Fed Wednesday – Business As Usual?
Today is Fed Wednesday – You know the drill.
NOTHING HAS CHANGED, EVEN THOUGH PRICE HAS CHANGED. There are short term bullish scenarios for precious metals, there are bearish scenarios, as laid out for you in the weekend report. Yesterdays fast drop in the Miners after a nice 2 day burst in GDXJ is a reminder that Fed day itself can be a coin toss, but lets just quickly review where we are right now.
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USD – Again, it looks like the USD and GOLD are trying to put in a dcl at the same time here. We see a swing has formed an unconfirmed dcl. See the chart.
GOLD – from Tuesday, Gold was rejected at the 50sma, but is in the timing for a dcl.
Gold cycles can form on day 27, but they also CAN extend to day 33, 34, 35, 36, etc – so we keep that in mind. So even if this is day 31, a break down may reverse higher as a dcl within days. A burst higher after the Fed should signal that the DCL was on day 29, and Wednesday would be day 3.
So we may see this after the Fed for even 2 or 3 days ( the purple arrow may or may not be drawn a bit too long). Can you picture this as an A-B-C down? I can.
We have a right translated daily cycle in Gold, so we WOULD expect a higher high. Miners are acting weak, so I just wanted to mention that a DCL in place at this point also MIGHT just play out a bit weak. This would lead into a drop into an ICL ( A HUGE BUY probably later this spring). This forms a H&S.
GDX – This would be an undercut low after the FED. This would shake out most ‘longs’ currently holding, but this late in the timing for a dcl, we are due for one. This is the toughest line up heading into a Fed Day between GOLD, The USD, and MINERS that I have EVER seen.
JNUG – Look at this chart. JNUG just looks like it wants to give it up and sell off sharply after Tuesdays reversal, correct?
JNUG is still oversold and notice that we have seen a flash 1 day crash on the way higher recently too. 1 day is not enough to judge how the FED WED will play out. We may not break the recent lows.
JDST does look like it is ready to rally, but it is a tad overbought and this can flip and sell off lower on a Fed Wednesday too.
Sometimes things are lined up perfectly heading into the FED MTG, and we have been able to position ourselves rather well before 2 p.m., it is as though smart money is positioned before the decision is released. Right now however, both the USD & GOLD look ready to put in a dcl and the timing is right ofr both of them. That is a bit confusing. Cycle timing CAN extend a little , so you know the drill on Fed Wednesday… STAY FROSTY!
I’m position very lightly now. If you are positioned one way or the other going into the 2 p.m. Fed decision, it can be tough due to fast reactions and volatility. This is about as 50/50 as it gets when trying to predict a short term reaction. The Theme picture is how ‘business as usual’ goes on the days when Janet Yellen and the Fed release their decision, and we have an abundance of positions. You have until 2 p.m. to decide how to go through that time. Best wishes!
,
~ALEX
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I remain 25% invested in miners for now, been ok with that since it’s made it easy to hold through all the wild swings recently. Will buy into smashes when they occur and after the Fed.
Good strategy Ralph. I’m at about 19% miners myself with most of that in GDX and a little JNUG. Will buy more on extreme weakness for quick trades as buy and hold is extremely difficult in the miners aside from a core position.
Sounds good, been an easy hold and puts us in position to take advantage of an opportunity if it presents. I’m hoping we go lower first so we can load up!
OIL looks like it wants to start moving higher. 61.8% retrace complete
pretty big RSI divergence on NAK too
im still looking to these possible paths for GDX, based on past reactions to Weekly env channel.
refresh for latest version of chart
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/8ccd4b1359fb8a827833436848d256ee8980a1d64adb88f2d8e38dd9cb1c3deb.jpg
Doing exactly what I had hoped this morning. Miners look to be setting up a nice short term short with JDST on 5% sale this morning!
Miners looking decent this AM.
They do look decent , a higher low and reversal from yesterdays dip,
but then I feel like that Moth flying toward the tiki-torch – thinking that it looks inviting too – LOL
By the low comment count I take it everyone is waiting for the FED.
