STICK THAT LANDING
If you want to look good while you’re performing tricks on the slopes, you definitely need to stick that landing. Let’s see if we had that in Thursdays trading…
GOLD – We were looking for a higher high to give us a peak that could make this a right translated daily cycle. Gold stuck the landing with this break out, and the volume was encouraging.
If Gold continues to stick the landing, it should make it to this target area.
SILVER – Silver stuck the landing too!
An important side-point: At times it takes time to allow the markets to reveal their intentions.
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You may have noticed in the comments section that certain ones were getting anxious that Gold didn’t Peak beyond day 8 or 9. “Is it going to be Left Translated?” I also got emails. I said that I wasn’t worried, I have seen them peak later, even after day 20.
For a visual – I drew this chart, because others kept asking too. It was becoming the most popular question of the week before yesterday.
The above chart shows that Gold or Miners can go sideways for a while and peak later in a daily cycle too. Often you will not know if a daily cycle is L.T. or R.T. until the cycle completes its journey, and you have to go from there. On day 17 in the above chart, many possibly were quite worried about this peaking on day 11. Day 18 Popped to new highs and day 25 was even a higher high. Sometimes it takes time and patience. This is the case with the MINERS right now, as you will see.
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USD – I had been saying that I expected the USD to roll over in this area , and that would allow Gold to break out higher. So far, so good.
And then we had the Miners
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GDX – Oh, sorry – wrong chart
GDX – Well, GDX did not stick the landing . Miners gapped open and sold off right into the close. Remember my words above, sometimes it takes time for the markets to reveal their real intentions, but it does leave us with questions.
Is it likely that GOLD & SILVER will break out and keep running, with the USD dropping down, and Miners will not follow? Not likely, but sometimes it takes time to allow the markets, or in this case, the miners, to reveal what they are going to do under the current conditions.
GDX – This chart from 2 days ago was pointing out what I wanted to see yesterday (I forgot to put it in the report). I want to see a break above the upper trend line, and I would expect that we would see that if GOLD & SILVER continue higher, and the USD continues to drop into a Daily Cycle Low.
All I can say at this point is that GOLD, SILVER, and THE USD are all acting as I have been expecting them to. It is up to the Miners to show us what they intend to do going forward. Let’s see what Friday brings. Hopefully they make the jump to the bullish side and can stick that landing Friday. Stay Frosty and just make sure that you protect your positions if the Miners continue to flop around.
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Enjoy your Friday trading and your weekend!
~ALEX
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Thx Alex I am just blown away we didn’t even come close to last weeks high in gdx. My feeling is this is beyond weak and makes me nervous. My lotto calls should have done well and will be a zero but Thankfully I really have no leverage and tons of dry powder or I would be really frustrated. Hopefully the spark lights today and we get that 4-5 percent push when market open 🙂 ty for the continued excellence every day!
It looks like a bull flag to me in GDX, GDXJ.
Could be a buy a the dip gift and not something to worry about. As I wrote in the report, GOLD, SILVER, and the USD are acting exactly as expected, so I do not see Miners staying here if they continue to act correctly.
That said, I’d like to see a 20% JNUG day today going into the weekend 🙂
Watch out. From USA Today:The White House threw the country’s marijuana industry into a panic after announcing Thursday that there would likely be “greater enforcement” of federal anti-cannabis laws under President Trump.
I saw that….I jumped in to the sector a few days ago and took a big win…but now I may need to bale at losses.
I mentioned Sessions several days ago. My belief is that Trump will do favors for his people. I have never used MJ, but it is likely safer than booz and cigs. The establishment, especially Sessions, and many older folks don’t like MJ. The MJ haters are now in power, so IMHO trading MJ stocks will be very tricky. I live in LV and we voted in rec MJ. CO is huge into it. Again, IMHO, this could become Trump’s Achilles heel. Let’s hope the Trump folks don’t hate gold stocks. 🙂
Thanks for the input. One son lives in CO so I am aware of that scene. Having seen the effects of alc. vs mj on him….I would pick MJ. Just one opinion. But…ALL should stay off the road when using either.
NV will be struggling with high drivers if rec MJ gets implimented – we already have too many drunk drivers. You are so right. The system needs to strongly discourage (more strongly in NV) impaired driving and no one should be driving that way (including texting).
I looked at the MJ stocks I watch on TC2000. Not many show early prices, but so far it does not look like a blood bath, but we’ll see. I hope you will be okay.
