More Low Lying Fruit?

 I wanted to put out a bonus report on Tuesday morning. Realistically we probably have enough on our plate, so if you are happy with your current positions, please just view this as a possible heads up for possible future trade set ups or a watch list going forward.  In the past few months we have been trading Energy, industrial Metals like CLF, VALE, WRN, NAK, X, etc. We have been trading in the Precious metals sector ( I also encouraged readers to buy & just hold on to some positions from the December lows forward ).

 You may also recall my special report in December on another sector that turned very bullish. We will discuss that a bit further here today, as well as what could be some more low lying fruit in another sector that may be sending out some bullish shoots.  These are just extra trade ideas for the active traders. Let’s take a look…

 Today we will be discussing 2 bullish looking sectors  –

1.  Medicinal Marijuana companies or contributors to that industry

2. Solar stocks  ( Thanks to LeChiffe for pointing out a couple of interesting solar stocks in fridays comments.  That is what got me looking at the sector again).

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Medical Marijuana

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 If you go back to the end of last Fridays report, I mentioned a few companies in the Medical Marijuana sector that were setting up bullishly, so let me start there.  If you need to read that report again to refresh your mind on the subject, including all of the warnings that should be made known and a link to my Dec report on this subject, please do so at this clickable Picture link.

 

I recommend being reasonable in this sector , since business here may be somewhat unpredictable.  That having been said, since I wrote my Dec report, many of the stocks have actually doubled , tripled, or more, but many are also penny stocks. They are still higher risk, so please keep positions reasonable if you decide to take a trade.  I also said last week that I recently bought CNAB , because I thought that THE CHART SET UP  was similar to CNBX ( which has blasted off higher, like many before it).  I’m looking for charts with huge runs higher in November, and then a pullback and a base building process, so let’s take a look…

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CNBX from my Dec report.  Huge run up in November, drop into a base building process.

CNBX –  You can in Thursdays chart the long base and the gradual breaks higher where suddenly it is overwhelmed with buying (and maybe short covering?) . It hit $4.41 the next day! This just ran from 75 cents to $4.41 in 1/2 a month! Crazy.

Now compare that chart above with this CNAB chart from Thursday.  I bought CNAB STRICTLY on a bullish chart set up and a little research on the company. Here it was $1.66.

This is CNBX – After Popping a few times above the base (blue arrows), it just took off to new highs

Compare to CNAB now at $2.06, and I think the patterns are similar, but this base is not as long. Popping a few times above the base and now moving higher.  NO GUARANTEES, this base could still be building, but so far, so good.

 

In last Friday mornings report, I mentioned 2 companies that I thought were going to be set ups ready to perform well –  NWGFF and GBLX.  This is based simply on the chart set up  (And I did a little research on the companies too).   On Friday they both went up 7%, so let’s take a look.

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NWGFF – From Friday mornings report, this is a rounding base climbing higher.

NWGFF NOW – It popped higher Friday.

NWGFF – The Big Picture

GBLX – From Fridays report, I was expecting a break out and it was quite oversold, so I bought it.

GBLX – As of Fridays close, we got the break out. These could still be considered a low risk entry, especially if it has a chance of running from $0.39 to former highs at $0.65 or more.

MCOA – This is one that I bought in December and when it ran up over 100%, I sold it ( roughly 4 cents to 10 cents).  It pulled back and is now almost right back to where I sold it.  I still like this set up, it is similar to what I pointed out in CNBX & CNAB in my humble opinion.

BUDZ –  This is one that I never covered before.  It has been V-E-R-Y strong after moving out of that first base and the second base, so I just wanted to point it out .  Can you say  7 cents to $5.00 in 4 months?

So that is a sector that is responding to the recent vote to legalize medical marijuana in multiple states  ( And recreational legalization has grown too.  This legalization recreationally may or may not continue, but medicinally it is being widely expected and growth could be here to stay.

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Sector Number 2 for consideration are the Solar stocks

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TAN WKLY – Let’s start with TAN, the Solar ETF.  It has broken out above a descending wedge and that’s a bullish start. It does have resistance above, so Solars MIGHT stall for a bit or they could just break through. We’ll be watching.

TAN DAILY – We see a break out and it dropped to the 10sma and reversed on Friday. It is at resistance and overbought, so we’ll see if it can break out or does it need to build up some steam first. It could stall for a bit first, and we’ll keep that in mind as we go through individual Solar picks below.

JASO  – The RSI is showing strength and it is now above the 50sma. This could just continue higher.

JASO WEEKLY – This weekly chart would be a buy, but a stop should be placed at the recent lows. This could just run higher or it could start building a base and bore us to death.

SPWR– It had a huge pop on Friday, but it has also done this in November as seem in the chart. After the Nov Pop, it continued to consolidate, so lets look at the weekly chart for clues.