Attached is a link to a GDXJ weekly chart.
On the way down we had a HOT trendline which was hit often.
Our current trendline on the way up is not far away from current pricing.
I drew in some ellipses with some explosive moves on the downside.
Should be interesting to see if those type explosive moves can be duplicated on the upside.
http://schrts.co/lwZIlI
Buckle up, should be an interesting day!!!!!!!!!!
I’m still bearish overall on PM’s but if you are looking for a short-term pop in miners today, check out this “signal trade” for JNUG yesterday in the AH, the wick hit a high of $6.90 which is near yesterday’s high. Will it get there today? https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2476de04417a3502fa01b5939a5e04ab5433fb8be2003d08adea43bdb357d861.png
When I saw that, I thought ” Maybe that was another happy SCHWAB customer, getting his $6.90 order after their account re-opened, and getting it removed later?” : )
Hi Steve, please see last few comments from yesterday between me and Tammie. Odd, to say the least…
Price has come close to the target price of that high wick in the first few minutes after the Fed “news”
That is an interesting telltale signal…do you see it often?
Please see comments from yesterday. This trade was noted as cancelled about 8 minutes after it showed up on the charts. As I recall it was 16:04 (900K shares bought) and then noted as cancelled at about 16:12 or thereabouts. It was very strange and I’ve never seen this before…
This was right on the NASDAQ site.
Thats why I joked that it was a schwab trade- when they went down, many old trades were still hanging out there. it got cancelled and I joked that they called and asked for it to be taken off : )
Ahhh, ok… 🙂
yeah…I am joking though, because if it was an order place mid day before schwab went down, I dont think that it would carry over & be executed into after hrs trading. I dont think it would, but I dont use schwab, maybe they would?
yes, got it :). But no idea. It was definitely one of the strangest things I’ve seen. Especially that exact number of shares…
Thanks Evan. I did read the comments yesterday. And Alex’s… but Steve brought this up before and I know he is a long time trader so may have observed it over some years….not necessarily this specific instance. I have seen it also over the years so thought I’d inquire about his longer observations.
Gottcha…
Yes these big wick trades show up fairly often in the AH and pre-market hours. I have posted them before. There is a guy on another trading forum who goes by the handle “Mr Miyagi” who tracks these quite often. He calls them “Bonzai” trades or someting like that. I call them “sginal trades” because some people think they are used as a “dog whistle” by the “Big Boyz” to alert their friends which way they are trying to take a stock. I posted this screen grab this morning because it looked like the Boyz were gonna run JNUG back up to $6.90 or above. These do NOT always hit, and sometimes it takes up to 10 trading days for the target to hit. But they hit often enough to be worth watching. Also, they don’t show up on all charts, only certain trading systems. I use Schwab StreetsmartEdge. Fortunately, I had no problems trading at Schwab today.
I was watching JNUG after the FED announcement to see what it would do at that $6.90 mark….it did pause right after $6.90 and hee hawed around a bit before going back up over it…but once it got over it…..just kept going…
Thanks Steve. I recall you posting these signs before, but have you ever seen one cancelled a few minutes after it was traded like this one was???
The one I posted this morning ($6.90 in yesterday’s AH) is still on my screen right now. But the last one I posted today ($6.53 in the AH) has disappeared from my screen. I have never noticed that before because I’m not looking for them all day, just when I’m looking at my screen. Makes it seem even more suspicious! 😉
Thanks for the answer. I will keep my eye out for them. Do you see them on individual stocks, or mostly etfs?
Crickets…..
Did you get 16+ inches of snow down there, Bill?
We got maybe 14, but the winds were 65 mph and blowing piles of it in some areas.
Ya, at least 18″. High winds as well. Almost finished all my Treehouse inventory Yesterday! 🙂
#Lush
LOL……….#CG
Hey guys, I just got in about 15 minutes ago from plowing and shoveling here after releasing the report, and then rove down to help clean up at my parents house. They now have a new metal roof so I dont have to shovel it, but it piles up and slides off onto their deck and both stairways -so I had twice as much in my spring exercise program 🙂 Good times !