Just checked my MJs. Looks like a bloodbath so far. Sorry.
I saw the press conference. He was making a clear distinction between legalized medical and legalized recreation, saying that they do see the benefits of medicinal marijuana. At the same time, due to increased opioid addiction and other ongoing drug problems, Federal Law could act to overrule states that legalized recreational MJ. That news could hurt the MJ stocks, maybe not the medicinal ones? Maybe all of them would take an initial hit.
You can listen to the press conference here.
http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=federal+cannabis+laws&ru=%2fsearch%3fq%3dfederal%2bcannabis%2blaws%26qs%3dHS%26pq%3dfed%26sc%3d8-3%26cvid%3d70BED200013A48FCA189AC45DE658615%26FORM%3dQBLH%26sp%3d1&mmscn=wnmp&view=detail&mid=58D877B69FB28B32FF7758D877B69FB28B32FF77&rvsmid=02BCE51D9EEA58FC23C302BCE51D9EEA58FC23C3&fsscr=0&FORM=VDFSRV
Thanks…I saw it. Should have baled right then. Sometimes these fast-moving stocks get crazier because of shorts/longs games. They get played both up/down. Saw that years ago in solar stocks. I am pretty patient, but I know I tend to hold things too long and get punished….so I may just dump.
Yes, I have experienced that with Solars and Shippers and MJ stocks too.
They have huge swings . Catch them right and it is well rewarding as trades. Then the music stops and the suddenly it seems that all of the chairs have been removed.
Regarding basic metals miners ((CLF, FCX, HBM…). The sell off appears to be triggered by the news flow out of the Trump administration yesterday (rumors) that the infrastructure proposal might not be in effect till 2018, with tax reform and healthcare reform taking priority and being very time consuming. Thought I will mention for what it is worth.
Thanks – I looked yesterday and couldn’t find any news under several of the ones that just took a hit, like CLF. It was odd with the markets closing higher again.
Good earnings too.
TGB and HBM seemed to have decent earnings and then they dropped too, that was what I thought was odd ( I skimmed the earnings though, I didnt get to read them thoroughly)
Just saw this about Vale:
Vale (NYSE:VALE) says CEO Murilo Ferreira will not renew his contract when it expires May 26, after five years on the job.
The news comes amid reports of political pressure from government allies to replace Ferreira with an appointee.
Is anyone else having difficulty accessing the site?
All good here. Sorry 🙁
I’m in Utah skiing and trying not to duplicate these pictures, having no trouble at all.
Just watched a show on Utah last night….what a beautiful state! It probably looks beautiful wrapped in white too…but I suer liked those fabulous rock colors.
They are getting dumped on in the Wasatch range and expecting another storm Mon. and Tues, when this storm leaves. BTW Sessions speech was all over the radio here.
Nice! Just stay off of the extreme jumps and keep your Tips up Edward. Have fun! : )
I stay out of the air, but am too much of a risk taker through the trees. But you could probably figure that out with my affinity for miners.
No problem accessing the site but Disqus seems to act up on a regular basis.
I had trouble about 2 hrs ago, but only on my first attempt. I had just released the report and decided to restart my laptop, and couldnt log back in after restarting my laptop. I assumed that it might be due to the heavy traffic after releasing the report. Maybe many logged in all at once and bogged it down.
I could access Gmail, Stockcharts, etc, but this site wouldnt load right away. It does seem to be fine now though.
couldnt get in at all.. site was down for everyone according to ‘Down for Everyone or Just Me?’
http://www.chartfreak.com/exclusive-strategies …. still doesnt work, but..
https://chartfreak.com/exclusive-strategies … works fine.
no idea why.. ask a techie
I just clicked on the email link that was sent out when I released the report and it brought me right in.
Tammie? Alex? I am new in this MJ sector…not familiar how they move…what are your thoughts on how they might react to the announced Fed harder stand on recreational use??
I dont think anyone knows. This is all a new territory with legalization being so recent
I’ve been debating about that with myself….this is why I’ve stayed mostly in the medical sector…..I am asking myself….what would it take for the federal government to go in and overturn state laws? How long would it take, would they push it that far, would it be successful, etc….? Hard to say…many marijuanas were down yesterday, I took profits on several that I didn’t like the way they were acting – these have all been short term for me anyway…..I won’t hold many very long until we know what’s what…. I do think there are some medical ones that could be quite successful with the product/research they are doing…..eventually might hold some of those….but at this point it’s a wait and see…
I wouldn’t hold any recreational ones right now….myself…..LXRP (down already premarket), PURA…even EDXC was getting into the tea market…..might be good for a pop in and pop out….maybe…but….??