SPWR WEEKLY – It does look like a weekly break out, but overhead resistance is the 30ma. It could break through it coming out of that recent base, or it may stall.   I think that it is a low risk entry with a stop at the recent lows too, I’m just not exactly sure if it is ready to run higher quite yet or not.

VSLR – I kind of feel like VSLR may have just completed a measured move, but it is worth keeping a close eye on it in case it just continues on higher with some follow through buying. The weekly chart is awesome.

VSLR WEEKLY –  Awesome. You could buy & hold if you were patient and willing to just allow this one to do it’s thing.  It could just continue higher or continue to work its way out of that base.

ENPH –  I did a little research on this one.  It isn’t in the business of manufacturing Solar Panels or installing them, but it a product that goes hand and hand with solar installation.  For lack of a better technical explanation, their product converters the electric current ( solar micro-inverter systems)  and business seems to be growing.  You may want to do your own due diligence.  I love the chart.

ENPH WEEKLY – I really like this chart too. Can’t you just picture the right side of a cup forming here over time? I made up a name for that,  a recovery cup.  That would be excellent %-Gains for the patient ones, if it did recover. Is it ready to go?  Time will tell, but it looks like it is breaking out now.

SEDG –  I would wait and see if this one pulls back first.  It is overbought, but it adds to the idea that the entire sector seems to be rebounding. See also FSLR, JKS, TSL, RGSE,  SOL ( Breaking out soon?), YGE.

So it seems that the entire sector may be rebounding.  See also FSLR, JKS, TSL, RGSE,  SOL ( Breaking out soon?), YGE.  Some of these have done reverse splits in the past and some are looking weaker than others.  This means that it is best to do your own due diligence and as always, honor your mental or hard stops!

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Last but not least -And not solar  🙂

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I just wanted to revisit this recent set up.  On Feb 13th, I posted this chart of IPI looking like it may finally be ready to break out from a recent consolidation.

FEB 17th –  IPI now looks like it is forming a mini bull flag and building energy to break higher.

IPI WEEKLY –  And the weekly chart is also setting up in a very bullish manner. This is a good example of just how long these ‘recovery cups’ can take.

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Again, you may be satisfied with all of your current trade positions and that is fine. Do not let extra trade set ups in these sectors overwhelm you, this is a bonus report. We certainly should not feel that we have to participate in every set up that we find.  Keep in mind that among the many readers here, I have some very active traders that want new trade ideas from time to time, and this provides new trade ideas for them as well as another sector to invest in.

I hope all had a nice restful weekend, and enjoy your Tuesday trading!

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~ALEX

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This is a bonus report discussing 2 different sectors.  Please refer back to the weekend report if necessary, as you watch SPX, NASDAQ, WTIC, NATGAS, Gold, MINERS, and the USD today.

Note : THE USD is rising quite a bit this morning, it is good to see that GOLD is not dropping very much.  As I write, the USD is at 101.50, and I did mention this bounce as a possibility in the weekend report. I would like to see it roll over before hitting 101.75 to add to a weaker view of the Dollar.

117 replies
  1. Cason
    Cason says:

    Alex or anyone else,
    Metal stocks have been pretty hot lately – CLF, X at 52 week highs, WRN. But it looks like I backed the wrong horse, FCX. Anyone see a reason to keep it, b/c I sure don’t. Lost pretty much every single moving avg on Friday and will gap down with the rest of the greater mining complex this morning. I stopped out of CLF during the consolidation a few months ago (poorly placed stop), and got back in but on the wrong horse. Anyone see it differently?

  2. BayTrader
    BayTrader says:

    Starter position in JASO doing great today. light vol but with a 39mil float this thing up 23 cents right now

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      SLV trades with the market. 0930-1600 Eastern. Futures trade Globex AH, near 24 hours. So you’re seeing the difference btw spot and Friday NY close.

        • Edward Bernhart
          Edward Bernhart says:

          That what he said, but a lot of other people do. Alex trades on Charts but I could help adding my two cents. Sorry!

          • MariaVacationTrader
            MariaVacationTrader says:

            what’s the rush… .wait till it proves itself… b/o …pullback…go …
            no need to be a hero… protect….
            mvt2cents 😉
            been there done that …got my hand chopped off…. ;o) lol

          • YS
            YS says:

            Hi Maria,

            Thanks a lot for taking time to respond. I’m a very inexperienced amateur here. What b/o, mvt2cents stand for? 🙂

          • MariaVacationTrader
            MariaVacationTrader says:

            breakout .. pull back… (backtest)
            MVT is Maria Vacation Trader…. ;o) becuz ive been on vacation…. buttt… that ends Thursday..boohoo.. then Ill just be Maria ..;o)

  3. BayTrader
    BayTrader says:

    MUX, GORO, IAG, AG, Bounce pretty nicely, yet the baby miners (TRX, THM, TGD) crack… Am I missing something?