SO I’m scrolling through charts and it is still a tough read, but the good news is, I have done some more extra research and I am getting a feeling that no matter what happens in the short term- The second half of this year is going to be great for the precious metals. I almost want to just wait for the next ICL and LOAD UP, but I am not that patient.
I’m going to go and scroll through some more charts – but what a 50 / 50 set up this is so far in precious metals.
I think that the SPX , NAZ , etc could be at lows and ready to run higher in another leg up, but waiting on the fed is prudent.
Oil putting in a nice bounce – I’ll discuss my thoughts on that going forward too.
Some of the best charts that I have been seeing lately are BIOTECH / PHARMA – but they can be very dangerous too.
Kind of like IDRA, CRMD, ( missed BCRX) , Mack base? INSY & INO pulling back now, etc – But I have no positions in this sector.
Going to get to work, we’ll see what happens after the FED. Knee jerk reactions can be tricky too- they may reverse into the close. It is just a mixed picture, but MIners and GOLD/SILVER are due for a dcl, along with the USD. Toughest call I’ve ever seen …period.
Glad u r safe… Still coming down here…. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3ae8e65a52ced15f31ff581acf92b23d9ec6deadd42e62483ee9c23b87170720.jpg
Yeah, I dont know what that is at the bottom left of the window, but thats how most everything looks here – just a pile of snow on everything. 🙂 Hope you got your power back & kept it !
LOL… a bird bath! piled high…. yes power; finners crossed
Bird ski slope – And finners? You know you call me out on every typo 🙂
finners .. are fingers .. c’mon CF get w/ the program ;o)
So pretty….but glad it is not outside my house! Cold in FL…brrr….sunny in the 60s.
Yeah LABU seems to be near break out here. Do ones own analysis but I like the weekly chart.
Do you use XBI, IBB, or just LABU? They are all pretty much similar on the weekly, I’m just curious. I usually use the underlying etf.
Most just LABU. I’ll occasionally overlay with ibb but it seems it’s not much of a leading indicator. for me.
IPI cut through the 200 day MA like a hot knife though butter.
Yep, it did …
And UUUU back above its 200sma. I’d like a little more volume please . Even UEC looks nice, but the volume is weaker than I like to see. Could just be a bounce in Uraniums.
Starting a position in UUUU. Anyone watching uranium?
I own it. Commented right below
Starter in URRE again yesterday and a small pos. in UEC as well.
At some point uranium may be long term trend change. Waiting
I agree- in fact I think that it already has, I think I had that in a past report when I bought URRE.
I bought the initial surge higher in URRE , and a few others, and I’m just waiting for that initial surge to pullback enough and settle into the next low (Although I own UUUU right now). Using URA as a guide on that pull back.
…. when can I start worrying about the Dutch election or the debt ceiling? About 11 minutes? 😉 lol
Oops Jnug 6.77
Sold NMM today, sad. Enjoyed to ride from $1.86. Thank you Alex. I took a new position in NAK recently at $1.26 been a rough ride, still in it.
This was very unfortunate John- They did a public offering. I read their earnings report and this one was set up to run nicely, and it did. I HATE when they do an offering after a nice run and drop it down like that.
I’m glad that you did keep some of that profit, but that was a great trade you had going there…unfortunate.
Congrats
Oh, and I think your NAK will be fine – Maybe sell some on a bounce or hold . I’ll be watching it , since I own it too.
This is why I don’t trade DUST. Happy Day today. May it continue up rest of week -month . . . .onward.
Amen. Just on a pure hunch bought some JNUG this morning below 6. Eternal optimist… Now its a matter of when to get out….