For any of those CDN in Guyana Goldfields (GUY), seems pretty solid: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/guyana-goldfields-inc-sells-156koz-214100271.html
Alex- hadn’t you mentioned PPP recently? I wonder if something bad happened to that miner- does that look like a chart that will never get fixed, or a contrarian buy point? Thanks for your view–
Hey Catbird – I did mention it recently and I even bought it ( This is the 3rd time I bought it and it stopped me out).
It looked like a long base between 70ish cents and the 90’s, and it ran up and bull flagged, but then they announced work stopping at one of their mines and it dropped, and now continues to drop on fairly heavy volume. I wouldn’t buy it as an opportunity at this point. It looks troubled.
I just checked my records. I bought it at 80 cents when it crossed the 50sma, rode it up to 92 cents where it bull flagged, and I sold it on the gap down at 79 cents. 3rd loss in a row on this one for me.
the news said the CEO is out by March 6, and will be replaced by Mr. Joseph Conway who is the vice Chairman right now. Maybe things will turn around.
Despite the pop in gold, miners are a “sell” (down trend) on my 15 min charts this morning, and I have “signal trade” candles with long tails down to yesterday’s close. So don’t be surprised if the “Boyz” push miners down today so that they can jump on the miner train. If you are planning to buy/add miners today, be patient and watch for a dip near yesterday’s close. Just my two cents. And to be clear, I’m still pretty much “all in” on miners and holding, but looking to add a bit more. Good trading to all!
thanks, Steve.
thanks steve!
Nice call Steve!
Good call this morning Steve. Good trading to you also! I’ll be adding to my miner positions also.
All the marijuanas getting hit due to the White House statement yesterday…even the medicals..
bad news kills these plays – across the board. I get burned trading these OTCs too often
Thanks for the advice to be patient, Steve – sure seems GDXJ needs to rise above the following triangle to get traction (1-hour chart). Hopefully this is a bullish triangle on the larger time frame
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/d0c987c7a49325934631ba932e876f3d39b09e2563514e003f3091714be45692.png
Yeah, I’d like to see some downtrend lines broken too
Alex, been out of the country, spotty internet so excuse me if you already answered this question. Are we starting a new cycle in Gold and Miners? Or are we somewhere in the middle? Unclear?
Looks like day 19 of the second daily cycle in Gold to me
I’ve seen this before, gold going higher, miners moving lower. Breakdown coming. Although, 1258 is a higher high, I believe…So that’s odd.
hey…
Hey yourself
u back to reality??
my first day back … all Im saying is ……….. ummmmpphhh …
retirement cant come fast enuff ;o)
my trial run…… FABULOUS
$TGD… You little sneak…
TGD & SSRI doing the heavy lifting for me this AM.
I will not argue but I have a love hate with TGD… Been in since 29 and 32 this time around… And todays action makes no sense lol
Have had TGD for so long…watch paint dry. Would love to see it explode up
I had it for months last year
I added again in the high 20s and low 30s this go around
I bot the dip this morning to add more JNUG to my accounts. Those long tail “signal trades” hit like clockwork. Coincidence? You be the judge.
Me too – Neither one of us were patient, were we?
me too : )
I was patient, I waited for the dip to yesterday’s close as I posted earlier and bot near the LOD.
Miners Gapped open, we often see the gaps fill in the first hour, so I bought on the Gap fill and will have a stop below todays lows
So on JNUG your stop would be right below 11.10?
One could let it go below the low 2 days ago, but do you want it to drop into the $9’s before letting go?
Mine is below this mornings lows
Okay. That’s what I thought you were saying. Just checking.
