE is breaking out of a nice base.  It broke from a wedge at $10.

 

XONE – It then went sideways and now is looking ready to really move,  with 1 problem…Earnings are set to be released on MAY 10th.  THIS IS ON MY WATCH LIST.  If May 10 is bullish, This is a break out from a solid base in  a sector that is heating up.  A run to $16 is not out of the question, to start things off.

SO there are plenty of possible trade set ups in various sectors now, find a trade or two if you want, but don’t be overwhelmed by how many there are.   Also know that some have greater  risks and please use stops.  DO NOT be willing to ride stocks down if they go against you.  We have an ICL in Precious Metals coming up and that will be the best buying opportunity of the year.   Enjoy your Tuesday trading!!

.

~Alex

115 replies
  1. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    Uranium stocks and the URA finally look to be setting up for low risk entries. URRE in the report regained the 200sma, and UEC has too. Many are stopped right at their 10sma and could break above those today or tomorrow. DNN, URG, UUUU, etc

    NOTE: Those looking for the strongest one, USEG has been one of the strongest of this sector. It did not break down at all during URAs sell off. Also the one that RAY has been mentioning Canadian ticker NXG – in the U.S. it is NXGEF has not been breaking down either.

    NXGEF has semi light volume, but the set up is very good. Last November is tripled!

    • Brian
      Brian says:

      I know seems a bit contrary but with how bullish GOLD has been , how stretched the cycle is , and how well the miners have held up, I am seeing an ABCDE triangle pattern. On DUST daily it is well formed. I doubt many think DUST will get to $24 area but with everyone positioning themselves for the ICL we are get close to potential short squeeze territory and getting everyone bullish again only to really reverse this to the downside. Just thinking it out. Still long with NUGT from low $28.

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      Yeah, I’ve lost the cycle count now. Run out of toes now to count it on…

      I’m with Brian, but if GDX undercuts last week’s low, I’m out. I’ll take my single lump and wait for the ICL setup. Not gonna force this one.

  2. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    NAK – Back to back 16% days?

    We were buyers near $1 at the 200sma, and it is now a 100% gainer. Congrats to any who held on or even added at $1.1o, $1.25, even $1.35

  3. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    I have NUGT as a buy at $28.50 for a short term trade. I AM NOT RECOMMENDING THIS…

    – but it broke from a down trend and could start higher
    – GDX GDXJ not breaking lows while Gold sells off to new lows is also a positive

    – And a few other reasons seem to indicate lows might be in for miners for a 4th daily cycle

  4. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    NOTE: MACK EARNINGS PRE_MARKET TOMORROW.

    I’m going to hold through and take my chances like I did with GEVO.

    Gevo is quite lack luster and if it doesnt get back over the 50sma soon ( days) , I may cut it loose to free up some funds.

  5. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    Look at a 3 month chart of GLD & SLV and compare it to charts of GDX & GDXJ .

    Big difference today and likely showing that the lows are in for miners.

    GDX:GLD

    • Bill
      Bill says:

      Feels early to me. Gold stoch isn’t oversold yet, GDX TSI crossing over negative. Both weekly charts.

      • chartfreak1
        chartfreak1 says:

        Well, my comment was based on daily charts. If one is gauging a dcl, it is best to use daily charts. The weekly charts ( looking for oversold stochastics, TSI, etc) won’t help you at a dcl really, though it may help with ICLs.

        So the weekly chart isnt a good timing tool for dcl’, but if “it feels early’ on a weekly chart, yes, probably too early for an ICL.

        I’m not encouraging trading this DCL anyway, so it doesn’t really matter. I simply wanted people to see the divergence.

      • Cason
        Cason says:

        Timing wise, for a DCL gold is actually “late” and per your JDST trade, miners got crushed recently. Check out the Feb and Apr waterfalls on GDXJ. Twins! Not early.

        • Bill
          Bill says:

          You are right, GOLD is on day 41 today, very extended. But if this is the 4th DCL it might not be worth trading.

          • Cason
            Cason says:

            True, but too late, already in! GDX us doing alright here. Actual gold keeps undercutting, which is frustrating. I was looking for 12-15% on NUGT. 1-2 solid days and I’m out. Not gonna get greedy on 4th D.C. Just gonna book profit and get ready for next trade. Once I sell that position I’ll be really high in cash, so ready for ICL time!

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      Yes, gold is back to shiny pet rock/ancient relic status and is uniformly hated and despised. However, miners do seem to be holding up. I was just thinking the same as what you were. Thanks for posting an update today. Now, back to vacation!

  6. Cason
    Cason says:

    SIG, bought URRE just now. Hope I don’t ruin it for you!!

    I was gonna kinda sit on my hands for a few days but CF had so many ideas that I couldn’t help myself. And I’m really getting interested in energy!

  7. chartfreak1
    chartfreak1 says:

    AUMN – Bucking the trend.

    NAK – Welcome Back!

    Heading out now. Been hanging out poolside most of today – Time to hit the beach.

    FUEL & MACK earnings next, if anyone owns them. Fuels chart hints at possible trouble? Maybe not, but It didnt CLOSE below the 10sma on that first run up Feb & March. Now it regained and dropped below again. A sign of trouble & possibly insider trading? I cant tell, I’m holding through earnings. The last earnings announce is what ramped it up in the spring. My NAK gains will offset a gap down and I’ll decide tomorrow.

    Have a good evening!

  8. Brian
    Brian says:

    Just an observation… if you take a look at DUST on 2-2-17 there was a gap down from $29.97 to $29.11.. then on 4-25-17 there was a gap up from just about $29.11 to almost $29.97.. weird. I think DUST gets back to the gap before it really starts into the ICL. That’s my plan anyways.

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      As would I. But I’m also letting timing (cycle) play part of this as well as resistance on gold. That is assuming gold ever rises this cycle.

  9. Kenny
    Kenny says:

    Miners green in AH…only a very small amount, but green is a nice color after looking at red all day. 🙂

  10. Cason
    Cason says:

    API reports big draw tonight. Oil Inventory – Government data 10:30 tomorrow morning.

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