DXY nosedived at the rate hike. Many were calling for a dollar spike. Could it be that the markets are taking into account the debt servicing going up rather than just that there’s a ‘healthy’ economy??Interesting…
As I posted last night, miners look bearish again … UNLESS there was a big reversal today after the Fed “news” Looks like miners are going to flip bullish again. This action is very similar to the 3 days of trading in JNUG (and other miners) December 29, 30 and January 3: Big up day followed by big down day followed by big up day.
You mean like this : ) From todays report
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/844ba7f54a94c02a15ba07e6a88046f8648375e47b5724be6f92cec2868aa0d3.jpg
giggle
Exactly!
So….you think we get a down day tomorrow? Or possibly just keep flying? I know you have a crystal
ball there with you….
Honestly – no way of knowing.
It could sell off into the close or tomorrow morning, but this may be short covering and any intraday sell off could be met with more short covering.
GDX bottom is in.
And now Janet speaks …
live link here https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/live-broadcast.htm
I have been buying back into JNUG, about the price where I sold yesterday, so basically replacing my positions, but less invested in my retirement accounts than I was before I sold yesterday (due to settled funds).
IAG looks nice coming right off of the lows .
MUX, DRD, GSS< NAK< AUMN, MUX, GORO, and more up very nicely too
Others may play catch up.
Whatchya thinkin? I want to be heavy into miners again, was only at 25% invested through recent storm, when do you think we can get back in the pool?
It’s a strange post-Fed today so far, none of the typical huge up and down spikes as the markets seek direction, just the one spike higher and run. I can’t recall if this is how miners traded after the Fed last few rate hikes.
It’s way too hard to explain it all now, that is why I have been repeatedly mentioning both cases in all the reports. I bought today in a few areas ( GDXJ & NUGT had a clear BULL FLAG on the 5 minute charts. As a trader, I took entry on that flag. ( There are also ow risk Miners coming off of their lows mentioned above ( IAG, NAK, SAND, etc came out of a place near recent lows) ), but it is still tricky.
JNUG up almost 30% right now, GDXJ up almost 10%?? That is a massive reaction, likely a lot of short covering. It could pull back tomorrow or into the close, so buying here adds risk of a bit of a pullback, but starting a few more positions that arent overextended is possible.
The current set up could include buying with trailing stops – catch some gains, but you cant tell if this is going to at least pull back into the close…so it is a risky addition
damn.. that is on giant mofo green candle……………………………………….. shaZammmm 😉
IAG? It is
Maybe NAK will do that tomorrow coming out of this oversold low? 🙂
lol sorry.. i was looking at jnug .. yeah .. u mean u werent up in my head with me??? sorry ha ha
AHHHH – with my entire miners WL going deep red to bright green, im having an overload.. WHAT DO WE ADD? lol
When I am at a traffic signal and it goes from Red to Green…. : )
How long the light stays green is another thing, but scalping some gains for a few days is possible either way.
I have mentioned in prior reports that L.T. daily cycles top around day 78 to 12…so some Miners may make decent gains into next week. BUY & HOLD for weeks might now be the best thing though- after the short covering slows down, we’ll see whats next
ALEX you are leaning to buying and holding for weeks now? is this your plan for gold stocks …. please confirm
I respect your opinion
Not at this point, but it could be- we have to watch how it plays out.
With all that I have put in my reports about the bullish and bearish possibilities—this reaction does not automatically remove the short tern possibility of a drop in the future weeks. I will show in future reports what to look for and why this reaction does not necessarily just mean a strong run higher & higher.
Don’t forget quad witching Friday.
NAK recovered the 200sma and has broken above the wedge that I showed and is over the 8 sma ( not the 10 quite yet though). It may close above that 8 sma for the first time in a month
REFRESH- I added to this as it crossed back above the 200sma because honestly it could just “Bounce” 30% or so from here.
In other words, it is deeply oversold and still at the lows, though it is up over 15% right now.
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/034cdcc5f741f20d5a4dcc4f0dddb691bca6ec98f6da713b0ae2b0e93ecd9297.jpg
XRA has been one of the best performing Miners through this whole process. It is not at highs yet, but threatens to break out and possibly run. Not overbought here.