Yes, and that is just because it is JNUG. If it were GDX or GDXJ, I’d use the low from Wednesday
Some people ask why I use 15 min charts if I’m a long term swing trader. Today is a perfect example. I wanted to add to my JNUG because I think it “bottomed” on Wednesday at $9.98. So I use my 15 min chart for a good entry point. If you were just watching the pop in gold this morning, you might be tempted to buy miners at the open. But my 15 min charts told me that miners would DROP at the open, and most likely retest yesterday’s closing price. So I watched and waited, and sure enough JNUG dropped to a LOD (so far) of $11.10, two cents below yesterday’s close. I then watched my 3 min and 5 min charts for signs of a reversal. Once I saw that price was starting to go back up again, I bot around $11.18 to $11.24 in my accounts. But it ain’t over yet. Miners are still a “sell” (down trend) on my 15 min chart, so they may continue dropping today. But I’m betting the LOD is in. So that’s an example of how and why I use short-term charts for long-term trades. BTW I am NOT a “stock guru” Alex is the expert! I’m just posting what I do because some people here have asked for an explanation.
wow, Steve. a great explanation. but I just had a hard time to figure out when is the LOD. 🙂
I do the same Steve.
From a Daily to a 1 Hour to a 15 Min. to a 5 Min. for entries.
lol… was that for me? 😉
Anyone adding to MJ stocks with this pullback? Is this news a game changer and a sector to avoid now or are medical assets being thrown out with the bath water?
I’m not buying, I am currently holding some, but I do think that in time the medicinal marijuana companies can do very well. The entire sector is selling down today, some down 15 -20% or more, others 5- 10%.
Some will probably recover, others may not. This news event might thin the herd
This is just an example of how things can shake out when ‘Change” comes along in the sector.
Look at the 14 cent mark, 12 cent mark, 10 cent mark. These could be levels of possible support if the selling is going to slow down. If the bad news is viewed as a game changer and dreadfully hopeless, price will drop all the way down to the low of the base and possibly break down further from there.
click the chart to enlarge
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https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/0c126a8e907b41f4188f9dfd09b5813106f4cb353be42d5ea0d3a1561c30aeb7.jpg
Thanks for the feedback. CNAB chart looks good to me. Going to add with a tight stop at the 50DMA.
I was looking at CNAB and thinking that it still may tag that 50sma (And I may buy there) sometime next week. I am still holding some CNAB too
And then it just started getting bought up 🙂
I’m not superstitious but please keep talking about it!
same…… i think just a correction …i would like to hold that one longer term… time will tell … but
i have this loose idea….2much2 ask? lol
https://www.tradingview.com/x/z4ZG0nCI/
also… still holding TRX .. it’s not that off from my Loose *plan* …
https://www.tradingview.com/x/EL9P3Z2p/
Just got internet access, travelling. To what news are you referring with the MJs?
Discussed it down below this morning…I put a link down below. have you gone through all of the comments yet?
No way to know. I sold mine and decided to wait and see,
A new handle…welcome.
I looked at how much $ I actually had invested in this crazy volatile sector [still have 4 positions]…and it was not too much so have decided to just hold for now. So, you would be in far lower than me! I also reviewed the stories of the companies I bought…and I still like them [medical orientation except one]. I also am conservative and patient…realistically, the admin. has way too much on their plate to fuss with cracking down on this for now, plus it would have blowback. But, Alex, and Tammie have way more expertise in this sector as I resisted joining the party till just last week.
Thanks Nancy. I agree on ‘priorities’, another wild card is Sessions.
If it’s not too much trouble can you re-share some of your favorites in the medical space? My CF watch list needs some sub-folders, so many great ideas here!
Tammie did most of the research on MJs, so if you read back over old posts look for her info. I had CNBX for 1 day but got scared after Alex commented and sold….so glad as it tanked after, but I still like the company [cancer use in Israel] But I still have EDXC,GBLX,AGTK,MCOA. I like their stories so may hold some as a lotto ticket. Alex first brought the sector up in Dec/Jan I think so you could pull up his old posts from then. I started research then, but was working at the time so did not jump in…I missed a lot of the fun! Also, I found lots of data on these sites: https://www.dailymarijuanaobserver.com/
and:
http://marijuanastocks.com/
And Ken posted this list: CBIS,CNAB,LXRP,RMHB,PURA
Alex liked EDXC early on.
That will give you a running start!
I’m hoping this will not be at the top of the priority list for the govt…..I don’t think marijuana was one of the things Trump used in his platform when running for President – so maybe he’ll stick to going after those things he touched on when he was in the running – and also see the potential tax advantages, new job creations, medical innovations, etc. that can come along with this new sector….I’m hoping the slam down on Friday was just a knee jerk reaction and that some will go back up at the beginning of the week….my best trading in these has happened Monday through Weds. the past 2 weeks…..definitely some I will be jumping back into on Monday if it looks like things are looking right –
That is a good hint about mon-wed. Thanks Tammie.