  4. Aniket
    Aniket says:

    Alex, I think as you pointed out in NAK, chart is damaged and it would take some time to recover the damage. What do you think about possible re-entry targets? $1.50? or more like $1.20?

  5. nancytheartist
    nancytheartist says:

    Tammie, I know you have researched many MJ stocks …. What do you know of MCOA, GBLX, NWGFF ? I feel like I have missed the boat on most of the MJs, but maybe these are still ready to join the party?

    • Tammie
      Tammie says:

      GBLX…..inflammatory type diseases, filed for 2 patents….I have (Alex has too)…I added this morning …I think once it gets past .43-.44 it’ll go…..but check it out for yourself….I got AGSTF this morning….it’s moving now…check it out…I’ll post more in a few minutes 🙂 🙂

    • Tammie
      Tammie says:

      Many many that aren’t too late to get into….I’m watching BLOZF, ACBFF, ….have SING, ACOL, OWCP……also watching AMMJ….go look at that chart….post more in a few minutes 🙂 I’m going back and forth between work and charts 🙂 🙂

    • Tammie
      Tammie says:

      I have SGMD also…waiting for it to go….they make containers/packaging that preserves the cannabis, protects from bacteria growth etc….think sales are going up….and the chart looks…nice!

      • Steve Tytler
        Steve Tytler says:

        Tammie, who do you consider to be the best QUALITY marijuana stocks? I’m not into chasing penny stocks for massive % gains like many traders here, I want to invest in the BEST company at a good entry price for a longer term swing trade. For example, I consider AG to be the best silver miner in the biz, other silver miners like GPL may have better short-term gains but I like AG best because it is a very well run company.

        • Tammie
          Tammie says:

          Well, not many quality ones as far as financials go (haven’t researched some of the higher priced stocks)…..as far as potential products or products under development – CBIS, GBLX, CVSI, EDXC, SGMD, CNBX, maybe PURA, RMHB, owcp, blozf…off the top of my head….most just potential, have to wait and see……I’m sure there are others that have potential good products/services – I am buying based on what their product is/news coming out and chart set ups – and not many of them held long term –

        • Tammie
          Tammie says:

          Hahahaha! Funny! Yeah…no. So many skilled traders here I’m learning from – probably couldn’t tell anyone anything they don’t already know! I do a lot of research so might can tell you a little about a company…but…..:) High times with Tammie is very catchy though…..gonna have to figure out somewhere to use it! LOL

  6. Steve Tytler
    Steve Tytler says:

    Here is an example of a possible “signal trade” today in GDX. I say “possible” because there is no way to know for sure it really is a secret trading signal, but you be the judge. I track after-hours and pre-market trading because it gives me a better overall feel for intraday trading and a jump on the market. Today, miners opened as a “sell” on my 15 min chart, on the screen capture below you can see the moving averages were angled down in the pre-market trading with the red 10 SMA above the green 9 EMA. BTW I color code them that way on purpose, when the green MA is above the red that is a “go” and when the red MA is above the green that is a “stop.” Makes it easy for me to see at a glance what is going on. Anyway, back to the chart. Despite the fact that the price trend was DOWN this morning, notice the 15 min pre-market candle I highlighted. It has a massive candle with a high of $24.79 even though the trend was down. Sure enough, GDX opened with a downtrend exactly as my chart predicted, but look what happened after the first 15 min candle. The sell-off reversed and bounced back to an intraday high (so far) of $24.76. Was that a coincidence? Or did the “Big Boyz” signal their friends that they were going to run stops and then run GDX back up to $24.79? You make the call. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/f41011af1f5a05162e13c3d21b87c474d499107b8ed0394abc1c84245ae206ae.png

    • MariaVacationTrader
      MariaVacationTrader says:

      Just curious…. So ur trade signals r short term & u trade in & out of just miners?..but not MJ..?
      Confusing….
      Tx

      • Steve Tytler
        Steve Tytler says:

        Maria,

        I don’t day trade, I’m a long term swing trader. However, I use the the 15 min charts for entry/exit points.

        I hate to admit this, but I got stopped out of some of my JNUG this morning. When I saw it flip back to a “buy” on my 15 min chart (3rd candle), I bought it back.

        I never should have stopped out, but I slept in this morning, stock market opens at 6:30 AM here on he Left Coast. If I had been at my computer screen, I would have lowered my stops to avoid a stop run this morning. Unfortunately, my stops hit before I got out of bed. Classic “stop run” action. My 15 min chart got me back in. If the 15 min chart had remained in “sell” (down) mode I would have been happy to be stopped out. So that’s an example of how and why I use 15 min charts. I watch short-term intraday trends every day, but I don’t trade on them very often. I suck at day trading, so I don’t even try. I hope that makes sense.