I think it would be fairly safe ( Barring any of those dreaded ‘ public offerings’ comes along)
yes… one steady ship in a rockn sea….
what?
haha
ALEX is this a new strategy you are proposing? you are leaning to buying and holding for weeks now? is this your plan for gold stocks …. please confirm
I respect your opinion
I answered you below Robert
The last chart in my report before signing my name…. I showed the reversal in JDST yesterday and said that it appeared bullish, but it could flip & sell off just as easily on a Fed Day, so we proceed with caution bullish or bearish. This is exactly why .
Refresh for 2 charts
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/41787eccd9dc39494dbbd9600f12c1fff07cadba883287325435138e2460f516.jpg https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/5ebd81f3cb835940be5f5bb2c020f5ffb646de7aef9578bcb3f8269d0e89fb97.jpg
So the markets are breaking out
SPX, NASDAQ, etc . There were some wanting to buy the next leg higher. I mentioned last week and in the weekend report that the low may have already come in ( Semi low risk entry). Today is confirmation.
I still want to buy my old friend TQQQ … but the returns pale next to JNUG. However, JNUG can be a much rougher ride as the last few weeks have shown.
Yes, TQQQ has been slow but steady. It is only up 2% today, but it often does that day after day. It’s a tough call when they are both running together. JNUG up 35% today. SHeesh!
Yeah I really like the slow, steady gains in TQQQ when it is in an UP trend like it is now. IMO stocks are in going to be in a UP trend for the next 8 years like the “good old days” of the 1980’s and 1990’s when we used to think that a 25% gain per year in stocks was “normal.” LOL Many of you are not as old as me, so you were not around back then.
Alex…you think we get at least a couple more days follow through here?
Thanks
Big up days like this are typically followed by a pullback the next day … but not always. So don’t be surprised if we have a red day in miners tomorrow.
Cant know for sure, but I’ll cover some ideas in the report tonight
Look forward to it…I get the feeling this move left folks under invested and thus can continue until people pile back in.
Amazingly strong reversal in miners today! JNUG has traded 125 million shares and is up 33%+
That’s a whole YEAR of gains in most stocks!
Wow!
I didn’t expect this, but as I have said in the past I don’t trade on what I think that market SHOULD do, I trade based on what is doing (according to my chart system) and sometimes that means I can flip bull, bear, bull in 3 days … just like the market itself!
I know..I wish I’d bought more…..got in later than I wanted….about the time I was going to hop in things started popping….still wondering if I should just go ahead and get more…but…I figure surely it will slide back a little some time..but..you never know….
But you could pretty safely buy a dip tomorrow!! Even a smaller one. 🙂
WHEEEEEEEEEEEEE
Not much more to say then that.
Jnug $7.77. Ooooops!
Wheeeeee
thank u fearless leader for keeping your nose to the grindstone and remaining ever level headed and objective….
ur the greatest…
*dont tell CF i said that … 😉
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/fdd4fb6eae8cca12cd802264dd9003f8bd9a63579bc870f31c530c58b099a96d.png
Where is Ken??
he’s prob out making snow angels in his boxer briefs…
hahahah
hi kenny ;o)
MUX HMY GORO – Over 14% by themselves.
Thats what JNUG does on pretty good day
NAK and GSS as well!
Gdx volume- 141 million. Jnug 135 million.
Nice to see the larger cap golds back in the action
Wow that’s great volume on GDX, that’s what the big money managers like to buy. Looks like miners are “cool” again. 🙂
I’m singing now: what a difference a day makes….24 little hours..” Nice to see green in my account! Only sorry I sold my GORO when scared to be holding so much…still, I made a profit on that one. ANd now I have some $ to play with..always a bright side.
I stopped out of JNUG yesterday. *sniff*
Sorry you lost out. Who could know which way this would go….when Yellen is yellin’…anything can happen! I don’t use stops usually, and with Alex not being as sure as he usually is of direction, I admit I got nervous this time, and did not stay frosty. I sold a few positions [dogs] for a small loss and GORO for a profit so I would have more $ available….but had I waited till after she opened her mouth as opposed to before…they would have all been green. Oh well.
