Entries by Alex - Chart Freak

Public Post – That Popular Gold Bull Fight

In my last public report, I pointed out that I expected Gold to back test the break out & 50sma area.  I posted this chart.

GOLD 1-11

We got a perfect back test as expected and reversal. This chart from Yesterday looks very Bullish, but Miners didnt react strongly.  

GOLD 1-13

Now Gold is dropping pre-market.  What am I looking at today when it comes to Gold?

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It Is Not An Illusion

I had this chart in my weekend report. After this weeks selling, it looks more and more like a reality, and not an illusion.

RUT 1-8a wkly

SPX CURRENTLY - I expected a bigger bounce this week, but the 2 day bounce was sold off yesterday. This is a break down and a back test.

SPX 1-13 wkly

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1-13-2016 Observations

SPX -  Yesterday I was pointing out the reversal candle and we were expecting a move higher, but would it be just a bounce?

SPX REVERSAL 1-11

SPX - We will get follow through, so traders can trade it, but at this point I do not expect a return to the Bull run.  (See the weekend report for the big picture). Strong overhead resistance is pointed out, if the markets can make it to that area.

SPX 1-12

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1- 12 -2016 What Kind Of Bounce?

We know that sooner or later the markets will bounce, but what should  we expect? A recovery or just a bounce? Lets check out the charts...

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SPX- There are points of resistance to be watched along the way.  Look at the Aug - Sept 'bounce'. That first month was rather lack luster, but the surge in October was brisk. With a reversal on Monday, we may get out move higher immediately.

SPX REVERSAL 1-11

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PUBLIC POST : Are The Pieces Falling Into Place?

 Most people realize that you can't solve a puzzle by forcing together pieces that dont fit.  As time goes by, however, various pieces do come together, and the big picture becomes clearer.  That may be happening now, so lets look at some of the pieces of this big picture puzzle.

 

SPX WKLY- I had pointed out a bearish rising wedge forming in the SPX since last spring & last summer.  After a break down this summer and back test, we had further selling as 2016 began. Is it done?

SPX WKLY 1-9.

 

$RUT - The TRAN and RUT look to be starting lower highs and lower lows.  We could get a bounce soon, but you can see that with further selling this could easily drop to the 800 area.

RUT 1-8a wkly

Might a falling market help Miners, or do they all fall together?

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1-10-2016 Coming Together

As time goes by, it certainly seems like the pieces of the puzzle are coming together to reveal the Big Picture that I have been discussing for months.  2016 could be a great year for some, painful for others if this continues. Lets review.

 

SPX WKLY

SPX WKLY 1-9.

 

RUT - NOT VERY ENCOURAGING IF WE DONT GET MORE THAN A BOUNCE SOON

RUT 1-8 wkly

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Bouncing Higher

Miners are moving higher as expected. Granted, they aren't exactly acting like the above picture, but lets look at some charts and see where some opportunities may be. 

 

EGO - After basing in a tight inverse H&S type base, EGO  is just breaking out above the 50sma now.

EGO 1-7

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Testing

I dont regularly watch CNBC, but I was in the waiting room today and CNBC was on and I actually saw them reporting that North Korea tested a Hydrogen Bomb and caused the markets to sell off. I guess they dont use charts?  Was todays sell off sudden and unexpected? 

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SPX -  We've been discussing it for months here at Chartfreak.   This Dec 31st chart showed that the SPX hit the top of its trading range, lost the 50sma, and was likely heading lower into 2016.

SPX 12-31

Now lets take a look at potential targets...

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PUBLIC POST: Embracing The Big Picture

As 2015 started to wind down in December, I began to lay out in my weekend reports a little more of the Big Picture changes that I think we might see as we head into 2016.  I decided to post a few of those charts here.

 

SPX -  This idea has been discussed in detail for weeks actually.  This is my chart from October 16 weekend report.  It continues to take time to see whether this will become a major break down or just a normal correction. Allow these charts from prior reports to point out the weakness that I was seeing as time went on.

SPX WKLY 10-16 2

Was this just a back test?

SPX Breaks

The RUT/ IWM / NYC  etc were not recovering to former highs with the other markets after the August drop.

IWM 12-24

So what about other areas of the markets as we move into 2016? 

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Short Term and Long Term

Though the long term views remain the same here at Chartfreak, the short term views do get a bit hazy at times. For Shorter Term Traders, we look for immediate low risk trade set ups, but some shorter term things are a tad unclear. I will show you what I am thinking is likely, but please remember that in times of uncertainty,  cash may nor be  NOT a bad thing.  Patience may even save funds for future trades.  🙂

SPX - As mentioned yesterday, we could be at support but this remains weak looking and even with a bounce we see overhead resistance that should be noted.

SPX 1-6

Remember that in the NASDAQ I pointed this out...

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