        • BayTrader
          BayTrader says:

          Confusing – But i dig your style. And yes, Im here on the Best Coast as well – waking up at 530-630 to trade is killer..

          • BayTrader
            BayTrader says:

            I dont mind that lol.. When ever I go to Kauai or KONA – Im stuck on my time and wake up and trade form the hotel room. The East Coast crowd is always awake and making noise anyway.. lol

          • BayTrader
            BayTrader says:

            OH Im not in Hawaii right now MVT lol. I was saying when I do go. But man, KONA coffee is a gift from above..

          • MariaVacationTrader
            MariaVacationTrader says:

            Lol…that would prob suit me..i hav wacky sleep cycles….
            Never visited there..the flight scares the crap outta me… I get antsy on a 2 1/2 hr flight 2 Fla…lol

          • Steve Tytler
            Steve Tytler says:

            This is why I don’t post charts here … my charts are way more complicated and confusing that Alex’s great charts. I have my own trading system, and I’m not encouraging anyone to follow me. Just posted an example of a “signal trade” candle today to follow up on my post last week where I said sometimes those long tails up or down hit within 10 trading days. This time it hit between the pre-market trading and the first few hours of regular trading. This is for informational purposes. I encourage everyone to follow Alex. If you have time/inclination create your own charting system as an additional source of information. Personally, I like it when my charting system matches up with Alex’s chart recommendations. Makes me much more confident in the trades.

        • MariaVacationTrader
          MariaVacationTrader says:

          Oooh sorry about jnug..
          Im still confused Tho as to why u use very st intraday signals for a long-term swing trade….
          Thats ok..every1 i know..well pretty much every1.. Is confused by EW theory…lol..i try to mesh Alex cycles w my signals for delish buys & sells… 🙂

    • Cal Staggers
      Cal Staggers says:

      Hi Steve,
      Do your settings have pre-market left on during open market? (Your chart makes it appear that you do)
      Just curious, as I find that turning pre-market off works better for RSI & MACD during open hours
      I’ve been observing your 2 MA setting for awhile, but haven’t thought to check them with pre-market left on
      Thanks!
      Cal

      • Steve Tytler
        Steve Tytler says:

        Yes, I always include After-market and pre-market trading in my short-term charts from 3 minutes to 30 minutes. You will find you get much different readings on the MA’s doing that, but IMO they are more accurate reflection of price trend, which is all I’m looking for. BTW, I should point out that my charts are NOT “predictive” I never have price targets or anything like that. I just look at what is the CURRENT price trend and extrapolate from that. About the farthest out I ever try to predict is the next trading day, and even then I’m often wrong.

    • Ken
      Ken says:

      Very Nice Steve…..thanks !
      Maybe show your longer term buy / sell charts first Then your 15 min. Entry chart ?
      I do the same on a signal Daily first…..2 Hour next…..15 min. Entry.

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      Thank God, I got out last week. I waited for the rebuttal, action was lackluster so I took a small loss and left. Would have been a huge loss if I held until today. This is gonna be dead money for a bit. I’m definitely leaving her alone for awhile.

      • Carlnetscouts
        Carlnetscouts says:

        Me too. Got out, actually wound up doing pretty well on it. Started selling it from the 3$+ range. Final tranche sold this morning before the bigger down move.

        • Cason
          Cason says:

          I sold 2/3 of my holdings twice so even with the ride down last week kept 85% of my profits. A win is a win! But will be moving off NAK for awhile now. Glad you got out alright.

  7. Ken
    Ken says:

    JO: +2% today….currently in wave 3 of 3 of 3. Stop: below 20.20
    AKG: Added……very nice chart…..
    USO: Broke upper TL on the open this morning …… positive, getting interested in Crude.
    PLG: Disappointed so far but holding lower TL…….
    TLT: Stop below 118.07
    MM: Added PURA & CBIS……

    • Cason
      Cason says:

      Yeah, I knew that had been a lingering issue but the news this morning was pretty bearish. I could have made 30% with CLF instead of losing 8-10% with FCX. Quite simply put my money on the wrong horse. Right race, wrong horse.

  8. LeChiffre
    LeChiffre says:

    don’t you love SOLAR today :P)

    MMJ work too. Can’t beleive I am out of CNBX…. sold WAY too early
    got a starter on ENPH.

    Fantastic report Alex :)-
    Thank you!

    PS: added some UNG Jun calls in the blood
    and some NUGT calls too.

  9. Cason
    Cason says:

    CF, hopefully you can address this in the Wed report – GDX and GDXJ both “busted” their recent consolidation lows this morning but gold did not. At this point would be very left translated. Any implications for cycles with this or did today’s recovery just act as a shakeout? TIA.

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