I did still have some miners so can’t complain too much. Both of the previous rate hikes came with a knee-jerk slam in gold. I mean a rate hike is positive for the dollar. Ok so I don’t really believe that, I follow Alex’s stuff. BUT if Wall St and the algos believe for a day and I can make a buck off of it…
Glad I held my miners though I’m mostly down to dogs at this point. At least AG and EXK got a solid bounce today.
Driving to Sacramento. Couldnt make any trades while driving but was pretty well stocked up. Nice day!
Here are some “signal trade” updates. Somebody asked if these only show up on ETF’s and the answer is that they show up on individual stocks as well, but money managers like to trade the main ETF’s like SPY, GDX, GDXJ, etc. so I see them there more often and then extrapolate that out to the rest of the market. Here are a couple more from today. As you can see, AUMN had a signal trade in the pre-market this morning indicating it would DROP to about $0.57 … the LOD was $0.58.
Coincidence? You be the judge. Also check out this signal trade a short time ago in the AH for JNUG. Looks like the Boyz want to take it back down to around $6.90. Will that hit? I don’t know, but it could be a good dip buying opp for traders who want to buy and/or add JNUG. Again, please DO NOT assume that these always hit. They are like the P&F charts I post. Sometimes they hit, sometimes they don’t. But they hit often enough to keep an eye on them IMO. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e093719f096fb87d2899415eadc23045bde5e6981076d8615c77ddfbe519eeaf.png https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/fc5df657bb62ff38dda2525c2ff9745f8b1f81dfd71b8217253863f96213b2b3.png
Very interesting. Thank you Steve.
Thanks for these charts, Steve….I try and take note of these long tails because I have seen them work out a
number of times (although like you said…there is no guarantee)………kind of hoping JNUG will go down so I can get more….:)
Thanks for the answer about observing the “signals” in individual stocks too. I appreciate the time you spent posting the charts.
Here is another possible “signal trade” in the AH today for JNUG. This one indicates a pullback to $6.75. Will that hit? I don’t know. I’m posting for entertainment purposes only. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a076a499ba592cf5b4fb7de47dd15c111566fb38bd7f1ecdcf534b6e846f2c62.png
JNUG Update #3 Looks like the “Big Boyz” are preparing to slam JNUG tomorrow so they can scoop up some more. This one goes down to $6.53 Now I can’t say that I totally believe this, but the theory is that one of the Boyz will tell his trading buddies “I’m going to dump a bunch of shares of JNUG and run the price down to $6.53 be ready to BUY when that price hits.”
I’ve seen these hit pretty often lately in the PM sector and we wnow that JNUG is a PM trader favorite right now, so if you want to play their game put in a limit buy for JNUG at about $6.60 and see what happens.
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a5fc3d6a03fef4d1d94ba3ec01bf40df7b2e9e11016ed7b053b8dc1f951dec07.png
Hi Steve,
Is the $6.9 ATH action yesterday the same thing? The big boys tried to load up?
Thanks so much for sharing. Right now I have no position. Just try to figure out what to do next.
Again, let me emphasize these are NOT the same as legit TA signals that I use on my charts or that Alex uses … these are like UFO’s .. they may or may not be “real.” I’ve seen them hit often enough to watch them closely but I don’t bank on them. According to the “big boyz conspiracy theory” the signal trade from yesterday’s AH indicated that the Boyz would run JNUG up to $6.90 today or sometime in the near future (within 10 trading days). The signal trade in today’s AH would indicate the opposite .. that they plan to force the price DOWN to $6.90 tomorrow or sometime in the future. This could be done by posting a “sell” order of 100,000 shares of JNUG at $6.90 and then cancelling the sell order after a few hundred shares are filled.