Hi ChartApprentice! I’ll be looking to add on Monday if it looks like the stocks want to act correctly….so many of the charts had very predictable patterns until Friday’s reaction to the Thursday news….I stayed out Friday to wait and see what Monday brings, but there are some good buys out there now as a result of Friday’s take down……risky sector, I don’t hold anything for very long because you never know what the news might be on each company or if the government decides to make a statement….but based on what was said I would think that the medical companies should be mostly safe at least….everyone do their own due diligence!
I’m SO tired of miners trading sideways for the past 3 weeks. Need to see a nice breakout with JNUG up 10-20% in one day. Maybe today is the day? My daily chart of JNUG looks “iffy” but my weekly chart is bullish and and Alex’s encouragement has kept me long miners during this trying time.
JNUG was up 22% 2 weeks ago, this feels bad to me
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This is a muted response to Gold by the Miners.
I don’t like the tone of your voice, young man! 🙂
Just a guess, but I think that silver may pull the miners up along for the ride.
agree and it is concerning. Miners might not be done with the drop. Should be stronger.
ssrri….
nice
Yaaaaas
Have a bunch of that one yay
The GDX:GLD ratio has been falling since Feb 8. Not good. Miners still a “sell” (down trend) on my 15 min chart, hope that flips to a “buy” within the next hour or two.
hmm…. GDXJ compared to rise out of lows….
https://www.tradingview.com/x/Nt8c1lOY/
Nice inverse head and shoulders pattern there!
im thinkn… “1” was jussst a tad bit muted… butttt “3” of iii … will MORE than make up for it … SHWIINNNNGGGG..
*well hoping ;o)
I hope as well! Hey Maria, When do you change your handle, or have you headed toward the cherry blossoms in DC for a vacation continuation?
Hi nanc…
4got about that..will change asap..
I hava chance to head back down to FLA..but it’s hard to lv w signs of Spring poking up…..im a sucker for the change of seasons…the only reason i (&fam) stay in thi https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a71eedccacb2bee735e2c27b1fd316ccf895786d095a104d5339d27e23a3bdf1.jpg s high tax state! 😉
Crocus?! Oh, memories of my childhood days in NY. They were first up. My Mom also had forsythia, lilacs, daffodils, pussy willow [yes, I said it!], and hyacinth as early bloomers.
Oh naughty nancy…;-) lol…actually they are snow drops… Wonderful memories…
I have VIVID memories as a child of Spring flowers….we would pack our saddle bags, canteens & rolluup our blankets & head out for a long trail ride across creeks.. to this majestic tree…it was so wide that all of us holding hands could not reach all the way around….in the Spring Underneath it’s magnificent branches was an entire blanket of daffodils with bunches of brilliant purple hyacinths peeking up in bunches….omg the smell was intoxicating…we’d unroll our blankets and lie right in the middle of them….gosh i can almost smell them now…..
Suffice it to say..ive planted the same under all my trees & among various points throught my property…
#ILuvSpring… 🙂
Great memory and thanks for sharing…I got your image and you explained it so well I almost could smell it!
Back several years ago, I moved to Franklin TN for 2 years where I got to enjoy the season change again. Sometimes, I have an experience [like what you described under that majestic tree] that is like a moment frozen in time with complete vivid sensations. A jewel. I have one intense one from TN.
It was early spring and I was driving to work [mural painting for George and Nancy Jones] and I came around a curve around a hillside…and out of the corner of my eye a flash of yellow caught my attention. I turned to see an entire hillside bright yellow with daffodils [I had NEVER seen that many in one place]…and on that hillside was a mother and little girl picking bunches and putting them in a basket! It is frozen in my mind…I should paint it. Amazing. One great memory deserves another.
wow….. so awesome…
yes.. i do paint in my mind… tho so wish i could actually move the images and movies from my mind down thru my arm and to a paintbrush….
*UrSoBlessed… 😉
… althoughhhhhh ……
*snicker
#MEOW
Sometimes things are so obvious, that are “obviously ” wrong
Sad. Disappointing. Wrong. Additional adjectives that 1 could use here.
Uranium:
Corrective (a) wave at 38% fib level ……. UUUU
i want some….
