QUICK NOTE

Oct 3, 2014    Just a quick note….It looks like its going to be a good day for traders.  Yesterdays late day reversal in the sell off of the markets has set up some very beautiful charts. Looking at the 50sma, many of the recent pullbacks landed and reversed there.  It was a time to start entering low risk positions.  For traders, the pullback and reversal in many of the high energy MOMO stocks is the place to be right now.

With the JOBS REPORT,  the dollar again took to the sky, and GOLD/ SILVER got slammed, is it just a final capitulation slam?  Volume in GDX  for the first hour is extremely high.    There is a lot of fear in the Metals market and cycle wise, we were due for a low, but  this selling was not exhausted yet.  I tried to take a few entries this week and go stopped out.  Still, this may be a final slam worth watching  , from the sidelines .

This quick note is just to say what I would look at if I was watching  Metals / Miners for the next trade.  I would look for :

–  For now GOLD /SILVER will open at new lows…Watch for Miners to slam down too , and then do they :

  1. recover?

      or

  2. close near the lows? 

BY the end of the day – we are watching THE CLOSE here.     If Metals  & Miners  close at or near the lows of the day….more downside likely.  The weekly charts will be ugly.  If they reverse higher, if they recover to break even for the day or green,  the weekly charts will still be  reversal candles.  It would show that they keep slamming it down and buyers are entering. It would shake out LONGS.

 

  Yesterday I was watching  many stocks that RAN UP FAST and have pulled back.  Here is just an example of a few , if you want to pull up some interesting charts are :

      RADA LIZA mentioned this in the comments section yesterday)  it sat right down on the 10 sma with no selling volume yesterday ). I bought this one.

     I have also watched  COUP  double bottom for weeks, it is looking excellent. I bought this one .

     NETE was interesting after a deeper sell off than I expected. The volume is starting to come in this morning…It may or may not be quite ready yet  (its still below the 10 & 20 Sma and kind of basing sideways this week) Watch for a break above that 10sma?  

    OTIV – popping today, but the selling has been a slow steady bleeding. Doesnt look like a “real’ move yet.

     MBLY I mentioned in prior reports  and also RALY.…both acting as expected in that report.

     SCOK just popped back above the 10sma…I think it may be a buy now  or soon  (I would like to see it pop with more volume than today).

     CGA – No volume today and it got a little freaky the past few days, but the weekly chart is an excellent recovery.  ODD daily chart tho.

  I will get a  report out this weekend  to point out some nice set ups . After that multi day pullback to support,  its not too late.  Often stocks that take off in the morning slightly sag during lunch, then they get bought up in the final hr and close at the highs….so Mid Day may offer an entry too?    In fact –  I may add  to RADA,  and COUP later this morning.  They are pulling back intra-day now. 

Best wishes!

 

~Alex

 

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8 replies
  1. Graham
    Graham says:

    Hey there Alex…..great stuff again. I’ve been watching GUD.TO. Missed the run up…..no dry powder but this thing is looking good again. Whats your take?

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Hey Graham,
      Thats a nice ( 8 month) daily chart and could be a cup & handle . Going forward, close up on a 3 month chart , I like the 2 reversal candles that it put in on the last 2 trading days and how they cant sell it off. It dropped 50% (perfect) and Its not overbought and could make a run for the highs, but it’ll need a little more volume to break out.

      This one is a little harder to read , because its right in the middle. COULD drop to the 50sma, but looks more like it wants to run to prior highs and prepare to break out. No recommendation right here, but its a good looking chart.

  2. Graham
    Graham says:

    Hey there Alex…..great stuff again. I’ve been watching GUD.TO. Missed the run up…..no dry powder but this thing is looking good again. Whats your take?

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Hey Graham,
      Thats a nice ( 8 month) daily chart and could be a cup & handle . Going forward, close up on a 3 month chart , I like the 2 reversal candles that it put in on the last 2 trading days and how they cant sell it off. It dropped 50% (perfect) and Its not overbought and could make a run for the highs, but it’ll need a little more volume to break out.

      This one is a little harder to read , because its right in the middle. COULD drop to the 50sma, but looks more like it wants to run to prior highs and prepare to break out. No recommendation right here, but its a good looking chart.

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Thx Mark,

      COUP – I have been watching for a while, and it just double bottomed and started turning up. It really moves fast when it gets going, and I like the set up so far.

      I had started a position and I sent this to a friend this a.m. when it was $12.85 as stronger volume started to come in … I think it has plenty of upside potential.

    • chartfreak1
      chartfreak1 says:

      Thx Mark,

      COUP – I have been watching for a while, and it just double bottomed and started turning up. It really moves fast when it gets going, and I like the set up so far.

      I had started a position and I sent this to a friend this a.m. when it was $12.85 as stronger volume started to come in … I think it has plenty of upside potential.

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