BTW that last “signal trade” down to $6.53 that I posted has mysteriously disappeared from my trading screen on Schwab. Bwhahaha! (evil laugh)
Again, please don’t take these too seriously. I’m posting primarily for entertainment purposes. Let’s see if any of these hit. 🙂
Thanks, Steve. Yesterday it seemed the same thing happened. The trades disappeared afterwards. I will load when it dips tomorrow. Everyone thinks the inflation is coming. 🙂
Im so happy to see someone whos charts are almost identical to mine being that we both use the same broker… Streetsmart is def. something to get used to compared to TOS
that’s close to a 50% retrace of todays candle
Hey Steve, how do you see these, as in platform? I used to follow these signals in $Gold/GLD (read all your posts below) with a different guy and they were uncannily accurate. But never followed with ETFs/stocks only with items that traded futures at all hours – Gold, oil, S&P futures. These are accurate as well? $6.53 Is quite a hit. But to someone on the sidelines, should be considered a gift!
That’s because I track after-hours and premarket trading on my trading platform, most people don’t do that. In Schwab StreetSmartEdge you have the option to turn on premarket and/or after-hours trading on your charts. On my screen captures, the price in the dark black is regular trading hours and the price in the gray is after-hours (first half) and pre-market (second half). Most traders ignore AH and pre-market trading but I find with my charting system I get a jump on the market. I can usually tell if a stock is going up or down before the market opens. Today, JNUG was pretty flat so there was no clear price trend, but yesterday I knew JNUG was going down before the market opened because I had a “sell” on my 15 min chart using pre-market data.
Ok, will have to see if my broker has a similar capability. I’m tracking the technique, etc but not all (including what I have been using recently) charting platforms are able to show this.
I just don’t understand. I don’t understand at all. We’ve had the same visceral reaction lower on all rate hikes and the whimper of it 2-3 weeks ago is what sent miners to their death in March. Don’t get me wrong, I’m bullish long-term but I’m still in absolute shock that gold went up. Didn’t think the algos would let that happen. Angry that I allowed my self to get whipsawed in and out of positions by knowing for sure that I had everything correct. *ugh*
I still had my “core” so those positions really, really appreciated today’s rally. Now that I got that JDST silliness out if my system hopefully we can continue this 3rd daily cycle rally. Really would have been awesome to still have been holding JNUG today!!
Hi Cason,
Free article in Safehaven, by Enda Glynn; EW analysis of Gold.
Not a plug, to my knowledge he does not offer a service.
If gold ultimately goes to $1450, the miners should do very well from these levels.
Previously, I posted this weekly chart. I drew a series of trendlines that corresponded with reversal points. The chart was on HMY but most miners looked the same. It seemed like we had a confluence of support at the level we were trading.
It was do or die, they needed to bounce.
http://schrts.co/RwFBlE
On the EW analysis please note that he is looking at this as a bear market rally that will eventually revisit our Dec 2015 lows.
Good luck!
Thanks for sharing, gave it a read. But I personally don’t see up to 1500-1550 and then down back below $1000. That’s a pretty nutso size move in gold. And pretty liberal application of recent wave structure. Not saying we can’t get 1500 or that we can’t bust $1000. But doing both? I’m not buying it.
Kudos to Alex for being right about the reaction of the USD to the Fed rate hike! Most people, including me, expected the dollar to RALLY on news of a Fed hike. Instead it took a dive, which gave me courage to dive back into JNUG very heavy. Check out this daily https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a8b2fa32659622f7023326a16031b1f94c3a5a438174579ebe969dc4e8ca77f3.png chart of UUP
Put me in the $$ rally camp. Oops!
Not so sure on the JNUG spikes, gold is continuing higher early in Asian trade (without much move in the $$ at all). Bad for me, looking to add. Had my entire portfolio in the green early Feb, looking forward to get back to the glory days again.
Did someone mention that the JNUG shares might be going to go through a split in April? I can’t remember who…or the details?
1 for 4 reverse split on May 1st. Usually that’s a bad sign, let’s hope JNUG keeps rocking for a few more weeks.