Welcome aboard…….. 🙂
Grabbed some – smaller size
And back from vacation all rested and ready to trade more? I see you’ve already changed your name back!
UUUU bounced right off of that 50sma today ( Again…it did that in Dec too.
You said corrective (a) – are you just expecting a bounce and then a drop to c?
It did….
I am playing the “b” wave up is all so I will take/protect any profits rather quickly……
Yes, that’s what I thought you were thinking, the b wave. Thx
If ya want a little higher risk reward check out: PALAF
This one could be a fun ride…..
Ditto, Im taking prof over 2.30 if we can get it
DRYS:
Near recent lows…lottery pick for sure !
Ken, thoughts on JO? What wave do you see it in here?
Minor ii of 3.
Stop below 20.20.
Wow cut in half in 5 days. Was at 8$ after election. Will watch it.
Danger Danger Will Robinson ! 🙂
It has Split a number of times in the last few months but…..they Do have assets.
how about CENX SN UGAZ ???
CENX, X, CLF, VALE doing a pretty good reversal after that drop yesterday
They got Trump’d. He met with the X CEO yesterday and steel and base miners got schwacked. Don’t have any more details right now though.
Oh, NAK : (
Could be filling yesterdays gap – could be doing what I mentioned in the chart at the end of this report.
Silver is giving miners the business.
Silver is really strong these days.
Metals continue to lead the miners in both silver and gold. Not a good sign. Miners struggling to get up off the mat today, still a “sell” on my 15 min intraday chart. Bummer. 🙁
URA etf putting in a kick as hammer, uraniums to be bought? I bought URRE yesterday and this morning, but they all looking ok.
Like Maria mentioned SSRI breaking out:
http://schrts.co/Ud8ZTG
KGC looks like it wants to go as well:
http://schrts.co/dtzgrl
Quite the flat top on GSS
http://schrts.co/KKfggm
Alex, you said you were putting a stop for JNUG just below today’s LOD. Does that mean you are already out, or are you waiting until the close to determine the true LOD? I’m getting very frustrated with miners and there are a lot of “red flags” such as the GDX:GLD ratio in decline and bearish signals on my daily charts that make me very nervous. I’ve been trying to look at the big picture, but sideways chop is getting very old.
Sing it, brother Steve. Same place here. Looking at cutting some winners like AG, JNUG bc I just can’t stomach giving back those gains and IF we continue down then I have overall lowered risk. Let m know what you do. I’ve also converted most of my mental stops to hard stops, had no real choice there.
Still planning on holding my “core”. Everyone else? But we’re late in gold’s cycle, possible it pops to its final 2nd DCL high which is why miners aren’t following. I’m in too heavy to walk this down into a DCL.
I do not like to publicly post when I sell anything because I don’t want to scare anyone out of their positions. All I will say is that miners are a “sell” (down trend) on my daily charts and I’ve been ignoring that signal in favor of my weekly charts, which are still bullish. The fact that the GDX:GLD ratio has been dropping steadily for more than two weeks and we have had two trading days (including today) that looked very promising at the open but sold off during the day is not a good sign. Everyone has to make their own trades. I post “buying opps” when I see them but it’s up to everyone to have their own exit strategy, set your own stops and know your own risk level. As of right NOW I have not sold any of my miner positions … but that does not necessarily mean I will hold everything over the weekend. Again, check your own charts and make your own trading decisions. Follow Alex’s advice … that’s why you are here.
Steve, don’t think you understood my point. CF can’t provide trade advice to this many folks all day long and is almost never here on Friday PM. As I correctly deduced, he couldn’t answer all of these. I was trying to start a dialogue to see what everyone thought about this horrible action in miners. I was NOT asking you to manage my positions for me. You make a lot of long posts, I assumed maybe you wanted to discuss. I was looking for group think and potential validation but not someone to decide for me. I did make my own decision, thanks.
Hey Cason, I hope you didn’t take my post the wrong way. I was merely trying to say that I make it a point NOT to post when I sell something because I’m a afraid somebody else might follow me and then they will be upset if/when miners (or whatever) take off without them. I used to get scared out of my positions in the past by following other “stock gurus” and letting posts in forums freak me out. Now I try to tune that stuff out and I don’t want to add to the problem by posting my own sell trades. I sometimes post when I BUY because I think that is more useful information to alert others to potential opportunities that they can check out on their own charts. Selling is a much more personal thing because some people are day traders, some hold for months, and everything in between. So everyone has their own risk tolerance levels.
if i could ‘chime’ in here…. ;o) lol …. just any FWW. or ignore. 😉
.. but … to me when i log on for a minute and i see your post .. “MINERS are a “SELL” … i think oh mann!!! …. what did i miss… what happened…..????
to me … although CLEARLY you do not intend it … it feels like yelling fire in a crowded theater… and I’m an old gray mare..been around the block a few times…. 😡 …. then later on you post ..miners are a BUY… … it’s just confusing as hell to me as I was saying the other day… . idk MAYBE others and/or the newer signups get the same feeling… maybe even trying to flip in and out… OUCH … i dont know… could be just me.
so .. im sorry I am thick still not clear why u post those repeatedly … (when times get tough upstairs the little men have been known to abandon ship) 😉 ,,,,,. soooo is it just intended for the Fast Intraday traders………. to scalp??? or ….. ??? https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e7843b7216b8576f3a320bc3f10e3c0870ffc5ff7ddb28fb619ec9e7be723a30.gif
Ok, I get you know. Makes sense. Though, if someone is really following you then it is nice to see an exit, if they take one. 2 examples: no one following me and my posts are a bit sporadic but I did mention I was removing leverage and booking some profits. Not alarmist and not emotional (and yes I sure have been in the past, sorry), but factually saw a few red flags and removed leverage late in a cycle going into a weekend. That makes sense. 2) I’ll take an Alex trade and he assumes that no one goobered up their stop. As it starts to tank, we’ll find out he’s been out for weeks b/c no one posts their sells. So you might be holding the bag. Rookie mistakes, haven’t made that one in some time but quite possible for newer folks.
Thanks for re-explaning. GL next week.
Gold could go higher here, but it seems that miners are anticipating a top in the near future and may not follow. They need to break through the trend line starting from 2/8.
It looks like stocks are putting in a near-term top. Gold has been trading inversely, so it may very well go up while stocks correct.
Thorsen today looking at possible top HUI:gold ratio. Not the news I want to see. I want to continue to staircase upward . . . frustrating wait and see . . . . I am a long termer.
How do you determine the end of the daily cycle? If Feb 8 was the high of the 2nd daily cycle in miners, when do you know?
You don’t know the exact until you confirm the DCL and start of the 3rd cycle. Sell off, swing low, break of the 10 day. It’s all guesswork and presumptions until then.
Folks, I gotta tell you miners look BAD right now! They are a strong “sell” on my 15 min chart, which means they are likely to keep selling off into the close, unless there is a massive rush of BTFD guys reversing the price trend at EOD. Yikes! Make your own trading decisions.
They aren’t getting my shares. Bastards!
On the positive side, the LOD (so far) for GDXJ/JNUG is higher than the LOD on Tuesday and Wednesday. Follow your own trading plan.
Lower high as of right now on the 60 min compared to earlier this week. Bastards are trying us!
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/01ce7442323ed219c9d0487100c19bcd5ae578ed3047bd4d7c6908391eb6ec01.png
I agree! although I’ve limited my exposure, they are still 50% of an my portfolio.
Ha! That’s the ticket!
bort
10 year 2.32 money going into treasuries – early selling to get out of main equities. Probably cracks will show more between now and mid March there.
We might go up next week as people are feeling sooo down . . . we will know soon.
Closed out all miners today (sad day) finished green in almost all, but that green was literally scraping the bottom of the barrels after being up pretty big jsut a week or so ago.. Jumped heavily into USLV on the 22nd, so thats bee a solid pick me up… really disappointed with Miners right now..
me too…just finished last selling. May go up next week but I’ll wait to see. weekly on many just barely above 10dma, RSI never really got above 60 and so far weekly high at week 8…happy to be fooled if there’s a next leg up (I’ll get on it then) but if not, it’s a long way down from here and I ain’t giving up all my gains.
sorry 10dma=10wma
Yea… up about 50% down to less than 10%…. shoulda been cute this time…. But grabbed a nice 6k share chunk in USLV at 16.02 and 16.12 so feeling pretty good right now
nice trade!!
Thanks. just sucks.. My profs so far on USLV arent even close to the profs lost on miners..
I pared back big but kept unleveraged “core” – BTG, MUX, EXK. I’m willing to buy JNUG and friends back next week if I’m wrong. We can always get back in if the tide turns. 3rd daily cycle here soon with another chance.
Yeah, GLD kept me in the fight. I still want to be long here but went from big profit in JNUG to little profit and I just wasn’t willing to risk it. I’ll be back next week!
Feels like the set up may be higher dollar. Emerging markets, oil sector, miners all heading lower today like they see it coming. Time will tell.
I have been expecting a strong dollar due to Fed rate hikes coming. But I was hoping I could ride miners higher for another week or two first.
I don’t think the dollar will be strong. In fact the opposite
I’m out too. Perhaps this is the top of the 2nd DC and the miners are the tell.
I lowered exposure significantly but still holding core and a few choice losers.
Thank goodness for my GLD calls. They saved my butt this week! Cause my MJ plays went up in smoke today, too!
Comex commercial shorts at 243,000.
End of Feb last year they were 284,000
In a May last year they got over 400,000
Plenty of upside room for $gold price yet IMO
OWCP was remarkable on the MJ medical side, today. So much snow closed Little Cottonwood Canyon all day except for a brief window from 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM. Tough to not use pre-puchased ticket, but sold my position on the drop of -4% and repurchased seeing it strengthen at 11:00 and close up 11.53%. It is one of our giraffes that has not slowed—–YET.
Hedge funds maybe be buying physical first so why miners limping along.
Hearing large buys hard to come by with huge premiums.
??
Those in the know buying physical metal instead of mining shares.
Those who want to buy in large amounts can’t find it without
paying huge premiums on top – paying way above spot price.
EGI looks good here https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c3511b6fd0c43369417f415ef66d77f7cad5359b1a920387ca9cc6d13dab6910.png
For those following the marijuana issue – there are some 5 or 6 “acts” that have yet to be brought to vote on in Congress…..Marijuana Businesses Access to Banking of 2015, Ending Federal Marijuana Prohibition Act of 2015, Medical Marijuana Research Act of 2016, Cannabidiol Research Expansion Act, CARERS Act, Respect State Marijuana Laws Act of 2015 – some of these are trying to get the classification of marijuana changed, some trying to say that states rights should be honored, etc. – the one that the govt. is currently operating under is the Rohrabacher-Farr Amendment – which is a rider to the federal spending bill – and it prohibits the U.S. DOJ from using congressionally allocated funds to prevent states from implementing their own laws that authorize the use, distribution, possession, or cultivation of medical marijuana…..there was a case that came up that showed this provision specifically restricts the DOJ from spending money to prosecute individuals who are in full compliance with the medical marijuana laws in the states where they operate. This bill has to be renewed every year- last year there was bipartisan support throughout the legislature and so the amendment survived reauthorization last year. From what I read it seems as if it would be supported again this year when it comes up – this doesn’t seem to address the issue of recreational marijuana, but since some states have voted it in then maybe they are thinking the govt. will leave them alone and let them have the final say on their own laws….? .. ..just thought I’d toss this out for information….
Oh…..the current Rohrabacher-Farr Amendment extension is good until April 28th….
Wow Tammie, great info.
here’s a link to some background info….http://www.safeaccessnow.org/congress_set_to_reauthorize_the_rohrabacher_farr_medical_cannabis_amendment
I guess I should read a bit more as I got SMOKED on thurs-Fri. Good thing I kept it really small (on purpose). Might b a buying opportunity though…
Yeah, I got out of most of what I had on Friday…still holding a few that I hope come back…..but planning on keeping eye on things, have a few picked out that I wanted to get Friday but waited…hoping it’ll be buying opp…hoping for bounce tomorrow…..but….not hold for long at all….some I get in and out of same day….
For those interested in the MM sector – here is a link to various responses from companies and organizations to the White House press secretary statement on Thursday –
http://mjinews.com/industry-responses-to-trump-administrations-stance-on-cannabis/
If you read the one toward the bottom – Representative Polis of Colorado….he states that the President has stated time and again that the marijuana decision should be left to the states and wonders if either the President has flip flopped or if his staff is just speaking out of turn. So I’m wondering if we’ll hear from Trump on it soon as I’m sure the White House is being bombarded by questions from various groups wanting clarification….IF he comes out and states yes it should be left in the hands of the states……that would be a good day for the stocks I would imagine – and vice versa maybe if he states the opposite…..so…..guess we’ll see…..ok, last post on marijuana for the weekend I promise – I know most of you are following gold and not the marijuanas 🙂